{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CON Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"6bd8ac3a-7c85-4dde-afef-62a4df475675","symbol":"CON","name":"Continental Aktiengesellschaft","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Auto Parts"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":24},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":24},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":24},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":24},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":23},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":23},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":23},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":23},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":23},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":23},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":22},{"week":13,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":22},{"week":14,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":22},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":22},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":22},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":22},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":22},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":22},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":22},{"week":21,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":22},{"week":22,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":22},{"week":23,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":22},{"week":24,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":21},{"week":25,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":21},{"week":26,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":21}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.4,"medianReturn":-5.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":1},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":27.8,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 27.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.4% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.0% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-08-23","price":41.623501},{"date":"2024-09-27","price":41.498589},{"date":"2024-10-11","price":41.637379},{"date":"2024-11-15","price":43.816402}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":72.860001}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":75.980003}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[41.6235,42.3869,40.6658,37.2099,37.5014,41.4986,39.0697,41.6374,41.9427,40.7352,39.6388,39.2085,43.8164,42.9004,43.053,45.3847,46.2453,44.5659,44.9406,44.094,44.5798,46.731,47.6748,47.7303,46.3008,48.2577,47.883,47.9801,47.5499,48.2161,48.6325,46.3285,42.026,42.3869,44.8296,48.4937,51.0196,52.913,54.282,54.1946,56.2919,55.3744,55.8259,53.9907,53.816,54.6316,56.3211,54.7772,55.7385,53.3499,53.5392,54.5588,55.5055,54.617,53.0295,52.2867,53.6441,54.6021,56.0198,54.0656,58.2805,61.7674,62.7253,63.53,61.1926,60.1006,61.8249,62.1697,63.7599,64.0856,63.2809,65.7141,66.4996,63.3192,64.1814,63.8365,67.8023,70.7336,70.3313,70.0439,60.8478,59.545,55.3684,57.4184,60.1006,62.4188,64.8328,62.8786,61.48,70.68,67.9,67.22,71.36,68.68,72.3,72.46,72.52,75.98,72.86,72.28,70.08,71.86,68.3,69.38],"consensus":[26.1788,31.4542,-25.1916,-57.972,-25.2401,39.3944,-34.6883,46.8362,27.645,-14.9255,-21.065,-18.9411,59.9499,8.8635,21.9838,59.4379,43.8506,0.0,37.2246,-9.4582,0.0,57.4797,48.9739,30.8829,9.976,54.0725,0.0,14.7019,10.2699,23.3946,16.4831,-38.2127,-63.2777,-16.4582,0.0,48.584,55.3779,58.7318,50.6627,27.8329,53.84,27.7218,29.7833,-8.6846,0.0,19.342,38.0454,0.0,31.7788,-31.3393,0.0,19.1054,26.0582,-10.3202,-31.6028,-34.7335,9.6206,18.8916,39.9052,-21.1503,59.7853,68.9916,48.3004,42.8523,0.0,0.0,33.8793,13.0676,48.903,36.8572,0.0,56.1204,43.9035,-25.9495,28.376,-8.3548,51.1048,64.2518,35.3364,24.5036,-66.0391,-39.3513,-72.2485,-12.0425,8.1809,23.3433,42.5285,0.0,-11.1769,67.9291,0.0,17.6491,56.463,0.0,46.507,37.5015,16.7675,47.8588,16.1217,10.9941,-21.0509,12.6627,-46.5053,1.2809],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[37.5964,-19.2481,-33.3144,-33.0348,11.7594,23.6752,39.9013,-29.3722,51.8776,69.7654,47.969,37.5058,0.0,0.0,43.0717,17.4255,55.102,36.5014,0.0,64.1593,47.7519,-30.4276,30.139,-5.9418,55.6232,69.6513,33.765,16.1676,-59.5768,-31.1532,-73.7803,-1.3606,16.4847,22.3493,40.7857,0.0,-15.1428,62.2081,0.0,13.2492,54.2832,0.0,51.1865,38.3376,12.4548,47.6107,20.4728,14.2448,-17.7791,22.4677,-40.8954,9.925],"force":[26.3693,-27.3729,-47.3827,-37.6204,42.785,30.9901,50.5638,-47.5808,92.5182,84.2768,33.1864,25.9636,0.0,0.0,35.0927,2.1499,43.4005,20.72,0.0,50.1944,29.1337,-62.759,36.1803,-21.911,60.8838,64.6286,9.4043,1.2999,-97.4275,-28.778,-79.6292,-32.8348,44.7807,46.2504,58.8424,0.0,-13.9684,97.9384,0.0,0.5166,64.1655,0.0,35.1779,18.2421,5.2459,33.6977,7.772,4.1512,-39.9813,19.8313,-74.8677,18.2441],"direction":[12.6495,-12.0635,-18.3754,-34.6129,16.5126,4.7827,32.2966,-7.125,45.442,57.1893,59.4748,61.0261,0.0,0.0,22.5068,18.9568,45.7489,48.7903,0.0,51.166,50.0551,-5.4609,20.7868,-1.4296,38.956,57.8119,55.6552,52.4615,-51.0044,-56.2729,-65.226,-59.4157,27.452,8.117,32.8676,0.0,-4.6505,53.0321,0.0,34.9151,53.4524,0.0,49.2511,50.3027,37.4201,58.2575,28.2159,18.097,-11.2684,3.6633,-32.6578,20.7147],"intensity":[9.6154,5.7692,50.0,19.2308,36.5385,17.3077,32.6923,59.6154,92.3077,100.0,84.6154,44.2308,71.1538,82.6923,40.3846,53.8462,34.6154,9.6154,3.8462,73.0769,17.3077,80.7692,86.5385,92.3077,86.5385,92.3077,50.0,15.3846,100.0,96.1538,84.6154,53.8462,69.2308,73.0769,59.6154,50.0,71.1538,100.0,94.2308,44.2308,90.3846,75.0,73.0769,1.9231,13.4615,71.1538,90.3846,23.0769,48.0769,34.6154,67.3077,55.7692],"confirmation":[76.1723,28.9263,78.5677,79.2286,30.2461,51.6745,81.0946,54.3016,88.2494,90.5314,83.0006,81.2795,33.5738,4.0701,78.7383,49.4434,83.3868,79.3079,5.811,85.6554,81.5403,55.8557,77.2913,25.7901,84.5827,88.4898,78.5413,52.7924,90.1876,80.3951,91.3211,9.9852,32.1299,76.1831,82.1329,27.4092,48.9346,90.7391,8.1728,50.526,86.3361,4.1056,82.4657,79.4008,51.2129,82.887,51.3558,49.2259,75.3631,50.236,83.8316,27.8809],"persistence":[50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[21.661,43.936,3.245,29.9539,49.9961,10.0332,29.0162,54.1124,19.6721,15.4498,25.8086,28.5722,45.9667,33.9351,38.6406,37.9848,20.0743,30.3846,29.7886,19.5898,23.9663,7.2564,11.8756,37.7158,4.7058,17.8469,32.2392,37.6618,15.7699,30.245,13.8646,43.9235,14.9555,22.4315,28.3461,47.3961,24.497,14.187,30.1862,30.1738,20.754,25.7765,19.026,27.473,8.7642,24.918,0.0276,8.1109,19.8929,48.0854,23.8348,41.6471],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":1.3,"control":9.9,"force":18.2,"direction":20.7,"confirmation":27.9,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":41.6,"intensity":55.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+1.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+9.9","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+18.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+20.7","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"28/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.8%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"66%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating 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