{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BHMU Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"7393a9f4-9478-403f-bc97-23306a950874","symbol":"BHMU","name":"BH Macro Limited","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":23},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":23},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":23},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":23},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":23},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":23},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":23},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":23},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":23},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":23},{"week":11,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":23},{"week":12,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":23},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":23},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":23},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":23},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":23},{"week":17,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":23},{"week":18,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":23},{"week":19,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":23},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":22},{"week":21,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":22},{"week":22,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":22},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":22},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":22},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":22},{"week":26,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":22}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":5.2,"averageExpectedMove":5.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.0,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.9,"medianReturn":-2.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":1},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.6,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.2% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.2% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-20","price":4.4}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":4.46}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-07-12","2024-07-19","2024-07-26","2024-08-02","2024-08-09","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.97,4.0,3.91,3.94,4.01,3.87,3.92,3.86,3.85,3.82,3.91,3.92,3.83,3.84,3.8,4.0,3.86,3.86,3.98,4.16,4.16,4.11,4.12,4.14,4.17,4.19,4.28,4.25,4.03,4.08,3.98,3.99,3.95,3.88,3.83,3.87,3.78,4.1,4.09,4.04,4.05,4.02,3.99,4.05,4.0,3.98,4.03,3.94,3.97,4.03,4.02,4.05,3.97,3.95,3.98,4.08,4.06,4.0,4.02,4.04,3.98,4.01,4.02,4.07,4.16,4.12,4.16,4.18,4.1,4.15,4.18,4.2,4.23,4.24,4.24,4.17,4.24,4.32,4.46,4.36,4.55,4.47,4.57,4.5,4.4,4.21,4.25,4.23,4.26,4.38,4.34,4.46,4.42,4.44,4.39,4.37,4.36,4.35,4.35,4.31,4.29,4.23,4.26,4.33],"consensus":[59.443,30.1656,0.0,29.0452,40.3789,-19.2303,14.5981,-13.7677,0.0,-9.8954,30.4356,22.4753,-16.8135,0.0,-20.0836,47.903,-20.3455,0.0,43.261,58.9951,28.7139,19.0526,31.3119,16.509,17.1578,26.9436,44.0274,21.5777,-45.4203,0.0,-45.4931,-23.0478,-27.4261,-48.6685,-50.3833,-8.0479,-60.0323,35.4897,26.2246,8.9848,25.5432,0.0,-16.8383,19.8652,-20.6934,0.0,25.8651,-41.4318,0.0,28.3548,0.0,28.0264,-31.4759,-25.811,0.0,46.3568,13.5457,0.0,11.6689,15.479,-34.9061,9.0493,0.0,26.1247,53.9786,0.0,42.6196,31.5997,-23.7572,27.1643,26.953,20.8677,39.5776,39.0291,20.9958,-18.6118,33.2678,51.4265,70.6411,0.0,68.6733,9.165,55.4339,12.3115,-33.741,-62.06,-18.6166,-27.4684,0.0,38.2871,0.0,50.6561,14.1548,18.4581,12.5211,0.0,0.0,-18.6437,-19.4606,-34.6649,-21.5371,-46.5608,-12.503,22.996],"supportDates":["2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-35.7268,-25.6593,0.0,49.0644,10.8831,0.0,8.2887,22.38,-25.5516,11.2458,0.0,24.7219,53.6026,0.0,42.2457,27.3268,-24.2469,30.0124,30.5898,21.9475,39.8768,45.4634,18.3674,-20.7474,36.8358,43.0823,79.6032,0.0,63.9067,2.3761,60.1573,2.6221,-25.7011,-58.3735,-10.7267,-22.164,0.0,42.3928,0.0,42.824,10.9082,18.5503,18.543,0.0,0.0,-16.9508,-25.3149,-33.6295,-16.9131,-36.0511,-4.9752,20.2372],"force":[-54.5935,-25.3765,0.0,71.5716,1.3371,0.0,20.0991,25.1144,-66.9097,16.5801,0.0,36.2062,62.0711,0.0,40.8514,22.3824,-52.3359,27.5646,21.508,8.3096,32.1831,24.5547,2.8769,-38.4333,41.346,75.0198,69.4828,0.0,86.063,30.5065,50.1415,17.3691,-82.7361,-91.0991,-4.1501,-18.4154,0.0,51.6895,0.0,80.806,0.393,12.1968,5.7633,0.0,0.0,-19.9893,-18.109,-48.1047,-15.4765,-64.3791,-8.4617,56.9329],"direction":[-10.1052,-26.2948,0.0,25.2516,27.2192,0.0,9.5105,0.7098,-22.7372,1.1598,0.0,20.5267,48.6281,0.0,44.3099,43.0668,-2.784,23.6232,26.686,28.6036,44.5173,42.0143,36.9419,-2.013,23.4201,44.1104,61.2258,0.0,61.6996,50.6917,53.8161,44.5855,-7.9328,-45.531,-37.9669,-39.9971,0.0,24.0217,0.0,38.0713,28.2564,22.825,10.4661,0.0,0.0,-19.6172,-13.7354,-26.2483,-31.1505,-45.8445,-36.081,1.9083],"intensity":[53.8462,17.3077,11.5385,69.2308,7.6923,51.9231,28.8462,9.6154,44.2308,15.3846,3.8462,76.9231,67.3077,34.6154,34.6154,36.5385,69.2308,40.3846,38.4615,40.3846,25.0,59.6154,3.8462,84.6154,67.3077,92.3077,96.1538,90.3846,98.0769,76.9231,90.3846,76.9231,84.6154,98.0769,96.1538,100.0,13.4615,90.3846,84.6154,90.3846,57.6923,38.4615,71.1538,42.3077,1.9231,26.9231,13.4615,44.2308,67.3077,51.9231,40.3846,69.2308],"confirmation":[78.7121,76.2486,27.2254,83.5614,49.5402,48.7548,72.0425,50.4751,80.2878,48.4251,1.3162,76.6885,85.5255,7.3141,81.5901,77.8961,53.7991,76.6614,76.4036,74.2785,80.4349,79.9501,51.5399,51.8607,78.8375,85.3027,90.4333,10.3298,90.5781,8.9146,85.5056,6.8882,57.7461,88.8004,50.97,76.5948,27.9778,80.5978,26.9844,85.2481,49.5528,73.7144,49.0424,3.8673,3.5692,74.0328,74.097,79.5181,74.7776,83.6026,5.2819,38.7132],"persistence":[12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[15.738,33.5613,36.2497,1.5855,39.9018,39.8581,25.5955,39.7681,28.82,5.499,2.0329,14.54,22.8959,44.9513,28.3764,33.1443,30.5306,13.6127,7.1894,10.232,29.8751,29.3394,34.5545,18.9372,6.4517,21.0125,14.6432,47.6129,15.6216,43.1516,15.9193,40.0976,29.3782,18.1941,40.4293,35.6002,41.2061,26.5902,37.14,23.3708,38.6303,20.2862,19.6896,41.9803,33.1718,32.2135,22.053,22.8348,32.2222,25.3434,41.9274,7.9374],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":23.0,"control":20.2,"force":56.9,"direction":1.9,"confirmation":38.7,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":7.9,"intensity":69.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+23.0","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+20.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+56.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+1.9","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"39/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"51.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"31.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"30%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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