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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":8,"completedEpisodes":7,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":25.0,"averageExpectedMove":28.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":2.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":8,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":37.5,"averageReturn":-9.4,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":13.7,"confidenceHigh":69.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":7,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":42.9,"averageReturn":-10.7,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":15.8,"confidenceHigh":75.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":5,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":-20.0,"medianReturn":-25.0,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":88.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":8},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":8},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":8},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":8},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":8},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":8},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-21.9,"sample":8},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":8},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":8},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":8},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-17.9,"sample":7},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":7},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-21.4,"sample":7},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-17.9,"sample":7},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-28.6,"sample":7},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-28.6,"sample":7},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-25.0,"sample":6},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-20.8,"sample":6},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":5},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":5},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":5},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":5},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":5},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":5},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":5},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":5}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":20.0,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 20.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 10.4% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 60.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 10 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 16.7% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-28","price":0.003},{"date":"2025-06-13","price":0.002},{"date":"2025-07-04","price":0.003},{"date":"2026-01-23","price":0.003},{"date":"2026-02-27","price":0.003},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":0.003}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-05-30","price":0.004},{"date":"2025-06-27","price":0.004},{"date":"2025-11-14","price":0.004},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":0.004},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":0.004},{"date":"2026-04-10","price":0.004},{"date":"2026-04-24","price":0.004},{"date":"2026-06-05","price":0.004}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.003,0.003,0.002,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.003,0.002,0.002,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.002,0.002,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.002,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.003],"consensus":[24.8355,24.272,-47.2286,49.3787,13.526,-64.8139,-20.3039,-29.0428,-28.4195,-18.2226,-17.3252,-16.3769,-16.2833,-12.1625,-11.2949,62.4913,-47.8724,-11.4936,61.363,24.847,22.3248,28.9893,0.0,0.0,13.3905,76.0859,48.9689,-37.876,68.4836,22.9864,24.3558,-46.8982,-20.444,-20.3803,-68.3365,33.8151,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,64.8035,30.5605,-63.7863,-32.642,54.8417,-39.7344,12.5485,12.8058,-10.2822,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-46.8898,-31.9216,43.2673,0.0,56.3689,38.2749,-25.756,55.9561,31.1371,28.9598,24.7023,12.9554,20.7544,12.5131,-48.6927,-32.2982,40.514,8.7974,15.9648,-40.321,-22.3029,-21.9776,-21.5651,-12.4408,-11.7264,62.2899,-47.0633,54.6221,25.4559,18.959,22.8525,-61.0144,-18.1429,27.555,12.8644,20.9448,20.4537,10.8704,-53.3316,-27.9499,-67.6792,-35.7701,-37.2113,-34.5212],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-48.702,-27.7312,46.2545,0.0,49.9622,34.783,-23.9589,60.7912,38.3498,35.4921,16.6885,15.211,23.9456,13.1367,-42.6879,-32.7381,40.1516,11.3864,10.5718,-52.9517,-17.4864,-16.3709,-15.2986,-14.2733,-13.2977,58.3616,-48.9381,56.2583,20.9653,21.4585,16.988,-56.0234,-6.7001,36.2877,16.2332,15.1666,14.1475,13.1783,-46.6092,-18.7259,-58.4015,-26.6218,-36.1701,-37.7712],"force":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-36.9833,-9.6418,86.4299,0.0,68.5218,21.9611,-61.2925,59.1259,23.5671,23.4689,20.1059,0.0,22.8067,11.6,-78.6262,-30.3541,80.1941,0.0,8.3616,-47.0023,-8.6299,-8.9078,-9.1627,-0.0,-0.0,95.7655,-85.9197,70.2613,9.5007,11.6,9.5991,-95.7782,-9.0698,26.2118,0.0,9.4589,9.654,0.0,-72.2007,-21.6809,-94.4735,-21.8186,-20.0427,-82.5574],"direction":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-51.8949,-52.6248,9.023,0.0,55.0101,53.9184,-2.4267,48.1661,28.301,25.4165,37.144,19.6314,15.6415,12.4525,-34.1741,-33.1842,12.5851,12.1223,27.559,-21.1135,-37.5737,-37.7207,-37.5856,-19.2329,-18.3068,42.8682,-17.166,41.5812,41.9846,21.3589,39.0215,-41.8872,-37.7012,18.5342,18.2033,35.7527,35.3748,15.9974,-47.5363,-42.9694,-59.1436,-56.1906,-50.6646,-3.5045],"intensity":[94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,32.6923,32.6923,94.2308,30.7692,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,94.2308,26.9231,28.8462,94.2308,100.0,100.0,30.7692,90.3846,30.7692,90.3846,100.0,30.7692,88.4615,88.4615,32.6923,34.6154,36.5385,38.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,100.0,30.7692,32.6923,34.6154,36.5385,92.3077,92.3077,92.3077,34.6154,92.3077,92.3077],"confirmation":[47.8292,0.347,47.7375,0.1659,47.6357,0.1712,0.1579,0.1453,82.6752,77.5998,83.1154,2.4678,86.506,79.804,54.6857,85.9289,77.6232,77.0003,75.8868,49.0499,74.6553,71.9668,84.5854,78.2695,82.1793,47.8409,72.9592,80.9139,74.7936,74.7199,74.6183,48.9073,48.7045,89.0128,84.2159,85.9308,75.7281,73.8045,74.9982,88.6601,51.0369,76.6436,49.0066,74.4403,74.3121,48.4454,85.7436,76.8935,90.6153,79.1606,79.4003,58.5422],"persistence":[0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[3.7547,0.5991,3.5947,0.2783,3.0304,0.2953,null,null,26.5001,33.9842,21.6337,0.5819,21.7939,30.8408,12.878,18.2893,15.5685,14.4799,33.9162,6.4777,10.3772,6.2565,21.921,31.2055,20.257,4.3987,39.3722,20.1605,37.3968,37.5594,37.7657,6.2204,5.8632,16.2097,23.5316,18.9563,33.5394,9.4795,35.9284,15.7601,38.2832,13.7775,6.4322,35.7949,36.0405,5.4352,19.6015,33.3797,16.1054,32.06,29.1028,17.2606],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-34.5,"control":-37.8,"force":-82.6,"direction":-3.5,"confirmation":58.5,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":17.3,"intensity":92.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-34.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-37.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-82.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.5","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"59/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"29.9%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"50.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"50%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references 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