{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DLNG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"78414695-7921-4538-a105-81389c1c3521","symbol":"DLNG","name":"Dynagas LNG Partners LP","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Energy","industry":"Oil & Gas Midstream"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":19,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":13.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":52.6,"averageReturn":2.4,"medianReturn":1.6,"confidenceLow":31.7,"confidenceHigh":72.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":19,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":52.6,"averageReturn":3.2,"medianReturn":0.2,"confidenceLow":31.7,"confidenceHigh":72.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":70.6,"averageReturn":8.1,"medianReturn":11.6,"confidenceLow":46.9,"confidenceHigh":86.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":19},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":19},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":19},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":19},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Repair in progress","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is repairing while price remains rotational","use":"The repair is constructive, but price has not yet established a clear response.","confirm":"Treat the repair as constructive context until price confirms it.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 13.9% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":4.709953}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.389,3.4256,3.3799,3.2885,3.4347,3.453,3.5443,3.5809,3.4804,3.5352,3.4804,3.6448,3.8275,4.0924,4.2568,4.0833,4.2205,4.2205,4.8947,5.0609,4.9685,4.71,4.6176,4.4975,4.1281,3.9527,3.8234,3.7409,3.6941,3.5912,3.6595,3.5959,3.3481,3.2452,3.2358,3.2171,3.133,3.4135,3.4322,3.4602,3.4887,3.4982,3.4413,3.4034,3.4318,3.4034,3.4128,3.4034,3.356,3.3275,3.4128,3.356,3.4697,3.469,3.6228,3.7093,3.594,3.469,3.3922,3.3537,3.4018,3.4018,3.469,3.4306,3.4697,3.6744,3.5087,3.6549,3.6939,3.8206,3.7329,3.6257,3.6354,3.7914,3.9278,3.6841,3.6647,3.7816,3.9765,3.8492,4.1552,3.9677,4.2341,4.2045,4.096,4.0367,3.8887,3.8887,3.8591,3.79,3.7703,3.85,3.77,3.73,3.75,3.53,3.36,3.57,3.68,3.37,3.61,3.63,3.76,3.86],"consensus":[-22.0535,0.0,-8.085,-38.0999,17.7868,0.0,24.9214,22.9136,-9.6089,15.4904,0.0,40.7102,61.6669,60.8344,53.6199,0.0,42.874,28.6715,71.8958,61.9066,19.7365,0.0,0.0,-15.4557,-50.9424,-45.0296,-47.2076,-35.7595,-31.7233,-41.336,-21.1862,-33.1635,-54.3835,-41.9414,-36.7954,-26.2941,-44.3422,17.8841,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-15.0428,-13.5364,0.0,-8.6987,-9.6046,0.0,-13.2294,-19.9724,8.6054,-18.1397,28.2782,11.589,46.9858,42.9452,-9.0369,-27.0198,-29.5067,-24.6176,0.0,-10.4795,17.2712,0.0,11.1168,56.8349,-19.6912,44.7488,32.3994,47.0919,0.0,-16.6541,0.0,33.4968,48.2654,-31.182,-10.6687,29.4839,48.1023,0.0,56.2565,-14.9362,56.8343,25.8745,0.0,0.0,-33.2336,-15.9217,-18.6426,-30.7858,-17.9755,0.0,-24.0169,-23.3534,-12.9789,-52.9316,-55.3379,0.0,12.5106,-55.1481,26.2163,0.0,23.6051,-35.2573],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[29.4523,7.6344,47.9087,40.8784,-18.7389,-29.5006,-28.5984,-18.1832,0.0,-9.6202,13.8808,0.0,9.7746,50.008,-24.1822,43.4646,29.3872,44.0418,0.0,-21.595,0.0,28.478,37.8936,-35.2295,-17.5506,26.8463,46.1689,0.0,45.5283,-20.1028,49.0877,22.153,0.0,0.0,-31.2627,-10.8927,-15.7352,-31.5304,-15.9096,0.0,-26.118,-27.4537,-15.5233,-55.6131,-53.8221,0.0,24.7196,-55.0219,17.3937,0.0,22.7336,-32.7409],"force":[41.1883,6.7209,55.3176,36.3272,-46.0055,-59.863,-34.6606,-21.7944,0.0,-8.0329,31.8276,0.0,13.534,82.8021,-53.3345,54.3706,23.6259,53.0027,0.0,-38.4558,0.0,57.8896,68.5387,-79.9156,-17.9584,56.6928,72.2174,0.0,77.0791,-69.6216,83.7656,5.3874,0.0,0.0,-50.2368,-14.2725,-16.0882,-29.4972,-10.6845,0.0,-23.2072,-17.0158,-3.4683,-53.5076,-54.9582,0.0,29.2292,-70.4284,69.1478,0.0,37.1023,-36.7524],"direction":[17.7148,19.5856,39.9798,50.0344,-28.4574,-0.7253,-26.8636,-33.9878,0.0,-13.209,10.7484,0.0,10.9241,46.0891,-9.4721,39.3437,42.1087,46.3557,0.0,-4.5653,0.0,21.8092,45.6379,-8.2535,-2.4032,13.0634,33.0868,0.0,53.644,-30.0294,46.4509,44.7615,0.0,0.0,-23.3408,-22.8471,-23.79,-30.8553,-25.5443,0.0,-22.1941,-23.1943,-16.8643,-49.4556,-57.3415,0.0,13.3844,-44.3777,5.634,0.0,14.9602,-37.0652],"intensity":[46.1538,42.3077,59.6154,44.2308,44.2308,48.0769,57.6923,34.6154,21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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-32.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-36.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-37.1","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"79/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"54.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.6%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"18.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"53%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}