{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ORCL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"6d565c45-2f6c-4f2b-aadf-69cb3423c6fb","symbol":"ORCL","name":"Oracle Corporation","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Technology","industry":"Software - Infrastructure"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":8.4,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":35.4,"averageExpectedMove":35.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-9.1,"medianReturn":-9.1,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-31.4,"medianReturn":-31.4,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-50.1,"medianReturn":-50.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-9.1,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-22.3,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-24.8,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-33.3,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-34.5,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-34.1,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-31.4,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-36.3,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-36.3,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-38.1,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-39.9,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-43.6,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-42.0,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-45.4,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-48.5,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-50.1,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-47.3,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-49.5,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-52.3,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-48.8,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-50.1,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":35.7,"averageReturn":8.0,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 35.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 8.0% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 9.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.1% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-31","price":223.599701}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-09-12","price":248.488846},{"date":"2025-10-10","price":262.620422}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[120.7714,124.2377,123.6502,144.5067,147.9533,147.0133,151.0084,157.7147,159.8351,158.6964,155.182,173.7944,172.5379,182.9043,172.8127,177.9567,161.1702,160.0903,158.5589,158.7356,148.8051,155.025,172.917,163.5085,166.1263,162.8786,163.6659,153.8636,135.4205,135.5189,139.4556,127.2323,117.1545,113.5772,113.7156,119.8629,131.7622,131.9994,141.3291,135.6364,142.436,150.382,180.2094,179.2804,180.5652,197.5642,196.968,209.2042,206.8263,210.8886,211.7307,211.5326,200.1881,189.874,192.1528,248.4888,254.1858,240.8103,246.6064,262.6204,254.9255,243.7554,223.5997,199.9688,181.6996,171.0359,171.8302,183.4471,158.2871,163.0927,164.6814,166.2303,167.311,162.1523,150.8986,139.8641,119.488,133.1716,127.3356,122.5752,135.5817,136.1593,130.4229,121.0814,125.5629,118.34,151.22,147.82,138.64,167.22,167.22,166.26,188.78,189.0745,158.2426,159.1588,131.5336,126.0762,123.62,110.1,104.56,110.2,126.3,132.4],"consensus":[-23.2079,47.322,8.2218,71.0841,60.1239,37.96,64.7984,68.2012,56.4179,35.5208,16.3168,83.6346,22.2938,81.4486,0.0,65.7628,-46.1017,-15.6084,-30.9747,-18.5138,-59.1574,16.184,57.9523,-13.3641,34.5686,-9.4235,-11.8637,-48.39,-75.5502,-35.9361,-12.4221,-74.4682,-68.8734,-56.3647,-49.2231,0.0,36.6163,12.0833,39.6706,-11.042,40.4016,61.2857,82.5648,26.3855,50.2625,76.4833,31.7417,69.2793,40.5365,38.3776,31.3171,27.5836,-8.1808,-32.2449,0.0,65.2972,46.5834,0.0,53.8215,64.869,0.0,0.0,-41.6319,-66.2264,-67.9908,-68.8273,-34.1131,0.0,-73.0324,-12.6567,-38.7719,-23.2052,-8.8676,-40.978,-58.9952,-65.1799,-73.1862,0.0,-57.6215,-40.3839,20.7557,0.0,-33.1321,-44.0212,-14.6685,-46.9176,57.9722,0.0,-20.1858,70.7233,36.7003,35.7011,74.4098,22.227,-15.1308,0.0,-59.2553,-41.5117,-49.7164,-67.7079,-61.2851,-14.3651,25.227,-25.0403],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-12.2925,-34.2077,0.0,57.5007,40.8316,0.0,59.3579,71.2528,0.0,0.0,-41.9298,-60.1404,-67.0815,-65.2908,-26.1564,0.0,-71.3533,-5.3705,-47.46,-14.0242,-9.6087,-44.4774,-54.6516,-60.3707,-70.0789,0.0,-62.6054,-36.4928,20.0006,0.0,-45.9463,-53.5338,-10.4282,-51.2711,50.3843,0.0,-27.1416,67.6656,36.3447,35.3903,75.8944,5.5854,-15.9787,0.0,-58.4613,-41.761,-56.3398,-64.3649,-61.3118,-11.0552,25.6768,-14.7163],"force":[-41.2149,-50.7453,0.0,79.806,28.4698,0.0,37.1487,68.2382,0.0,0.0,-63.7772,-93.6544,-77.6915,-79.3958,-4.4341,0.0,-91.5437,-27.5658,-13.3566,-1.4215,-14.0315,-42.1127,-73.4894,-77.3672,-84.9562,0.0,-47.2142,-22.5921,69.2636,0.0,-26.4231,-41.6143,-9.6935,-39.3819,94.0405,0.0,-59.9277,92.886,14.9473,13.7535,82.7684,8.3733,-30.3837,0.0,-75.41,-24.8141,-31.9499,-81.6399,-59.1879,-37.5633,79.1141,-54.9796],"direction":[-20.1142,-16.7872,0.0,63.8441,66.0951,0.0,59.4033,55.1667,0.0,0.0,-25.4733,-53.5904,-62.1009,-65.3202,-64.4058,0.0,-61.7289,-49.7143,-46.9965,-51.2882,-24.3771,-36.1682,-53.6062,-61.9707,-68.3303,0.0,-59.3594,-57.5392,13.0299,0.0,-23.2795,-34.8689,-36.9161,-47.3247,40.8808,0.0,-16.1509,58.3874,52.6448,51.7332,66.7426,63.1033,-3.267,0.0,-48.6236,-53.1535,-54.8372,-61.5771,-62.7527,-55.2395,13.7779,-15.4539],"intensity":[65.3846,57.6923,48.0769,100.0,98.0769,73.0769,94.2308,75.0,88.4615,88.4615,84.6154,88.4615,78.8462,57.6923,88.4615,50.0,88.4615,92.3077,59.6154,3.8462,1.9231,30.7692,65.3846,42.3077,80.7692,59.6154,21.1538,34.6154,55.7692,40.3846,34.6154,36.5385,11.5385,25.0,96.1538,92.3077,53.8462,88.4615,32.6923,5.7692,75.0,82.6923,96.1538,5.7692,86.5385,15.3846,7.6923,63.4615,38.4615,17.3077,61.5385,44.2308],"confirmation":[30.5196,78.8523,3.1587,89.4561,82.4423,35.2857,84.6304,88.7635,7.6908,6.3798,81.9926,90.1211,90.0665,90.4007,55.4663,12.0838,91.9601,8.8161,79.5001,52.4516,27.7885,81.0942,87.3864,89.3023,91.8256,12.9241,86.0458,80.4399,33.578,26.7111,78.2025,81.8685,28.7507,82.7176,87.7659,6.3209,33.6768,91.3535,79.0866,78.7602,92.0432,8.2199,50.6271,23.9986,87.4661,80.7711,83.2669,90.1421,87.5469,33.7449,35.314,77.0826],"persistence":[75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[25.1973,31.9699,48.0987,16.2438,26.5728,47.8934,22.9395,1.6248,1.3254,5.1481,21.4197,16.7133,15.9324,15.5111,32.3675,33.4093,10.7372,20.8091,5.4622,31.9577,37.3611,16.3853,12.2655,16.6302,13.3957,46.9403,19.8488,25.7851,34.4613,19.5684,33.0205,13.8928,32.3333,24.4658,16.7004,44.5771,48.2923,14.5606,23.2847,26.3923,12.72,34.848,17.043,21.9734,20.1908,29.1464,23.0162,15.9496,16.1987,30.9558,3.3098,33.1307],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-25.0,"control":-14.7,"force":-55.0,"direction":-15.5,"confirmation":77.1,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":33.1,"intensity":44.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-25.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-14.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-55.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-15.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"77/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"11.7%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"30%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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