{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PLUL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"5e5a7b70-942c-4e8d-8f6f-14884f3da5d3","symbol":"PLUL","name":"Leverage Shares 2X Long PLUG Daily ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.68121,-0.905295,-0.831649,-0.800656],"opens":[7.89,7.22,8.9,9.2],"highs":[8.1,8.345,10.5599,9.225],"lows":[6.13,7.07,7.4903,7.76],"closes":[7.3971,8.288,9.2643,8.7891],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"7.89","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.13","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"7.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"7.22","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.35","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"7.07","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"7.49","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.26","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"9.22","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"7.76","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.79","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[7.285068,9.376332],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"slight strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[16.2,17.3414,12.2417,11.3807,9.3559,9.0064,8.3657,10.8556,11.0711,11.7635,11.1683,13.4894,17.1679,17.3536,21.7017,20.5593,20.6372,29.11,28.5544,30.8358,19.7984,14.2993,15.0949,11.85,12.8207,9.0269,8.4027,7.78,7.3971,8.288,9.2643,8.7891],"consensus":[55.5556,42.21,-96.7494,11.6829,-69.048,-41.3689,-49.264,12.4128,0.0,0.0,-10.3414,39.5492,65.0532,32.0004,72.0276,19.6402,22.1593,71.6498,34.8702,51.0828,-40.2378,-55.9196,-20.9176,-53.1338,-20.6102,-58.843,-40.8959,-44.0196,-31.0485,0.0,0.0,-13.1818],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-33.635,-49.8503,14.3405,0.0,0.0,-22.4762,39.786,53.0763,18.191,61.0807,8.9009,12.2951,64.7646,31.5256,38.2591,-42.1959,-54.913,-14.9731,-53.7847,-15.6531,-61.6838,-41.5696,-50.1435,-24.2972,0.0,0.0,-14.0406],"force":[55.5556,42.21,-96.7494,11.6829,-35.1448,-13.2026,-23.6715,62.4627,0.0,0.0,-13.7032,46.4295,82.9425,10.7265,85.6885,28.9456,0.4574,89.2527,2.2691,53.6357,-87.2868,-74.5501,-1.8426,-54.705,-5.1489,-64.5612,-20.6786,-24.0677,-10.2007,0.0,0.0,-0.8983],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-93.2645,-70.3266,-66.8742,25.5403,0.0,0.0,-5.9281,34.3641,65.9631,62.9782,74.7806,66.6177,49.5875,66.9452,61.9792,63.9149,-4.3937,-43.7624,-41.3363,-51.2676,-44.6747,-51.512,-54.5669,-51.2723,-53.6555,0.0,0.0,-20.9741],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,16.6667,85.7143,50.0,22.2222,20.0,45.4545,91.6667,69.2308,71.4286,33.3333,18.75,100.0,66.6667,94.7368,100.0,100.0,63.6364,52.1739,16.6667,56.0,53.8462,3.7037,21.4286,10.3448,36.6667,22.5806],"confirmation":[40.4444,36.1739,53.6265,26.4052,65.8788,80.4975,82.9756,33.5833,25.0452,3.2463,49.8248,80.8618,89.5447,77.8022,91.632,33.8095,51.9829,91.5693,55.5492,84.6197,59.6135,86.4774,51.5362,85.0408,52.3175,86.9608,80.4603,81.3849,77.403,6.3156,28.7878,49.1641],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,15.242,29.2807,23.5821,17.7683,33.968,43.4262,49.9797,23.4358,17.0735,33.4856,13.9708,40.1242,36.6429,14.1629,32.031,24.4267,10.3405,21.8926,39.2738,23.4053,35.0993,11.5443,24.5081,14.7809,26.9354,5.141,14.2105,20.7313],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-13.2,"control":-14.0,"force":-0.9,"direction":-21.0,"confirmation":49.2,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":20.7,"intensity":22.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-13.2","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-14.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-0.9","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-21.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"49/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"49.1%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"31.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"9%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[16.2,17.3414,12.2417,11.3807,9.3559,9.0064,8.3657,10.8556,11.0711,11.7635,11.1683,13.4894,17.1679,17.3536,21.7017,20.5593,20.6372,29.11,28.5544,30.8358,19.7984,14.2993,15.0949,11.85,12.8207,9.0269,8.4027,7.78,7.3971,8.288,9.2643,8.7891],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,13.8706,12.9862,12.1461,11.9115,11.7587,11.7595,11.652,11.9861,12.9283,13.7329,15.1817,16.1595,16.9736,19.1802,20.8846,22.6939,22.1675,20.7369,19.7111,18.2818,17.2889,15.7867,14.4441,13.2325,12.1715,11.4654,11.0652,10.6514],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,13.728,13.9966,14.5673,15.0112,15.4279,16.4414,17.3387,18.3385,18.4466,18.1394,17.9139,17.4647,17.1207,16.5212,15.9198,15.3168,14.7302,14.253,13.8835,13.5061],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,17.323,17.0212,17.0383,17.9926,18.739,20.6727,21.7205,22.5477,25.6432,27.7197,29.908,30.1677,30.0465,30.0696,30.0584,29.9401,29.9387,29.9359,30.1229,30.3308,30.4701,30.535,30.6181],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.1934,6.3879,6.6683,6.5316,6.5126,5.789,5.6573,5.6475,4.2201,3.5775,2.908,3.0081,2.8251,3.0873,3.1454,3.6102,3.6136,3.6202,3.1257,2.5504,2.0634,1.8082,1.255],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-29.4077,-34.3727,-46.0488,-48.0642,-51.7588,-37.4007,-36.158,-32.1652,-35.5975,-22.2127,-1.0005,0.0,0.0,-5.2641,-4.9051,0.0,-1.9086,0.0,-35.7941,-53.6276,-51.0475,-61.5706,-58.4227,-70.7259,-72.7502,-74.7696,-76.0113,-73.1222,-69.956,-71.4971],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,29.7632,32.3392,40.6158,33.5011,61.2465,105.2177,107.4375,159.4128,145.7571,146.6883,247.9685,241.3271,268.598,136.6616,70.9277,80.438,41.6498,53.2532,7.9037,0.4423,0.0,0.0,12.0439,25.2423,18.8182],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range 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width","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,94.6538,90.8474,87.4867,93.4669,96.836,112.492,117.345,119.8796,143.4746,154.2769,164.5539,163.7312,165.623,162.7556,162.1081,156.958,156.9196,156.846,162.3964,168.9748,174.63,177.6372,184.2495],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,44.3393,41.2195,38.6216,36.1401,33.8935,31.8074],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,24.7186,29.4445,27.2621,25.2038,35.9631,31.0347,35.4654,28.2433,25.8785,24.856,23.5779,22.7005,21.3223,20.7447,20.1846,19.6059,19.5982,22.1392,21.5884],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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