{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"1020 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"732997f5-dc67-44ed-9e1e-e68794741a83","symbol":"1020","name":"aljazira bank","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":3.3,"averageExpectedMove":5.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-0.5,"medianReturn":-1.8,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-4.8,"medianReturn":-6.3,"confidenceLow":15.2,"confidenceHigh":58.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":38.5,"averageReturn":-1.9,"medianReturn":-3.9,"confidenceLow":17.7,"confidenceHigh":64.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.9,"averageExpectedMove":6.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.0,"medianReturn":-1.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.7,"medianReturn":-6.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.6,"medianReturn":-12.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-9.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":33.3,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -4.8% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.2% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-14","price":13.903107}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-12-27","price":14.210359}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[13.5805,13.5498,13.4422,13.4422,13.4576,13.473,12.628,12.6741,12.3976,12.4437,12.628,12.9506,12.797,12.7048,12.29,13.0121,13.6419,13.4576,14.2104,14.4101,14.2564,14.0721,14.0721,14.4715,14.4562,13.9031,13.8724,13.6266,13.519,13.2272,13.2579,13.4269,13.2425,12.2747,12.8277,13.0582,12.5973,12.6933,12.7509,12.4629,12.2708,12.2708,12.098,11.5987,12.4245,11.9444,12.1844,11.8868,11.9444,12.0692,12.0788,11.8964,11.9636,11.6563,11.5219,11.4259,11.5123,12.6837,12.4821,12.3957,12.4917,12.194,12.1268,11.6083,11.4835,11.3779,11.0994,10.9362,11.0898,10.5425,10.5329,10.8786,10.677,10.8306,11.3107,12.0308,11.9444,12.03,11.78,11.58,11.45,11.2,11.39,11.59,11.76,11.74,11.97,11.72,11.76,11.55,11.32,11.4,11.4,11.43,11.64,11.85,11.93,11.69,11.87,11.8,12.09,12.15,12.35,11.83],"consensus":[61.7887,18.9934,16.8607,28.3774,11.0808,14.1962,-53.5431,-10.8646,-48.843,-27.7095,0.0,28.4244,-11.3569,-10.441,-48.5213,39.0062,62.7786,0.0,68.9671,54.644,14.2758,8.4587,14.7296,41.1497,27.3807,-30.683,0.0,-33.7528,-26.1364,-38.9204,-24.6309,0.0,-31.1842,-56.7259,-8.7375,0.0,-55.2909,0.0,-15.565,-46.3853,-35.1873,-20.952,-44.8346,-57.7748,31.7113,-53.2498,9.8394,-34.3312,-12.6215,0.0,0.0,-20.9894,0.0,-48.5809,-34.4722,-36.1544,-8.3347,65.9465,22.9775,12.7328,37.3597,-28.0931,-18.5473,-55.4181,-47.5276,-39.1167,-59.2082,-45.3617,-18.3814,-74.9463,-38.0948,0.0,-43.8847,0.0,46.6249,68.8285,23.5773,37.332,0.0,-20.6133,0.0,-41.4461,9.7493,23.1929,34.2055,19.7119,44.0955,-10.5119,0.0,-24.9058,-44.8012,0.0,-15.9281,-13.2627,30.2194,46.2665,29.5696,-9.7439,36.2029,0.0,46.7802,32.9725,48.1206,30.8717],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-48.9099,-30.9408,-35.9474,-2.4937,57.5094,23.2063,0.5295,33.7889,-24.862,-20.0779,-52.6981,-53.9152,-38.5863,-63.7107,-41.0286,-14.7478,-75.9269,-35.4987,0.0,-40.1018,0.0,42.4972,64.1872,15.3853,29.7383,0.0,-21.394,0.0,-41.6225,24.1125,27.4584,34.7694,12.4307,41.5518,-19.3116,0.0,-28.5304,-45.7972,0.0,-11.2164,-15.3641,27.819,47.6095,22.0842,-20.0351,38.3899,0.0,43.125,28.8102,43.5656,31.8361],"force":[0.0,-62.9194,-26.849,-25.1098,-16.2312,97.03,9.9828,8.8282,32.2745,-62.3061,-28.335,-78.3978,-37.8072,-25.5452,-56.3358,-36.2908,-16.4176,-91.9428,-12.6409,0.0,-45.1352,0.0,76.2047,92.4391,7.8051,21.8074,0.0,-43.0318,0.0,-52.8013,22.4848,31.2927,34.1375,9.9039,45.4152,-35.5375,0.0,-37.1869,-54.6249,0.0,-7.7456,-6.9622,43.6221,52.0468,20.9494,-33.9126,39.5246,0.0,66.2779,20.6117,49.3969,73.4662],"direction":[0.0,-37.9632,-43.9531,-44.2798,-38.2572,53.3865,46.2592,42.0801,45.073,-7.348,-9.8069,-42.1125,-47.1705,-49.4167,-56.1143,-56.7931,-47.3904,-61.6853,-59.243,0.0,-47.315,0.0,30.2137,57.2681,55.3556,57.0994,0.0,-3.7078,0.0,-33.1336,15.7624,12.5326,33.6096,35.039,46.0599,-17.4204,0.0,-11.9912,-36.6462,0.0,-27.1575,-15.3615,23.3892,40.6029,44.2817,-19.2808,31.3308,0.0,37.0307,46.5586,52.4146,0.6551],"intensity":[5.7692,50.0,76.9231,5.7692,13.4615,98.0769,63.4615,59.6154,13.4615,46.1538,7.6923,82.6923,65.3846,23.0769,44.2308,55.7692,32.6923,80.7692,67.3077,57.6923,28.8462,30.7692,76.9231,92.3077,59.6154,17.3077,42.3077,28.8462,84.6154,44.2308,21.1538,50.0,9.6154,5.7692,46.1538,46.1538,48.0769,38.4615,40.3846,36.5385,9.6154,34.6154,34.6154,67.3077,71.1538,65.3846,19.2308,1.9231,76.9231,26.9231,61.5385,94.2308],"confirmation":[2.6973,83.9779,78.8526,79.236,6.0781,90.1788,31.1411,5.4867,79.8546,55.415,74.2101,86.4756,82.8152,80.1118,86.7905,82.3053,31.046,92.4859,79.4541,32.9526,82.1389,27.8363,83.8843,90.8154,53.7116,79.5888,31.4246,52.6009,2.9881,81.6061,29.3184,75.6036,78.9351,74.1199,82.1895,30.3754,24.5261,76.2889,82.6206,3.8421,50.2527,49.3534,78.1152,82.961,77.3136,30.4777,79.6528,2.7313,83.6196,78.2379,83.5069,56.6354],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[4.6559,17.8683,29.272,26.276,40.7044,16.5462,38.0021,43.1736,30.9537,29.7236,28.4978,20.6198,25.7071,29.0301,19.9305,24.4007,29.258,10.8743,30.6118,15.463,24.8875,41.3563,26.2345,15.4293,38.1689,31.2734,43.1711,33.769,44.2182,28.6132,48.3909,9.8934,22.7059,38.1946,26.4361,27.8807,2.1682,26.2097,27.4979,43.6554,40.3909,23.3818,32.843,26.4124,35.078,50.4261,25.0325,16.2892,13.5928,33.088,25.7026,22.5208],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":30.9,"control":31.8,"force":73.5,"direction":0.7,"confirmation":56.6,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":22.5,"intensity":94.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+30.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+31.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+73.5","detail":"Upward 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leadership","title":"Strength versus the research benchmark","description":"Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.","reason":"Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.","series":[{"label":"Relative 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