{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AMBER Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"74c64a0a-47ba-46a4-a239-28b5a6cd4114","symbol":"AMBER","name":"Amber Enterprises India Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":24,"completedEpisodes":23,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.0,"averageExpectedMove":14.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":24,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":1.0,"medianReturn":0.4,"confidenceLow":31.4,"confidenceHigh":68.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":23,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":52.2,"averageReturn":1.3,"medianReturn":1.7,"confidenceLow":33.0,"confidenceHigh":70.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":21,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":61.9,"averageReturn":13.7,"medianReturn":7.0,"confidenceLow":40.9,"confidenceHigh":79.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":5,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":18.8,"averageExpectedMove":17.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":5,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":80.0,"averageReturn":-5.8,"medianReturn":-4.4,"confidenceLow":37.6,"confidenceHigh":96.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-4.8,"medianReturn":-2.3,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.7,"medianReturn":-6.7,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":5},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":5},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":5},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":5},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":5},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":4},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":4},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":4},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-9.7,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":35.7,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 35.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.8% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 60.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.9% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-08-08","price":7354.5},{"date":"2025-11-07","price":7227.0},{"date":"2026-03-13","price":6446.0},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":7420.0},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":7484.5},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":7261.5}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-10-24","price":8321.5},{"date":"2026-02-13","price":7734.5},{"date":"2026-04-17","price":7958.5},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":7889.0},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7779.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[4195.8501,4467.2998,4514.3999,4645.2002,4347.5498,4658.75,4918.8999,5019.8501,5403.5498,6171.2002,6160.9502,6154.0498,6119.5498,6483.1001,6064.9502,5806.4502,5787.3501,6122.8999,7442.9502,7745.2002,7831.1499,6757.5,6973.7998,6501.7998,6894.0498,5817.2998,6001.2002,5628.6499,6339.1499,6365.5,6890.5498,7210.8501,6595.1499,6530.0498,6686.0,6394.0,6188.0,5795.0,6403.5,6405.5,6491.5,6396.5,6468.0,6519.0,6848.5,7349.5,7466.5,7603.5,7273.5,7871.0,7354.5,6895.0,7260.5,7267.5,7793.5,7936.0,8286.5,8162.5,8214.5,8284.5,8249.5,8321.5,8036.5,7227.0,7376.0,7196.0,7181.0,6562.5,6626.0,6681.0,6652.0,6482.5,6329.5,6145.0,5565.5,5716.0,6640.0,7734.5,7650.5,7974.0,7872.5,6446.0,6654.5,6602.0,6281.5,7245.0,7958.5,7753.5,8024.0,8824.5,8476.5,7359.0,7615.0,7822.0,7420.0,7889.0,7659.0,7484.5,7779.0,7804.5,7261.5,7424.5,7435.0,7222.0],"consensus":[0.0,37.9866,19.32,44.1607,-16.6891,37.3621,49.6772,36.8235,62.6556,67.1429,36.8973,37.935,35.093,61.1413,-15.6214,-19.4316,0.0,36.1742,71.6436,61.4579,44.3284,-18.4139,21.3069,-31.764,16.8064,-58.0874,0.0,-47.5206,22.9082,0.0,38.585,43.5939,-18.5864,12.0853,0.0,-28.3051,-26.2672,-48.1623,15.4526,0.0,10.7823,0.0,0.0,0.0,36.8772,60.3219,33.9059,35.0772,0.0,59.3546,-18.6962,-39.4697,16.0637,0.0,51.8046,42.1663,56.36,14.6079,34.0693,30.4376,14.3716,26.6688,-18.8558,-56.976,0.0,-44.6068,-26.0351,-64.2157,-25.3617,-28.8157,-36.9786,-33.2165,-46.4191,-46.726,-75.3825,-22.7779,42.9828,69.7381,20.6861,55.2034,40.1172,-61.6673,-8.9439,-18.8254,-45.3525,53.2705,64.3601,12.374,42.8809,72.5793,17.0884,-40.9691,9.7939,10.8338,-17.7502,22.2846,0.0,-10.7811,24.2621,0.0,-43.9778,0.0,-12.1104,-33.4805],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[12.8576,0.0,54.2094,40.9119,57.0636,2.5925,36.2316,30.4097,17.4138,30.3163,-20.5781,-46.1257,0.0,-45.7385,-18.0977,-62.2438,-15.8215,-24.6086,-36.9594,-34.3269,-50.5154,-45.8759,-78.3,-13.5417,41.8706,66.8302,8.4716,54.3873,40.0072,-55.5522,-2.1187,-9.5994,-44.6652,47.7959,63.7851,0.3152,37.7876,71.5156,13.6633,-37.6678,16.6315,26.72,-9.3019,13.7284,0.0,-6.0351,28.0783,0.0,-46.1653,0.0,-7.7394,-23.8184],"force":[30.9213,0.0,64.349,35.6299,58.0562,15.0811,17.632,15.4762,5.435,12.9399,-46.2381,-86.6374,0.0,-36.6353,-8.6414,-75.4092,-3.9904,-3.8622,-16.9107,-20.0999,-35.0802,-32.8691,-81.753,-17.9659,90.4004,95.6209,8.1912,48.6517,14.9671,-98.4482,-14.741,-9.8752,-45.4035,88.8678,80.1351,17.887,34.92,86.9836,23.8728,-81.2007,21.6844,9.413,-19.7395,31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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-33.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-23.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-46.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-35.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"79/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.2","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"11.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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