{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"URAN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"70420ef5-1221-445e-ad1e-1f928b4a7be4","symbol":"URAN","name":"VanEck Uranium and Energy Innovation ETF","exchange":"ASX","country":"AU","asset_type":"etf","currency":"AUD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":43,"displayedObservations":43,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","headline":"Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","take":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.215998,-0.308493,-0.345183,-0.399021,-0.627067,-0.760827,-0.872385,-0.999563,-1.003575,-1.225249,-1.286673,-1.331943,-1.144752,-0.786928,-0.486377],"opens":[18.757099,17.478658,17.438706,17.978048,16.46989,17.338829,16.929328,16.200001,15.84,15.06,14.68,15.11,15.0,15.97,16.450001],"highs":[18.97683,18.387548,17.748329,17.978048,16.46989,17.448694,16.929328,16.27,15.84,15.06,16.0,15.31,15.99,16.58,16.49],"lows":[17.508623,16.370012,16.979269,17.598513,16.230183,17.05917,16.110327,16.1,15.73,14.1,14.16,14.25,14.87,15.97,15.73],"closes":[17.528597,17.42872,17.65844,17.598513,16.350037,17.05917,16.110327,16.27,15.73,14.24,15.15,15.0,15.97,16.57,15.74],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"18.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"19.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"17.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"17.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"-1.14","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"16.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"16.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"16.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"16.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.79","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"16.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"16.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.49","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[14.034894,17.863546],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.486377,"state":"Negative but repairing over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"negativeRepair","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Underlying pressure is repairing","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Repairing","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":15,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[21.93,18.65,17.86,16.7,17.4,18.94,18.63,16.89,17.5,17.29,19.29,20.41,20.84,20.8,18.44,18.86,19.83,19.74,18.42,18.16,17.32,17.25,17.4,17.59,18.36,18.96,18.4475,18.877,17.5286,17.4287,17.6584,17.5985,16.35,17.0592,16.1103,16.27,15.73,14.24,15.15,15.0,15.97,16.57,15.74],"consensus":[88.5471,-91.7738,-100.0,-55.5958,-52.2457,13.8668,0.0,-51.9499,-17.138,-39.0271,37.9376,58.9868,34.7657,30.1308,-49.2403,-21.1778,22.8777,0.0,-35.5761,-17.1535,-49.1962,-25.8774,-9.4937,-15.8395,26.1081,33.0834,0.0,25.6757,-46.3556,-19.6238,0.0,-28.7663,-40.545,-18.3041,-54.6411,-11.6226,-46.3863,-66.9092,-8.9936,-28.9748,27.8718,43.7447,-35.2185],"supportDates":["2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,25.0243,0.0,-63.849,-19.5536,-34.8912,39.6162,57.056,21.3926,18.3226,-47.6839,-17.2222,38.8084,0.0,-40.2234,-14.11,-49.0533,-19.691,-0.7339,-16.0587,26.7059,34.2289,0.0,23.7992,-49.2788,-13.2009,0.0,-33.1041,-43.619,-24.644,-62.7251,-1.7833,-59.4507,-73.5901,-2.2728,-20.4705,28.5348,38.1356,-44.2347],"force":[88.5471,-91.7738,-100.0,-55.5958,-9.5741,41.5713,0.0,-47.2737,-11.2358,-17.9382,52.8344,59.5611,16.0387,8.3526,-68.9455,-12.6719,29.0849,0.0,-54.8233,-8.1828,-54.4601,-9.4721,-10.6784,-2.8421,45.0471,36.1548,0.0,28.7004,-67.8915,-12.0002,0.0,-25.4434,-30.8937,-2.421,-52.7601,-10.6044,-31.1523,-63.2402,-31.1931,-17.3531,73.1345,75.0606,-65.9883],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-96.4027,18.6737,0.0,-41.6912,-34.6442,-58.8174,25.3786,60.7833,63.4258,59.1817,-36.9438,-31.7742,0.2373,0.0,-16.517,-27.0396,-45.5995,-44.6657,-33.9135,-24.8728,11.8971,29.5804,0.0,25.6596,-27.6319,-32.4096,0.0,-26.1823,-43.9255,-22.4037,-46.7458,-42.82,-42.337,-61.8947,-45.3793,-46.9953,5.2165,27.7866,-2.936],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,16.6667,71.4286,37.5,11.1111,80.0,54.5455,50.0,7.6923,85.7143,53.3333,25.0,17.6471,61.1111,52.6316,25.0,76.1905,4.5455,26.087,25.0,24.0,19.2308,14.8148,71.4286,51.7241,23.3333,22.5806,78.125,45.4545,41.1765,25.7143,19.4444,86.4865,42.1053,28.2051,50.0,58.5366,38.0952],"confirmation":[51.0017,52.0343,54.6667,40.4573,16.9563,31.7621,3.5756,84.3001,29.6462,79.909,80.5684,86.9227,78.7581,77.1581,84.3811,74.578,52.6006,24.9235,79.9001,73.2621,83.9054,75.8751,4.8348,50.0025,76.9227,78.6628,26.8297,76.337,83.4456,74.1451,4.263,77.0378,80.6334,50.61,85.3046,5.8888,82.1803,89.1973,8.4102,77.0473,56.7345,83.0382,65.4036],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,33.3333,28.5714,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,23.7065,1.7065,25.6691,32.4105,12.0311,22.3194,1.7408,19.6479,31.6958,34.3385,5.4773,32.3275,46.3476,38.1052,16.9237,18.4719,24.4688,36.1454,32.4654,20.136,28.6608,31.4895,42.8668,35.5534,17.9711,39.3424,41.0019,34.5918,27.2451,16.7318,21.5606,42.0937,12.3979,16.5022,38.0674,32.1004,0.4636,27.8985,49.1854],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-35.2,"control":-44.2,"force":-66.0,"direction":-2.9,"confirmation":65.4,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":49.2,"intensity":38.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.2","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-44.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-66.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-2.9","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"65/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"34.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.3%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"25.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"28%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[21.93,18.65,17.86,16.7,17.4,18.94,18.63,16.89,17.5,17.29,19.29,20.41,20.84,20.8,18.44,18.86,19.83,19.74,18.42,18.16,17.32,17.25,17.4,17.59,18.36,18.96,18.4475,18.877,17.5286,17.4287,17.6584,17.5985,16.35,17.0592,16.1103,16.27,15.73,14.24,15.15,15.0,15.97,16.57,15.74],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,19.5063,19.4034,19.2628,18.8313,18.5893,18.3531,18.5234,18.8664,19.2253,19.5116,19.3167,19.2337,19.3421,19.4145,19.2336,19.0384,18.726,18.4576,18.2653,18.1425,18.1821,18.3235,18.3461,18.4426,18.2764,18.1223,18.0379,17.958,17.6657,17.5554,17.2927,17.1067,16.8564,16.3807,16.1569,15.9466,15.9508,16.0634,16.0046],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}