{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ORNBV Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"73420122-0ff9-4bef-9f36-23bf1a5ffaa1","symbol":"ORNBV","name":"Orion Oyj","exchange":"HEL","country":"FI","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Healthcare","industry":"Drug Manufacturers - General"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":8.7,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":20},{"week":18,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":19},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.5,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":36.4,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":22},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 36.4% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.5% across 22 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 11.7% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":77.400002}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[44.0524,45.2892,45.5253,43.7975,44.5528,46.1956,45.1004,45.4214,45.7406,42.5619,43.4646,43.3205,42.8308,43.4358,42.946,43.2149,40.1899,41.083,41.1886,42.0337,43.3397,47.4115,48.7464,50.2637,50.3214,49.5147,50.3598,52.0307,51.4161,53.356,55.4111,52.6454,51.3692,46.7294,47.8407,52.9288,54.6834,53.465,55.7556,56.9741,58.2412,61.068,61.7016,62.0915,61.7503,61.5066,64.9183,67.6963,68.7685,68.5248,63.7486,66.088,67.5988,66.4778,64.2359,66.4291,65.4056,62.1402,63.6511,67.2089,66.248,67.4319,59.7366,56.0863,59.194,59.1447,60.8219,60.0326,59.2434,61.3645,62.6963,62.4497,65.0641,69.6516,69.1584,68.7144,72.858,66.9386,68.3198,66.7906,66.544,68.5171,67.9745,67.3,71.7,73.1,75.05,66.65,68.7,68.55,68.05,71.25,71.35,70.6,68.35,66.8,70.0,72.0,69.65,77.4,78.45,81.1,81.5,77.4],"consensus":[46.4505,70.8121,42.8988,0.0,44.9639,57.8752,0.0,30.2122,29.9948,-50.3225,12.4997,-9.1867,-24.9568,17.8,-23.9436,0.0,-64.9873,0.0,-11.7346,0.0,42.7335,67.855,59.4369,63.5828,42.694,17.6877,47.4834,59.6567,15.5627,67.2293,73.3539,0.0,-10.8615,-57.9704,-14.3641,50.0851,54.5677,0.0,57.8064,42.642,58.4832,68.4323,44.7104,46.8069,29.7205,23.8738,66.2496,69.5875,55.6686,33.9805,-27.8755,39.0719,32.6525,-8.3765,-22.622,35.6516,-8.9233,-49.0315,0.0,41.1339,0.0,38.3655,-65.2866,-74.3906,0.0,-28.3321,13.5881,-13.2068,-32.5073,30.2317,30.8952,0.0,49.0481,65.9775,39.3249,23.6829,70.464,-34.8421,22.5873,-17.5648,-8.2637,29.5521,0.0,0.0,54.8411,44.9182,58.2498,-49.4396,14.4065,-18.6848,-13.5623,42.5794,16.4706,14.7656,-27.748,-37.9402,10.7814,26.7316,-11.8804,66.9601,52.2581,60.1707,42.7444,17.3365],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[45.7309,-3.9094,-29.5399,43.5666,-0.4982,-44.1147,0.0,44.6348,0.0,40.941,-57.0224,-73.2109,0.0,-18.7672,15.2982,-20.4612,-41.167,29.6107,39.8488,0.0,49.3066,57.4435,40.9158,14.4492,73.4974,-32.145,28.4796,-17.519,-1.2394,27.9292,0.0,0.0,57.3935,46.9363,64.5066,-49.986,26.0607,-15.1193,-3.311,42.0348,13.9912,15.5431,-40.9503,-37.7189,19.2467,31.3034,-20.9275,58.2399,51.899,60.168,40.3071,19.9732],"force":[22.9249,-42.8455,-46.4605,46.4949,-25.2074,-65.8688,0.0,62.2126,0.0,38.4183,-96.4674,-89.0828,0.0,-8.9952,48.7523,-10.1347,-26.3995,65.8732,34.8355,0.0,55.7783,91.0633,13.3946,1.3751,77.6493,-87.6794,24.15,-36.712,-11.4729,41.6316,0.0,0.0,63.196,36.0844,51.6866,-89.7786,36.8147,-22.0638,-11.2974,58.8257,6.5345,9.4311,-31.4498,-36.7816,15.5027,19.8013,-22.2786,96.7503,46.5942,58.7328,20.452,71.4475],"direction":[24.654,-11.139,-2.3118,18.8605,-6.9205,-42.6241,0.0,22.0766,0.0,35.3843,-52.4594,-65.2442,0.0,-53.0756,13.4836,-7.1105,-26.9732,5.4831,17.848,0.0,43.9455,57.8124,56.0283,52.1342,61.865,-0.1836,14.737,-3.9404,-16.8322,22.7785,0.0,0.0,45.9561,48.9218,55.7872,-20.0014,14.9184,-20.3461,-26.8958,31.5973,26.4014,17.6873,-10.0155,-39.0207,2.2655,26.457,-5.8864,55.6474,56.714,61.2008,61.4532,24.3276],"intensity":[61.5385,32.6923,57.6923,55.7692,25.0,80.7692,46.1538,84.6154,34.6154,32.6923,100.0,100.0,71.1538,48.0769,42.3077,9.6154,15.3846,51.9231,59.6154,34.6154,59.6154,92.3077,86.5385,53.8462,82.6923,94.2308,86.5385,32.6923,28.8462,63.4615,63.4615,42.3077,78.8462,69.2308,34.6154,98.0769,94.2308,53.8462,65.3846,67.3077,50.0,25.0,44.2308,44.2308,75.0,30.7692,48.0769,96.1538,92.3077,76.9231,7.6923,75.0],"confirmation":[77.953,6.1754,53.6866,79.6184,26.1468,84.2781,28.7688,81.7519,4.2766,80.2393,89.9679,92.2707,34.8791,76.6227,30.937,49.3554,78.0842,56.1032,77.8701,26.9089,83.8966,90.0074,79.7695,52.5822,90.7212,58.1342,75.1858,51.5383,48.4847,77.8495,49.7167,1.5044,85.7649,82.0739,86.3446,85.0417,30.9647,74.1364,49.7604,82.1288,50.3389,72.5506,76.791,80.1089,49.2816,76.2732,50.5699,90.468,84.5554,87.2108,81.036,43.0132],"persistence":[75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[42.4791,33.6204,22.707,10.0051,33.6056,22.9174,15.4647,5.0575,18.5024,29.764,10.018,12.7467,48.1191,35.439,10.2538,49.8106,17.0966,16.298,12.9692,34.7211,23.9517,16.5761,28.9245,37.9266,14.7473,21.7261,27.0113,22.4542,45.0829,12.2597,2.9786,9.9777,20.1116,24.0568,20.4883,15.4624,41.8182,34.6425,42.4302,24.2723,27.5016,22.5553,18.862,26.0293,25.6583,8.7139,26.426,16.2229,23.6912,19.797,28.6131,8.6683],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":17.3,"control":20.0,"force":71.4,"direction":24.3,"confirmation":43.0,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":8.7,"intensity":75.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+17.3","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+20.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+71.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+24.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"43/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"59.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.4%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"70%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[44.0524,45.2892,45.5253,43.7975,44.5528,46.1956,45.1004,45.4214,45.7406,42.5619,43.4646,43.3205,42.8308,43.4358,42.946,43.2149,40.1899,41.083,41.1886,42.0337,43.3397,47.4115,48.7464,50.2637,50.3214,49.5147,50.3598,52.0307,51.4161,53.356,55.4111,52.6454,51.3692,46.7294,47.8407,52.9288,54.6834,53.465,55.7556,56.9741,58.2412,61.068,61.7016,62.0915,61.7503,61.5066,64.9183,67.6963,68.7685,68.5248,63.7486,66.088,67.5988,66.4778,64.2359,66.4291,65.4056,62.1402,63.6511,67.2089,66.248,67.4319,59.7366,56.0863,59.194,59.1447,60.8219,60.0326,59.2434,61.3645,62.6963,62.4497,65.0641,69.6516,69.1584,68.7144,72.858,66.9386,68.3198,66.7906,66.544,68.5171,67.9745,67.3,71.7,73.1,75.05,66.65,68.7,68.55,68.05,71.25,71.35,70.6,68.35,66.8,70.0,72.0,69.65,77.4,78.45,81.1,81.5,77.4],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}