{"ticker": {"uuid": "73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2", "symbol": "8609", "name": "Okasan Securities Group Inc.", "exchange": "JPX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-06-12", "summary": "8609 closed the latest completed week at 941.0 JPY. The 4-week return is 1.2% and the 12-week return is 14.0%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.26.", "description": "Okasan Securities Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in securities business in Japan. The company offers asset management; online trading with consulting services; corporate services, support IPOs, propose M and A and business matching, IR activities, and implement the defined contribution plan; and securities trading services. It also handles the administration services; services on securities systems; business process outsourcing in securities administration; and property management and leasing. The company was formerly known as Okasan Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Okasan Securities Group Inc. in October 2008. Okasan Securities Group Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "62", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "941.0 JPY", "hint": "2026-06-12"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "0.3%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "1.2%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "14.0%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "100.0%", "hint": "52 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Capital Markets", "currency": "JPY", "market_cap": "188.3B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "834.4 JPY", "fair_value": "653.0 JPY", "vs_trend": "12.8%", "vs_fair_value": "44.1%", "high_52": "975.0 JPY", "low_52": "598.7 JPY", "drawdown": 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{"week": "3 Apr", "return": 2.1226415094339623, "return_label": "2.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 88.40706893421292, "volume": "2.9M"}, {"week": "10 Apr", "return": 4.272517321016166, "return_label": "4.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 70.59855958361072, "volume": "2.3M"}, {"week": "17 Apr", "return": 0.8859357696566998, "return_label": "0.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 50.36918235187314, "volume": "1.7M"}, {"week": "24 Apr", "return": -3.0735455543358947, "return_label": "-3.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 47.31283665193972, "volume": "1.6M"}, {"week": "1 May", "return": 2.491506228765572, "return_label": "2.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 65.3725110452097, "volume": "2.2M"}, {"week": "8 May", "return": -1.6574585635359116, "return_label": "-1.7%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 27.988258790776495, "volume": "924.9K"}, {"week": "15 May", "return": 4.49438202247191, "return_label": "4.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 56.68764752163651, "volume": "1.9M"}, {"week": "22 May", "return": -1.2903225806451613, "return_label": "-1.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 62.89112146704594, "volume": "2.1M"}, {"week": "29 May", "return": 2.505446623093682, "return_label": "2.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 92.99461356896448, "volume": "3.1M"}, {"week": "5 Jun", "return": -0.3188097768331562, "return_label": "-0.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 72.4505235126793, "volume": "2.4M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": 0.31982942430703626, "return_label": "0.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 59.58966289414755, "volume": "2.0M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.9x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "2.1M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "1.7M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "2.2%", "volatility_52": "3.5%", "downside_weeks": 18, "upside_weeks": 33, "downside_breadth": "34.6%", "average_gain": "2.6%", "average_loss": "-2.5%", "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "2.2%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "3.5%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "33/18", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "2.6% / -2.5%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "12.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.9x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 65-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "The Expectancy Model is positive at 59.62%, strengthening the forward tape read."], "risks": ["14 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "941.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "834.4 JPY", "fair_value": "653.0 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.26", "relative_leadership": "-3.78", "volume": "2.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "938.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "825.5 JPY", "fair_value": "649.6 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.01", "relative_leadership": "-5.25", "volume": "2.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "941.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "815.6 JPY", "fair_value": "646.2 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.19", "relative_leadership": "-4.95", "volume": "3.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "918.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "806.0 JPY", "fair_value": "642.7 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.30", "relative_leadership": "-3.29", "volume": "2.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "930.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "797.2 JPY", "fair_value": "639.3 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.38", "relative_leadership": "0.76", "volume": "1.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "890.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "787.7 JPY", "fair_value": "635.8 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.38", "relative_leadership": "-5.78", "volume": "924.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "905.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "779.3 JPY", "fair_value": "632.4 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.18", "relative_leadership": "0.63", "volume": "2.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "883.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "770.3 JPY", "fair_value": "629.0 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.06", "relative_leadership": "-2.34", "volume": "1.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-17", "close": "911.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "762.9 JPY", "fair_value": "625.7 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.18", "relative_leadership": "2.56", "volume": "1.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-10", "close": "903.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "754.4 JPY", "fair_value": "622.5 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.22", "relative_leadership": "4.23", "volume": "2.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-03", "close": "866.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "746.0 JPY", "fair_value": "619.3 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.21", "relative_leadership": "6.97", "volume": "2.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-27", "close": "848.0 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "738.6 JPY", "fair_value": "616.3 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.32", "relative_leadership": "4.17", "volume": "3.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-20", "close": "825.3 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "731.8 JPY", "fair_value": "613.5 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.71", "relative_leadership": "1.15", "volume": "1.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-13", "close": "802.7 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "725.4 JPY", "fair_value": "610.4 JPY", "activity_pressure": "1.19", "relative_leadership": "-2.60", "volume": "2.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Positive", "rating_tone": "positive", "overall_score": "64", "primary_driver": {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 79.8101, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 59.62% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 59.62%", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 63.840502725241215, "score_label": "64", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "64/100", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 63.840502725241215, "score_label": "64", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "64/100", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 62.60416666666666, "score_label": "63", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 6/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.95; 14 reversal markers", "metric": "63/100", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 79.8101, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 59.62% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 59.62%", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 79.8101, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 59.62% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 59.62%", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is expectancy model: The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 59.62% probability read.", "The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.", "The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 1.2%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "100/68", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "value": "Positive 59.62%", "detail": "The Expectancy Model contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/", "api_path": "/terminal/73bd5c17-8987-4dea-b764-916a0f6398a2/report/api/"}