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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":13,"completedEpisodes":12,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":9.6,"averageExpectedMove":13.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.8,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":13,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":61.5,"averageReturn":1.7,"medianReturn":2.9,"confidenceLow":35.5,"confidenceHigh":82.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":12,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":6.4,"medianReturn":2.1,"confidenceLow":39.1,"confidenceHigh":86.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":12,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":83.3,"averageReturn":10.1,"medianReturn":6.8,"confidenceLow":55.2,"confidenceHigh":95.3,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":13},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":13},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":13},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":13},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":13},{"week":6,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":13},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":13},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":8.6,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.5,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":10.3,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":11.8,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":12.7,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":12},{"week":25,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":45.8,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":24},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 45.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.7% across 24 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 12.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.8% across 24 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-26","price":1369.199951}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[938.9771,940.2704,990.2139,968.1274,966.9833,943.3546,924.203,941.4643,959.3723,884.9048,984.3441,992.8007,997.4269,984.6923,1050.7531,1034.9342,1014.0913,949.5727,948.4285,990.5124,986.9308,999.3669,1004.5901,957.1339,987.9257,920.8204,907.837,865.5542,915.0002,880.577,927.1877,906.8919,938.2806,945.8419,957.0344,949.125,922.0142,903.0118,978.8722,940.569,921.2681,940.4197,995.0889,1021.5032,1112.3367,1192.1766,1193.1715,1274.653,1237.0,1343.7,1365.9,1356.0,1445.3,1404.6,1421.8,1537.3,1533.2,1369.2,1305.6,1363.7,1322.7,1334.4,1369.0,1355.7,1260.2,1234.6,1284.0,1225.3,1243.7,1246.2,1223.0,1245.9,1169.8,1182.6,1144.2,1139.6,1136.5,1187.0,1142.7,1123.6,1085.0,1021.6,1055.4,1021.3,1068.1,1147.8,1208.4,1168.6,1227.7,1311.3,1230.4,1241.4,1173.6,1112.6,1089.8,1130.7184,1080.8397,1117.901,1091.968,1087.0,1055.9,1064.8,1047.1,1038.0],"consensus":[40.4673,24.5257,55.2189,0.0,18.7458,-10.8318,-19.9247,12.6876,10.1561,-46.3707,49.9751,23.8577,21.3839,10.7062,58.8147,9.0225,0.0,-39.6732,-16.3176,17.6754,0.0,24.0277,15.471,-32.7674,16.584,-51.3237,-33.2473,-54.2486,0.0,-43.74,20.1224,-16.9377,19.7456,24.0572,13.5464,0.0,-27.5432,-34.5329,52.5131,-19.9254,-20.319,23.746,44.5862,44.902,73.9561,76.9819,45.8603,74.5247,14.227,71.9393,50.8253,28.7582,74.6871,15.0384,33.2257,68.8496,36.7003,-31.2561,-37.5793,11.1518,-32.3311,-8.2212,16.6709,0.0,-49.8199,-43.8587,0.0,-49.9141,0.0,-8.3698,-37.037,0.0,-54.3667,-13.5136,-41.39,-24.8378,-19.1777,11.4858,-30.337,-27.6016,-40.3259,-59.4928,-11.5576,-47.482,8.3503,43.6201,52.8563,0.0,49.7498,68.35,-9.094,27.1711,-32.4292,-44.7835,-35.0369,0.0,-35.4531,0.0,-19.6773,-20.0545,-36.1324,-12.075,-37.2633,-35.7883],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[71.4398,4.0609,27.5547,62.085,35.2389,-35.0273,-34.6289,22.6994,-29.7114,-5.2765,14.2625,0.0,-51.7186,-46.6824,0.0,-51.6268,0.0,-7.4723,-39.9104,0.0,-56.3389,-2.6162,-36.1918,-14.1175,-14.6755,12.8964,-34.0859,-29.8968,-39.0339,-60.4601,-2.9271,-44.1119,16.7632,41.0648,49.9725,0.0,46.3593,68.0695,-16.5235,22.448,-33.4853,-51.4818,-35.5349,0.0,-35.2046,0.0,-23.8018,-16.4017,-39.8608,-6.6734,-41.3463,-40.4603],"force":[85.5919,27.7851,10.4793,82.3898,6.8017,-75.4961,-55.8699,27.2388,-41.2424,-6.148,22.1414,0.0,-61.8771,-33.5696,0.0,-48.4693,0.0,-6.0141,-29.9704,0.0,-59.3395,-9.9526,-37.9889,-6.0214,-0.9269,41.588,-32.3357,-19.5499,-37.0842,-58.1861,-26.3609,-45.4784,42.807,70.1189,68.6605,0.0,56.7214,80.7809,-50.6194,19.3052,-59.7047,-41.716,-22.1708,0.0,-25.7665,0.0,-12.5546,-9.6818,-32.0003,-11.5117,-30.8541,-23.3398],"direction":[70.6092,58.1724,55.9541,66.9091,59.7266,-4.6538,-27.8864,13.5361,-28.9598,-13.0673,15.5159,0.0,-39.0377,-47.9811,0.0,-48.9886,0.0,-19.6696,-38.8007,0.0,-48.5608,-42.7294,-49.7601,-50.5298,-38.6837,11.6279,-24.6248,-30.7298,-44.118,-59.3207,-48.5056,-52.7648,25.8764,27.6126,44.8633,0.0,48.6449,59.7913,-29.0579,38.1874,-11.7397,-39.3194,-43.6578,0.0,-42.6561,0.0,-20.0511,-31.6382,-34.8229,-35.0958,-37.175,-39.3408],"intensity":[80.7692,46.1538,9.6154,100.0,65.3846,100.0,96.1538,57.6923,42.3077,15.3846,34.6154,88.4615,82.6923,73.0769,55.7692,61.5385,34.6154,13.4615,15.3846,26.9231,76.9231,69.2308,40.3846,51.9231,17.3077,67.3077,51.9231,42.3077,48.0769,63.4615,28.8462,28.8462,50.0,76.9231,61.5385,53.8462,59.6154,76.9231,75.0,15.3846,65.3846,94.2308,25.0,34.6154,51.9231,53.8462,23.0769,3.8462,17.3077,25.0,34.6154,15.3846],"confirmation":[92.2817,9.602,78.0254,90.5476,56.1885,57.6189,80.6278,29.4373,78.6574,25.2791,73.5381,24.1939,84.2809,81.6782,29.9234,83.9024,4.786,26.2033,79.5927,28.1786,85.5188,5.8985,81.2203,52.8713,51.1238,29.7187,77.7116,76.5522,80.8252,86.9831,8.298,83.1845,31.781,82.8049,85.4396,30.8561,84.1841,90.2551,32.9281,76.527,79.1925,82.1352,78.8121,29.3759,79.0536,3.5225,74.0168,74.157,79.3796,5.6833,79.6667,87.0017],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[12.6449,35.033,24.3586,15.4735,27.9534,6.5755,26.8815,54.5396,33.4796,17.8804,28.062,4.7448,9.8151,23.1363,41.9036,22.6997,10.5659,13.6954,25.4949,19.1286,19.8902,38.6009,26.9836,37.1012,24.4841,0.2168,13.1876,8.0175,25.8075,20.2475,43.3991,25.879,24.5175,27.9471,23.4601,50.5924,25.0037,15.6483,23.2267,29.9968,20.5202,27.4871,31.7873,48.0902,28.3598,4.2131,11.8636,25.095,5.0808,34.8457,23.2777,27.4052],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-35.8,"control":-40.5,"force":-23.3,"direction":-39.3,"confirmation":87.0,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":27.4,"intensity":15.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.8","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-40.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-23.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-39.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"87/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"40.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.5%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"13%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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