{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VSOL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"668cc269-1202-4cfd-8d1f-5f457157668a","symbol":"VSOL","name":"VanEck Solana ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":40,"displayedObservations":40,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Unsupported elevation","headline":"Price remains elevated without full Market Dynamics support","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"This is a downside warning, not a confirmed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics would repair the gap; weaker price would begin to confirm it.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.003952,-0.078372,-0.181556,-0.238753,-0.195031,-0.137763,-0.041324,-0.020885,-0.092896,-0.073542,-0.032218,0.114552],"opens":[10.67,8.87,9.855,9.93,9.79,10.6,10.11,10.24,10.35,9.68,10.2,10.09],"highs":[10.781,9.04,10.115,9.9752,10.89,11.0299,10.495,10.54,10.35,10.0,10.25,12.35],"lows":[8.1926,8.44,9.11,8.6508,9.61,10.181,9.8104,9.86,9.7104,9.68,10.0,10.09],"closes":[8.43,8.8813,9.2452,9.74,10.793,10.405,10.0475,9.8912,9.7884,9.9023,10.0521,12.2],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"10.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.19","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.43","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.00","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"8.87","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"9.04","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.44","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.08","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.86","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.25","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"-0.04","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.86","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.89","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.02","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.79","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.09","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.68","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.68","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.07","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.03","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"12.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.11","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[8.2038,12.4262],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.114552,"state":"Price ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Not confirming","detail":"Market Dynamics has strengthened over four weeks, but it still lags the elevated price.","tone":"caution"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":12,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[16.4647,17.8226,17.2051,17.1,16.5167,15.9089,17.0743,17.6533,18.9019,16.5737,15.258,11.37,11.11,11.0986,10.69,11.163,11.7078,11.7192,10.9108,10.4315,11.2922,11.8187,11.4288,11.1091,12.2761,11.8616,11.2334,10.8978,8.43,8.8813,9.2452,9.74,10.793,10.405,10.0475,9.8912,9.7884,9.9023,10.0521,12.2],"consensus":[-61.7899,0.0,-9.9191,-45.4486,0.0,-28.8242,22.0389,14.9147,45.0633,-21.462,-47.2912,-75.2163,-39.3824,-33.4348,-44.7437,-23.6916,0.0,-22.1954,-38.7438,-37.7094,0.0,10.2754,-14.2698,-11.6361,37.9743,-17.259,-24.1065,-24.0111,-70.3993,-22.0096,-33.772,-8.2048,36.5912,0.0,-9.8456,-19.848,-27.1623,0.0,0.0,69.4978],"supportDates":["2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-28.4862,33.2571,10.3505,42.1974,-32.6197,-44.7238,-67.3048,-26.514,-17.9102,-37.9635,-32.1591,0.0,-33.3276,-52.5748,-45.0824,0.0,14.7482,-19.8626,-19.0314,37.1892,-24.2253,-31.3687,-31.5473,-72.5131,-13.1515,-35.4751,-0.2485,34.1922,0.0,-20.8783,-31.1956,-30.9469,0.0,0.0,63.0167],"force":[-61.7899,0.0,-9.9191,-45.4486,0.0,-24.1159,26.1418,10.1118,37.4164,-30.9768,-51.0477,-87.1124,-10.4753,-3.2205,-17.811,-16.7076,0.0,-7.752,-30.7255,-22.6883,0.0,29.7688,-13.5059,-2.7785,67.2443,-29.8235,-25.7124,-18.5117,-86.369,-7.8724,-13.3567,-12.5239,57.5117,0.0,-9.0341,-18.1709,-24.8766,0.0,0.0,96.0143],"direction":[null,null,null,null,0.0,-32.5735,6.2875,23.5616,53.8007,-1.9141,-47.5422,-75.7607,-74.7369,-72.7589,-71.7301,-42.871,0.0,-19.7895,-28.6641,-40.0124,0.0,8.7602,-8.4235,-9.5113,17.9644,-0.3228,-14.6597,-19.3265,-56.5766,-53.4773,-46.4079,-32.104,24.3897,0.0,-2.1835,-8.0774,-24.4696,0.0,0.0,57.9644],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,20.0,66.6667,85.7143,62.5,100.0,60.0,100.0,83.3333,7.6923,14.2857,40.0,12.5,5.8824,38.8889,52.6316,40.0,28.5714,9.0909,17.3913,66.6667,36.0,80.7692,11.1111,96.4286,86.2069,56.6667,19.3548,56.25,27.2727,20.5882,2.8571,5.5556,10.8108,7.8947,89.7436],"confirmation":[42.4394,2.4465,25.8408,37.2102,1.8497,77.0854,52.3399,72.6959,82.2309,52.3211,83.2868,92.5523,79.9175,55.3482,81.6005,32.452,28.7587,51.826,79.9429,79.4969,30.2438,28.3496,72.4578,48.6743,81.0558,51.133,75.6523,75.4011,90.9823,53.2801,78.1589,4.7868,80.3833,27.2916,48.7569,74.1273,76.5646,2.7098,24.6659,91.1462],"persistence":[null,null,66.6667,75.0,60.0,66.6667,42.8571,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,6.0651,34.9443,18.7352,22.5997,27.1594,37.0504,22.2894,12.3632,30.3062,33.2371,27.5251,4.2699,24.1987,32.1369,27.2651,6.4395,17.3384,1.2374,28.0213,32.5916,27.96,12.3379,3.5386,4.8532,14.7848,38.8882,32.0151,39.1492,31.1094,49.2782,40.9718,18.4411,27.2305,26.6383,3.8036,14.3102],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":69.5,"control":63.0,"force":96.0,"direction":58.0,"confirmation":91.1,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":14.3,"intensity":89.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+69.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+63.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+96.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+58.0","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"91/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"60.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"83%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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