{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DAE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"62cd338c-5524-41b6-a3d6-9f3374d373fc","symbol":"DAE","name":"Dätwyler Holding AG","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CHF","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Industrial Distribution"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":9.3,"averageExpectedMove":10.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":37.5,"averageReturn":-2.8,"medianReturn":-4.8,"confidenceLow":18.5,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":2.1,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":2.7,"medianReturn":1.4,"confidenceLow":26.8,"confidenceHigh":73.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.6,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.5% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 7.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 13.7% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-06-27","price":119.215385},{"date":"2025-07-11","price":118.823875}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[164.7472,173.7091,162.459,164.1752,162.2684,165.3192,156.3573,151.209,147.2047,144.5352,139.0054,137.48,130.8062,129.0901,131.1876,132.9037,135.1919,126.9926,128.3274,128.3274,127.7553,127.946,130.4249,132.3317,134.0478,130.0435,125.4672,119.1748,121.6536,118.6027,116.0833,113.5385,110.2106,109.0361,115.1045,118.4324,117.2578,114.9088,118.2366,112.5597,115.496,117.2578,115.8875,117.4536,119.2154,115.8875,118.8239,121.7602,144.2721,142.1188,138.5952,132.1353,134.2886,132.331,139.1825,143.2934,141.5316,136.2462,140.7485,144.0764,139.3783,146.817,144.8594,137.8122,137.4207,148.383,153.0812,152.6897,155.8217,153.4727,159.9326,160.1284,162.2817,165.0223,166.1968,154.4515,162.2817,166.0011,167.5671,164.435,151.1236,146.817,140.6,141.2,143.8,149.0,157.2,153.8,157.0,168.0,164.2,159.4,158.6,161.6,161.4,161.6,159.8,157.8,156.8,151.2,138.0,138.2,139.2,136.2],"consensus":[-12.4077,40.5385,-47.8746,0.0,-19.2424,0.0,-51.8611,-53.1405,-49.9082,-44.2061,-58.8632,-36.8394,-71.1981,-40.2214,-26.9178,-20.0545,0.0,-60.6601,-15.9965,-24.7748,-39.9854,0.0,0.0,12.8328,22.8343,-25.9957,-43.8091,-65.4686,-9.8553,-42.7351,-45.317,-48.0856,-48.3511,-27.4412,12.5963,21.4444,0.0,-13.3882,15.3833,-39.0238,0.0,15.1196,-13.7204,14.0645,25.0634,-21.2705,24.5927,32.45,77.874,28.1737,37.5885,0.0,22.032,0.0,52.0342,54.7262,10.6432,-12.3289,38.2163,33.3767,-12.1532,54.6682,12.9374,-30.9017,-10.5806,46.6551,42.6772,27.7127,44.1765,15.5252,51.4101,28.3378,33.3855,46.8512,45.191,-39.724,41.0103,38.4792,35.7219,11.1355,-57.6954,-47.3322,-63.9094,-28.6176,-14.6385,13.62,45.9195,0.0,22.6679,61.8935,12.171,0.0,0.0,9.9047,17.2007,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.1666,-44.9115,-73.8756,-38.0465,-33.2798,-54.3005],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[35.1099,0.0,52.7279,56.051,0.5787,-20.5688,45.5625,36.0256,-13.9684,57.1943,9.3741,-31.5564,-10.3168,42.8734,39.9817,23.2666,41.5218,16.1521,57.6996,25.3638,30.7159,47.8099,51.7127,-40.4431,49.2586,45.9465,44.329,4.9982,-50.9901,-45.1502,-64.1472,-17.8731,-5.762,18.6656,46.2477,0.0,16.4809,58.7859,5.8001,0.0,0.0,20.2732,29.7699,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.7939,-38.3148,-68.6684,-33.5433,-28.1177,-49.0518],"force":[14.4304,0.0,73.6993,50.9025,23.1912,-48.195,38.7254,30.0194,-38.5348,60.8372,9.702,-51.339,-12.4889,77.8197,42.636,6.7046,37.5331,14.2477,47.1929,6.8403,18.4697,35.3229,29.8703,-75.1687,54.1611,38.1556,27.5257,11.6504,-88.1968,-41.1774,-66.4234,-3.9042,-14.1696,39.0408,65.8059,0.0,23.2984,82.2998,12.9516,0.0,0.0,3.4951,11.8978,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.7459,-56.2248,-97.732,-11.5027,-3.9593,-51.9136],"direction":[12.5155,0.0,35.7664,55.9433,46.313,-22.7069,29.4571,32.7474,-8.7652,47.3748,33.1806,-15.5554,-9.5191,28.7167,45.7872,47.7997,51.9556,36.0751,47.2344,47.0919,47.0905,53.99,48.6809,-13.5847,22.1902,30.1761,31.7397,34.4251,-43.5718,-54.2221,-61.8419,-58.5494,-45.3602,10.3041,31.3398,0.0,29.2883,50.8691,37.3969,0.0,0.0,2.6332,6.6237,0.0,0.0,0.0,-20.4644,-44.3695,-62.7865,-62.153,-60.1225,-62.0039],"intensity":[34.6154,15.3846,78.8462,84.6154,61.5385,82.6923,46.1538,63.4615,80.7692,80.7692,53.8462,78.8462,3.8462,94.2308,96.1538,1.9231,32.6923,36.5385,67.3077,80.7692,38.4615,23.0769,7.6923,92.3077,88.4615,50.0,13.4615,30.7692,94.2308,86.5385,57.6923,38.4615,44.2308,50.0,84.6154,34.6154,84.6154,88.4615,53.8462,67.3077,32.6923,19.2308,13.4615,34.6154,25.0,34.6154,7.6923,82.6923,94.2308,98.0769,17.3077,21.1538],"confirmation":[74.6193,25.9026,85.3006,85.3757,7.4755,32.4235,80.1328,78.5379,29.202,85.6433,28.2407,78.5014,71.448,83.937,81.6965,53.6289,81.9745,29.7573,84.2269,53.7916,78.2695,82.6264,81.8948,81.781,81.3984,80.1897,79.0501,5.4479,87.4943,82.992,88.524,53.9015,6.9645,29.9211,83.2953,25.3559,75.3672,88.4752,5.9892,5.3699,27.0372,25.4828,50.4844,25.1787,48.2309,24.6084,25.2271,82.817,92.4466,79.4346,55.1679,93.3834],"persistence":[62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[56.2089,43.3622,21.7746,18.8943,33.6173,30.9408,8.2835,11.215,8.2035,21.7053,29.4158,27.4851,15.1727,8.9844,24.3395,35.8505,27.8419,30.3067,18.3845,31.2366,26.6903,25.949,22.3326,18.8646,20.5051,10.0863,3.5148,43.0333,18.7389,26.1583,18.0283,35.6552,34.8287,10.2679,26.4148,45.3684,37.5833,18.8326,34.3461,35.9956,15.756,47.3848,34.3698,20.2599,14.7953,30.8659,34.552,26.8612,13.033,30.9216,33.3479,22.8054],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-54.3,"control":-49.1,"force":-51.9,"direction":-62.0,"confirmation":93.4,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":22.8,"intensity":21.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-54.3","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-49.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-51.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-62.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"93/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"34.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"18.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"5%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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