{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"LSBK Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"77ddfcba-6d9a-413c-b080-8355facb54e4","symbol":"LSBK","name":"Lake Shore Bancorp Inc","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":56,"displayedObservations":56,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.9,"medianReturn":-1.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":1},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 7.6% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 0.8% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":17.4}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":17.29},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":16.712752}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[11.8484,11.8581,12.358,12.4366,12.7411,13.2029,12.9573,12.7608,12.8689,12.8296,12.7313,12.6527,12.2991,13.1439,13.5762,14.078,14.078,13.9199,14.2066,14.691,14.8689,14.6119,14.5921,14.5229,14.7898,14.9777,15.1853,15.1359,15.2834,15.363,15.4625,15.3928,15.4624,15.3132,14.8061,15.0249,15.2934,15.6016,15.7607,15.8601,15.8946,15.9,15.78,15.7,15.56,15.84,16.28,17.4,17.29,16.7128,16.9615,17.0709,17.1107,17.0808,17.05,17.16],"consensus":[30.0001,-21.9516,100.0,-9.3465,53.6588,55.8807,16.0543,0.0,18.5901,0.0,0.0,-12.4979,-41.6813,57.0218,60.9878,69.2329,29.9121,21.6399,51.1509,57.8164,47.0511,18.1501,22.2802,0.0,32.8874,38.1158,39.3636,17.4238,29.7835,23.1354,39.0878,17.1849,31.2443,0.0,-46.6468,0.0,25.1646,46.3173,50.2577,44.6644,26.9246,26.7593,0.0,0.0,-25.4285,32.9129,60.9699,78.1505,32.6986,0.0,45.1244,30.2763,26.1389,29.696,8.0755,29.4017],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,59.3953,3.9981,0.0,17.019,0.0,0.0,-18.1116,-39.6583,56.2353,57.7965,64.6105,20.0946,14.3284,54.4236,60.0751,49.2216,8.0369,15.8279,0.0,43.1594,39.9006,38.5767,5.6028,25.0676,16.0353,44.5864,14.8831,36.0982,0.0,-35.1716,0.0,37.102,55.383,54.5112,50.6659,22.0263,28.0597,0.0,0.0,-16.8799,45.7047,64.9028,77.3824,29.9041,0.0,44.4179,48.6117,36.176,32.6608,5.3243,35.8123],"force":[30.2721,38.8756,8.2301,0.0,9.0809,0.0,0.0,-22.7028,-53.2689,77.1379,61.4885,70.8033,4.1283,9.3415,41.3524,53.1081,23.4715,15.5605,0.8631,0.0,19.6799,23.9141,22.6219,7.9372,12.0553,3.0114,23.91,9.4388,16.8502,0.0,-81.4194,0.0,34.2006,48.3934,48.7632,30.7746,9.4356,8.8106,0.0,0.0,-52.9644,40.8825,74.3974,99.3958,4.5185,0.0,41.4282,13.0385,13.0259,11.9174,12.6925,21.029],"direction":[70.3636,64.0106,47.1789,0.0,27.1778,0.0,0.0,-1.207,-35.7164,43.5522,64.2774,73.394,59.5489,52.1255,54.4095,58.5983,61.4129,53.787,46.1851,0.0,30.5821,46.2199,52.2213,49.0486,47.8361,45.6241,43.6449,38.8327,35.9785,0.0,-34.9237,0.0,5.0676,34.4735,46.4639,47.727,45.0149,38.0937,0.0,0.0,-15.5299,12.6013,46.8839,63.8532,62.476,0.0,48.5719,21.6343,24.0342,39.0066,26.054,28.0558],"intensity":[25.0,60.0,16.6667,14.2857,12.5,11.1111,50.0,18.1818,75.0,100.0,92.8571,86.6667,50.0,41.1765,44.4444,84.2105,50.0,33.3333,40.9091,8.6957,41.6667,68.0,69.2308,18.5185,21.4286,20.6897,13.3333,9.6774,9.375,27.2727,97.0588,54.2857,55.5556,62.1622,31.5789,35.8974,65.0,34.1463,21.4286,37.2093,22.7273,60.0,82.6087,100.0,93.75,85.7143,94.0,17.6471,30.7692,65.3846,38.4615,23.0769],"confirmation":[61.4351,85.31,6.3368,4.7277,73.683,25.1028,25.1977,49.8156,81.722,86.872,87.58,90.2728,54.269,30.7515,84.0198,86.3233,82.3047,30.921,52.0401,4.8656,77.9649,79.737,80.0981,29.3428,77.0623,52.2315,79.9617,29.4032,77.4855,6.4236,84.1616,28.4669,53.4795,82.7467,83.9721,81.7779,76.1575,75.9962,5.7767,26.1681,77.1066,78.5801,87.8596,93.6674,55.6692,32.2755,82.3379,76.8837,75.8119,76.9157,4.7009,85.0557],"persistence":[20.0,33.3333,42.8571,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[23.1608,22.0595,40.9204,37.59,13.4315,43.89,33.8559,14.8905,27.9683,8.6582,18.8323,15.3615,35.0411,38.096,22.2248,18.5911,25.7571,39.2517,29.5334,25.0601,28.0981,23.0546,29.6921,40.8534,34.4383,36.519,25.9761,35.9101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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+29.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+35.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+21.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+28.1","detail":"Upward 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