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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":21.5,"averageExpectedMove":21.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.3,"medianReturn":-11.3,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.0,"medianReturn":-12.0,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-27.1,"medianReturn":-27.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-11.3,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-18.0,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-16.6,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-16.5,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-18.7,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-12.0,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-16.7,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-28.1,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-30.8,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-29.4,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-31.6,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-27.2,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-27.1,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":83.3,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":6},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 83.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.5% across 6 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 15.3% across 9 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-12-19","price":73.46}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-11-15","price":94.25},{"date":"2025-01-10","price":95.21},{"date":"2025-02-21","price":92.99}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":104.88},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":100.81}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[79.48,78.87,74.53,83.99,90.76,89.07,88.96,89.68,93.44,93.45,97.47,101.1,94.25,102.65,103.5,105.34,102.31,105.71,102.97,101.02,95.21,104.88,104.44,103.58,102.57,102.05,92.99,95.68,88.09,93.29,91.11,89.66,83.9,93.03,91.61,92.5,96.33,94.96,100.81,96.11,94.1,92.28,80.78,77.54,82.77,80.6,78.88,80.57,82.18,83.37,88.04,89.99,91.84,81.0,80.37,77.96,75.61,73.58,72.69,67.36,64.92,62.85,60.46,70.99,69.62,70.65,74.84,74.64,77.29,73.46,73.68,72.74,79.85,83.33,73.46,67.17,80.0,80.77,90.7,88.98,80.2,78.47,80.9,80.2,73.91,84.06,89.12,89.15,92.98,90.43,75.9,72.2,78.51,74.16,76.92,86.24,92.96,84.88,81.09,81.71,78.06,73.17,66.8,66.4],"consensus":[36.9539,17.6283,-24.809,63.4625,68.2413,23.0403,34.6297,41.2578,51.2992,31.6057,57.5172,58.7363,-14.7402,67.0341,35.2284,47.0148,0.0,48.2488,0.0,-8.4103,-42.3019,46.1394,0.0,11.5733,9.3788,0.0,-59.0285,0.0,-57.7329,10.229,-28.5214,-35.7602,-48.5384,30.4887,-17.7212,8.0343,29.9247,0.0,37.6439,-11.7853,-17.3297,-20.2974,-66.824,-58.324,0.0,-40.5039,-31.9779,0.0,0.0,10.9705,39.5177,24.7737,35.186,-50.5109,-15.5234,-42.7285,-43.3522,-37.6924,-38.635,-62.9675,-53.7628,-56.1258,-52.4106,34.1438,-13.8398,10.6456,40.4416,10.628,35.9145,-15.3734,0.0,0.0,53.0374,55.7645,-35.7982,-56.7921,51.6299,16.4052,57.3846,32.5156,-24.888,-13.2975,9.2708,-17.9249,-47.2111,47.7326,49.3946,28.4409,52.3936,16.7181,-58.4933,-46.7172,0.0,-46.3459,0.0,52.3128,57.1292,-9.1663,-12.8034,0.0,-36.0616,-48.9205,-62.619,-36.2978],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[33.5632,-50.7044,-6.6777,-44.7766,-41.3967,-35.4789,-39.5269,-63.6235,-56.7452,-61.7293,-50.0671,32.4906,-23.5306,4.9172,40.2714,5.0984,32.6728,-24.7863,0.0,0.0,58.3996,56.0001,-42.2939,-60.8224,52.0468,21.9247,49.982,29.3914,-30.691,-13.3737,13.4724,-14.1967,-46.8463,44.6347,51.8149,24.9698,52.458,12.1543,-55.0009,-43.4061,0.0,-46.6908,0.0,47.6641,52.8496,-21.0803,-20.5647,0.0,-34.3779,-47.9084,-55.9543,-33.2381],"force":[32.5634,-86.3497,-2.7111,-38.1441,-38.3617,-27.2972,-23.9558,-69.9554,-42.1236,-41.2865,-42.4915,86.6126,-14.7927,21.3487,50.9417,1.711,35.1327,-40.9867,0.0,0.0,63.0895,53.8654,-69.5978,-75.1474,87.0896,3.7946,63.847,0.693,-63.2674,-23.1667,26.8483,-32.5732,-67.8739,76.5344,51.2742,10.8533,49.9146,7.57,-86.8962,-47.2312,0.0,-47.8904,0.0,80.4134,73.5069,-39.1869,-23.1285,0.0,-40.9243,-56.014,-84.5789,-14.9454],"direction":[38.914,-24.6905,-34.7844,-43.6623,-49.1516,-47.6473,-48.1007,-57.2265,-58.668,-60.3213,-62.174,1.4445,-2.0839,9.5472,33.136,23.3169,40.1779,-13.6795,0.0,0.0,39.7291,56.8517,-4.2319,-39.075,25.825,19.1048,61.2286,58.8165,-9.1579,-6.1609,8.0864,-11.7225,-32.8689,30.7004,45.286,44.9703,54.0906,39.2826,-42.197,-50.1342,0.0,-44.8485,0.0,37.5537,50.3218,-25.893,-3.4418,0.0,-34.5125,-45.0104,-54.5501,-55.0463],"intensity":[21.1538,96.1538,94.2308,25.0,40.3846,40.3846,3.8462,57.6923,25.0,57.6923,44.2308,92.3077,84.6154,9.6154,48.0769,44.2308,25.0,40.3846,40.3846,17.3077,69.2308,51.9231,90.3846,76.9231,98.0769,90.3846,94.2308,50.0,75.0,63.4615,19.2308,48.0769,63.4615,84.6154,78.8462,44.2308,32.6923,30.7692,100.0,98.0769,63.4615,44.2308,23.0769,80.7692,69.2308,69.2308,63.4615,1.9231,28.8462,44.2308,59.6154,84.6154],"confirmation":[79.2043,85.2528,27.3785,81.5022,81.7504,79.7785,79.9022,88.3526,84.8039,85.4226,84.5048,58.1918,49.6434,49.1534,81.2639,25.8801,79.5182,31.1416,24.2809,1.6994,85.1966,85.7832,57.7199,86.6714,85.5959,50.1146,86.6728,54.8161,33.6657,49.8881,27.8301,74.2392,83.7428,84.1994,83.8267,76.618,84.6894,51.6274,87.6367,83.0156,32.2798,82.8725,28.31,85.6673,86.8457,31.8571,50.3611,24.2341,79.7136,83.8862,88.8089,87.0112],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[31.5061,3.0742,37.8807,28.4043,28.2985,29.5214,29.3041,18.1371,22.7861,21.652,23.6858,15.8577,45.9205,41.7551,29.7258,31.8109,30.207,38.3087,17.1361,20.0816,1.698,21.4648,15.6523,11.1361,24.4651,29.8495,20.9801,33.6695,13.9621,10.1618,49.9641,34.7312,12.9667,9.1811,16.3106,29.8942,23.6096,33.2412,18.8376,26.271,52.1138,26.3582,4.8601,22.4466,20.0344,50.1986,34.7052,28.8242,31.0451,23.1611,17.5273,31.5473],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-36.3,"control":-33.2,"force":-14.9,"direction":-55.0,"confirmation":87.0,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":31.5,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-36.3","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-33.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-14.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-55.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"87/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"39.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.7%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.3","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"4%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[79.48,78.87,74.53,83.99,90.76,89.07,88.96,89.68,93.44,93.45,97.47,101.1,94.25,102.65,103.5,105.34,102.31,105.71,102.97,101.02,95.21,104.88,104.44,103.58,102.57,102.05,92.99,95.68,88.09,93.29,91.11,89.66,83.9,93.03,91.61,92.5,96.33,94.96,100.81,96.11,94.1,92.28,80.78,77.54,82.77,80.6,78.88,80.57,82.18,83.37,88.04,89.99,91.84,81.0,80.37,77.96,75.61,73.58,72.69,67.36,64.92,62.85,60.46,70.99,69.62,70.65,74.84,74.64,77.29,73.46,73.68,72.74,79.85,83.33,73.46,67.17,80.0,80.77,90.7,88.98,80.2,78.47,80.9,80.2,73.91,84.06,89.12,89.15,92.98,90.43,75.9,72.2,78.51,74.16,76.92,86.24,92.96,84.88,81.09,81.71,78.06,73.17,66.8,66.4],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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