{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CLN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"68b785d1-b026-4e3c-8ce9-4242f55660c2","symbol":"CLN","name":"Clariant AG","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CHF","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Specialty Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":14,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":8.3,"averageExpectedMove":9.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":14,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":1.2,"medianReturn":1.3,"confidenceLow":26.8,"confidenceHigh":73.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":35.7,"averageReturn":-1.3,"medianReturn":-2.3,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":61.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":12,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-6.0,"medianReturn":-14.4,"confidenceLow":13.8,"confidenceHigh":60.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":14},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":14},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":14},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":14},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":14},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":13},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":13},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":13},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":12},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":35.7,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 35.7% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.3% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 9.6% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-01-09","price":6.932397},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":7.837448},{"date":"2026-03-27","price":7.320953}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[11.9974,12.0698,11.3188,11.2374,10.8302,11.6264,11.6355,11.4364,11.2917,11.355,10.975,10.5136,10.2693,9.8802,9.5997,9.6812,9.4188,8.9302,9.1383,8.9709,9.0433,9.1202,9.2197,9.3012,9.4731,9.8712,9.9797,9.0433,9.3193,9.6269,9.3193,8.8759,7.5323,7.3559,7.6952,8.2199,8.3557,8.3873,8.514,8.4145,8.3918,8.1976,8.008,7.809,8.1597,8.0791,8.245,8.1075,8.3918,7.9606,7.7853,7.6953,7.9417,7.7853,7.6384,7.6621,7.103,6.9229,7.013,6.6623,6.8424,6.9134,6.8376,6.4965,6.5675,6.4822,6.8992,6.9561,7.0035,6.7476,6.6718,6.7855,6.9324,6.8471,6.9514,6.7713,7.8374,7.918,7.4915,7.9843,7.0556,6.994,6.4728,7.321,7.392,7.9891,7.8374,7.5437,7.6242,7.4489,7.1693,7.52,7.6053,7.305,7.48,7.585,7.31,7.285,7.46,7.7,7.425,9.15,10.1,10.96],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,-50.7075,-35.9179,-61.9593,22.6129,0.0,-16.9909,-13.325,0.0,-47.4003,-57.8924,-48.7084,-59.8912,-60.5091,-27.451,-60.1274,-68.388,-15.5935,-47.8742,-29.4132,0.0,0.0,0.0,19.8599,45.9165,34.2731,-47.7356,9.1562,19.3603,-35.3448,-44.9363,-75.6682,-35.2357,-13.2182,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.7691,-8.8355,-13.3646,-25.1762,-33.2945,-30.8705,14.2685,-13.7483,11.2808,-12.0998,25.1395,-31.3523,-19.2011,-26.0165,9.042,-28.6745,-27.0308,-15.2461,-65.0528,-50.8002,-22.8669,-65.8966,0.0,0.0,-26.5611,-52.997,-17.9305,-29.1248,26.6708,15.5562,18.3206,-23.8831,-21.9439,0.0,16.8392,0.0,22.3401,-22.8462,70.0124,41.4083,0.0,67.4313,-50.641,-19.0885,-65.7838,34.3186,21.2721,63.145,17.3868,-8.9576,22.8838,-21.576,-32.4723,26.3201,0.0,-26.7487,16.6666,23.2539,-28.161,0.0,12.2579,27.4489,-12.1395,73.3995,85.4233,85.4259],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[21.4563,-34.3703,-31.9857,-21.4079,-62.4553,-54.1369,-17.763,-70.1479,0.0,0.0,-27.2287,-60.1089,-14.7121,-21.7326,31.0559,10.0988,12.5022,-33.7072,-24.3654,0.0,20.0728,0.0,17.8203,-30.9173,59.994,34.6314,0.0,62.582,-45.481,-11.4867,-65.5726,42.775,20.3419,63.1193,7.7219,-19.9484,24.5849,-18.3031,-27.4482,30.2373,0.0,-31.8999,15.6614,33.324,-31.7352,0.0,18.1023,26.5018,-13.0293,65.2562,89.7686,86.9735],"force":[28.6473,-33.5194,-24.3726,-3.5897,-89.7332,-41.8846,-4.6745,-71.5938,0.0,0.0,-15.0324,-57.4275,-8.8262,-18.38,59.4991,21.8207,23.016,-41.8431,-15.1162,0.0,28.4981,0.0,29.8616,-35.3278,97.03,21.3983,0.0,83.7686,-94.4492,-17.0853,-90.42,75.7221,17.1527,77.0737,10.9018,-33.2689,17.7388,-40.6311,-44.2789,47.1184,0.0,-37.8686,20.316,21.2466,-32.6977,0.0,17.4404,34.4966,-31.8574,98.3296,96.2657,94.2341],"direction":[19.1497,-18.7044,-23.2667,-16.5302,-50.3925,-53.3551,-48.3723,-56.9687,0.0,0.0,-34.0328,-41.7044,-40.7204,-45.2479,1.7896,17.3184,21.6164,-0.173,-24.0533,0.0,4.8157,0.0,22.1331,-4.7066,62.1637,63.4462,0.0,61.3037,-25.2465,-29.2071,-48.4279,4.9198,25.2776,53.2254,48.6386,-20.9686,24.6146,-11.7057,-29.7808,6.9875,0.0,-12.9188,15.2086,13.1789,-20.8357,0.0,1.8768,23.4973,-2.9615,64.899,72.7128,77.3655],"intensity":[38.4615,48.0769,59.6154,1.9231,78.8462,76.9231,13.4615,59.6154,21.1538,9.6154,5.7692,59.6154,26.9231,21.1538,71.1538,34.6154,7.6923,51.9231,44.2308,15.3846,25.0,17.3077,9.6154,28.8462,92.3077,90.3846,71.1538,78.8462,90.3846,84.6154,76.9231,88.4615,92.3077,80.7692,57.6923,55.7692,46.1538,59.6154,76.9231,61.5385,71.1538,65.3846,23.0769,11.5385,48.0769,36.5385,36.5385,80.7692,73.0769,100.0,100.0,90.3846],"confirmation":[30.0537,77.2367,76.4933,49.763,89.6086,83.9335,52.8864,89.1958,7.6275,5.1154,76.138,84.9857,29.5209,77.1051,55.1834,73.252,74.0944,53.4105,74.7771,26.3247,51.0279,49.3249,75.4469,52.9015,91.38,80.7441,35.2964,90.1498,85.6188,74.1631,89.8048,58.4978,74.6957,88.6313,7.1746,30.5798,75.1401,75.5349,78.8275,54.3299,24.8192,76.82,73.4598,75.2266,77.0953,24.8981,49.3247,77.0129,50.4371,92.3717,95.5997,100.0],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[52.828,18.3873,15.4761,0.0817,17.325,24.5429,38.0684,17.0318,35.5375,0.1921,20.9677,5.4778,33.1469,34.0558,1.0477,39.8771,37.9865,54.5858,29.1791,35.0618,26.6168,28.6077,34.2978,7.6682,14.6343,29.1675,48.7647,16.1767,21.761,38.8881,15.8922,60.0174,17.9738,16.0258,40.678,23.7547,8.6918,30.3784,28.3796,15.7062,5.6609,5.0664,25.7595,2.0842,26.0798,3.0442,10.8816,10.3048,30.2665,13.2317,7.2817,7.2863],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":85.4,"control":87.0,"force":94.2,"direction":77.4,"confirmation":100.0,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":7.3,"intensity":90.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+85.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+87.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+94.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+77.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"100/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"77.0","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"98%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range 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