{"ticker": {"uuid": "78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0", "symbol": "HOLM-B", "name": "Holmen AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "HOLM-B closed the latest completed week at 329.0 SEK. The 4-week return is 8.5% and the 12-week return is 7.5%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.38.", "description": "Holmen AB (publ) engages in the forest, paperboard, paper, wood products, and renewable energy businesses in Sweden and internationally. The company operates through Forest, Renewable Energy, Wood Products, and Board and Paper segments. Its Forest segment offers logs, pulpwood, and biofuel to sawmills, pulp mills, and board and paper mills. The Renewable energy segment provides renewable energy from hydro and wind power to the Nordic electricity market. Its Wood Products segment provides construction and joinery timber; CLT and glulam; and plus wood for pallets and packaging to construction, joinery, and packaging industries, as well as builders' merchants. The Board and Paper segment offers paperboards for consumer packaging and paper products for books, magazines, advertising, and transport packaging to brand owners, converters, wholesalers, publishers, printers, and retailers. The company was founded in 1609 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "38", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "329.0 SEK", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "1.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "8.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "7.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "0.0%", "hint": "0 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.7x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "sector": "Basic Materials", "industry": "Paper & Paper Products", "currency": "SEK", "market_cap": "48.0B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "323.8 SEK", "fair_value": "370.4 SEK", "vs_trend": "1.6%", "vs_fair_value": "-11.2%", "high_52": "374.8 SEK", "low_52": "296.2 SEK", "drawdown": "-12.2%", "range_position": "41.8%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 329.0, "value_label": "329.0", "position": 41.753798155369964, "left": "41.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 323.816174, "value_label": "323.8", "position": 35.15488036074884, "left": "35.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 370.40126, "value_label": "370.4", "position": 94.45686174850275, "left": "94.5%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "41.8%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "1.6%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "-11.2%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-12.2%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week high.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, 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"volume_height": 10.40168300058366, "volume": "768.1K"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": 1.8575851393188854, "return_label": "1.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 11.592973323601145, "volume": "856.1K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.7x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "1.3M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "1.1M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "1.9%", "volatility_52": "2.6%", "downside_weeks": 29, "upside_weeks": 22, "downside_breadth": "55.8%", "average_gain": "2.1%", "average_loss": "-2.0%", "distribution_scale": "7%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "11 of 26", "detail": "14 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+6.9%", "detail": "Week of 13 Feb.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-5.1%", "detail": "Week of 24 Apr.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+1.9%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "1.9%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "2.6%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "22/29", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "2.1% / -2.0%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "1.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.7x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.44% based on similar historical setup states.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "329.0 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "323.8 SEK", "fair_value": "370.4 SEK", "activity_pressure": "0.38", "relative_leadership": "-12.44", "volume": "856.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "323.0 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "324.2 SEK", "fair_value": "370.5 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.18", "relative_leadership": "-12.95", "volume": "768.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "310.8 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "324.9 SEK", "fair_value": "370.8 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.66", "relative_leadership": "-15.57", "volume": "743.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "310.8 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "325.8 SEK", "fair_value": "371.2 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.84", "relative_leadership": "-14.81", "volume": "886.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "303.2 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "326.7 SEK", "fair_value": "371.5 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.92", "relative_leadership": "-18.25", "volume": "578.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "304.4 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "327.7 SEK", "fair_value": "371.9 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.90", "relative_leadership": "-20.32", "volume": "134.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "304.6 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "328.8 SEK", "fair_value": "372.3 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.91", "relative_leadership": "-18.60", "volume": "258.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "310.2 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "329.9 SEK", "fair_value": "372.6 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.90", "relative_leadership": "-18.43", "volume": "1.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "309.0 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "330.7 SEK", "fair_value": "372.9 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.90", "relative_leadership": "-17.78", "volume": "187.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "315.0 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "331.8 SEK", "fair_value": "373.3 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.95", "relative_leadership": "-16.92", "volume": "212.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "307.2 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "332.8 SEK", "fair_value": "373.7 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.91", "relative_leadership": "-20.16", "volume": "7.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "310.4 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "334.2 SEK", "fair_value": "374.3 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.92", "relative_leadership": "-20.24", "volume": "3.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "306.0 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "335.3 SEK", "fair_value": "374.8 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "-19.27", "volume": "740.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "313.4 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "336.5 SEK", "fair_value": "375.2 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.71", "relative_leadership": "-19.03", "volume": "957.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "31", "primary_driver": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.", "detail": "Why Holmen's (STO:HOLM B) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 11.194444444444443, "score_label": "11", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers", "metric": "11/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.16065728953615, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 11.194444444444443, "score_label": "11", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers", "metric": "11/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.77825, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.44% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 42.44%", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.", "detail": "Why Holmen's (STO:HOLM B) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 11.194444444444443, "score_label": "11", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers", "metric": "11/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.77825, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.44% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 42.44%", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.16065728953615, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is sentiment: Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 8.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "0/68", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 42.44%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "38", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 8.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 8.5% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 8.5% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and -11.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 8.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "0/68", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 42.44%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/"}], "strengths": ["Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.44% based on similar historical setup states.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.16065728953615, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 11.194444444444443, "score_label": "11", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers", "metric": "11/100", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.77825, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.44% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 42.44%", "url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.", "detail": "Why Holmen's (STO:HOLM B) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/", "api_path": "/terminal/78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0/report/api/"}