{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SYG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"78a60fed-315e-475d-8d33-9f659afeb1c4","symbol":"SYG","name":"Sygnia Limited","exchange":"JNB","country":"ZA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"ZAC","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Financial Conglomerates"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":20,"completedEpisodes":19,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":3.5,"averageExpectedMove":6.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":57.9,"averageReturn":0.4,"medianReturn":1.0,"confidenceLow":36.3,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":19,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":31.6,"averageReturn":-1.1,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":15.4,"confidenceHigh":54.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":15,"expectedPercent":88.2,"averageReturn":8.4,"medianReturn":5.4,"confidenceLow":65.7,"confidenceHigh":96.7,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":19},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":19},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":19},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":19},{"week":19,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":19},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":19},{"week":21,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":19},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":8.4,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"A recent green marker confirmed a recovery from accumulation conditions. Price is now being tested for durable follow-through away from the zone.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":33.3,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.4% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 4.2% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":3205.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-12-12","price":3576.713623},{"date":"2026-01-02","price":3541.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1983.5046,2037.4368,2017.4619,2003.4795,2017.4619,2097.3613,2156.2874,2327.0725,2421.9531,2495.8601,2257.1604,2287.1226,2187.2483,2197.2356,2232.1919,2307.0974,2327.0725,2267.1477,2168.4866,2148.5005,2198.4656,2198.4656,2227.4456,2202.4629,2238.4377,2273.4133,2267.4177,2268.4167,2317.3826,2333.3716,2248.4309,2318.3821,2145.5024,2198.4656,2298.396,2359.3533,2308.3889,2395.3281,2488.2634,2398.3262,2598.1865,2649.1511,2796.0486,2848.0122,2858.9717,3058.8999,3088.8889,2948.9395,3003.9197,2838.979,2823.9844,2928.9465,2974.9299,3000.9207,3198.8496,3198.8496,2998.9214,2998.9214,3160.863,3092.8877,3148.8674,3118.8782,3191.8521,3439.7629,3446.7603,3578.7129,3633.6931,3817.627,3576.7136,3573.7146,3698.6697,3541.0,3299.0,3431.0,3340.0,3340.0,3351.0,3399.0,3341.0,3301.0,2980.0,2930.0,2795.0,2752.0,2947.0,3044.0,3087.0,3094.8892,3192.854,3228.8411,3198.8518,3248.8337,3298.8159,31.1506,31.8834,32.6547,32.05,32.99,3320.0,3300.0,3350.0,3205.0,3160.0,3200.0],"consensus":[-20.2073,15.5329,-11.8974,-12.5522,0.0,41.672,45.2988,62.9536,56.8011,52.7268,-20.9242,24.4283,-35.0373,-12.3118,14.8784,36.7723,27.1091,-9.5642,-39.2629,-30.9648,0.0,0.0,22.2237,-8.3629,18.2166,13.5586,15.6871,9.3565,28.4715,25.6433,-25.6705,27.8887,-52.4298,0.0,22.2901,28.8401,0.0,39.8996,32.7323,0.0,57.0815,46.6313,58.6462,40.6218,28.5713,64.5428,51.7511,0.0,32.936,-29.1594,-11.2782,30.2302,22.0155,20.4458,54.8346,20.9105,-25.7911,0.0,34.0965,-9.758,24.9124,0.0,20.9339,56.653,41.3682,60.9977,41.5134,59.609,-8.0332,24.9607,42.3694,-18.801,-45.9329,18.5873,-27.5828,-9.3512,0.0,0.0,-22.1021,-26.834,-67.5471,-43.9834,-61.9445,-54.7865,0.0,8.771,16.1575,10.7803,26.9622,27.6173,0.0,27.2156,29.6827,-74.096,-35.9277,-45.2369,-36.3515,-26.6719,65.3629,40.6897,53.4826,15.0835,13.0684,40.8249],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[29.1634,14.1287,49.6132,11.3839,-25.773,0.0,40.5675,-9.1825,25.3971,0.0,24.0747,61.2161,45.6281,63.0607,38.3248,51.9068,-9.3905,35.4854,55.2032,-16.0349,-36.0811,23.2879,-18.4003,-1.1188,0.0,0.0,-31.3299,-34.3372,-63.027,-38.4455,-54.645,-58.8097,0.0,7.1847,14.7789,6.0776,26.5427,30.119,0.0,28.1849,33.1297,-84.0846,-17.9327,-34.1025,-17.0184,-17.2738,81.1771,40.547,58.0638,0.8736,11.7939,55.893],"force":[15.6494,12.1548,67.2325,0.5078,-73.9151,0.0,46.9029,-28.5605,21.5598,0.0,17.5525,57.5955,23.4393,65.2162,27.6412,74.6641,-63.5195,13.8411,34.1403,-41.6694,-77.9839,55.6979,-37.1151,-0.2408,0.0,0.0,-21.7881,-25.5425,-90.3034,-33.124,-74.3626,-38.2298,0.0,31.4607,27.7051,14.9133,32.8008,27.4279,0.0,29.4463,29.52,-52.2778,-1.2617,-7.5576,-1.0886,-11.3279,53.9291,11.7891,28.6092,33.648,21.1842,15.5051],"direction":[18.3938,33.5873,51.9462,46.3714,-8.5624,0.0,17.5538,-3.0147,26.7533,0.0,19.7599,50.765,49.3062,55.6267,55.0662,57.6578,-33.1512,20.8751,33.5801,-5.6277,-34.2985,13.2924,-31.2684,-25.2672,0.0,0.0,-11.7802,-19.1813,-56.4585,-58.069,-61.4167,-62.0147,0.0,5.6229,9.4848,13.2028,23.2713,24.8935,0.0,24.5145,25.8596,-78.265,-83.0573,-84.8756,-85.1893,-64.5553,55.4564,61.4962,66.0137,66.1317,38.9912,41.69],"intensity":[53.8462,61.5385,78.8462,90.3846,88.4615,71.1538,67.3077,50.0,21.1538,3.8462,38.4615,86.5385,61.5385,51.9231,80.7692,71.1538,84.6154,82.6923,44.2308,59.6154,86.5385,44.2308,67.3077,44.2308,67.3077,26.9231,7.6923,5.7692,94.2308,34.6154,36.5385,80.7692,73.0769,57.6923,5.7692,13.4615,25.0,11.5385,23.0769,50.0,17.3077,100.0,1.9231,3.8462,3.8462,3.8462,98.0769,13.4615,13.4615,55.7692,44.2308,11.5385],"confirmation":[74.742,74.3862,86.0045,51.5481,34.2134,1.3712,79.2026,49.6808,75.8624,25.6087,74.5479,86.0882,80.6265,87.6164,80.9101,87.6511,33.9799,75.4882,81.1118,52.0888,83.8254,32.5097,77.2569,25.5069,1.7975,48.88,74.9225,76.4332,90.3775,81.8281,88.3119,84.9658,32.3406,27.3886,73.5433,48.9807,76.8122,76.7936,3.1263,76.7622,77.441,90.8936,56.2402,58.8305,56.3516,32.6034,88.3267,80.1421,84.2866,10.7364,30.3434,88.0627],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[24.38,36.4904,22.5001,39.0541,22.8909,3.1515,33.1023,31.3287,31.5496,37.1158,4.8975,21.4605,28.8291,19.4683,29.1988,20.0698,41.017,14.554,3.2634,39.235,24.8276,46.393,35.3259,38.7879,19.5063,14.2054,11.4344,1.2817,15.8069,27.9508,19.0095,22.5994,15.5772,31.826,41.213,44.327,34.8303,31.6356,35.458,29.1189,20.2903,12.8815,31.96,27.3125,31.7623,13.4405,16.7211,29.0381,22.688,41.7419,12.7211,24.2913],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":40.8,"control":55.9,"force":15.5,"direction":41.7,"confirmation":88.1,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":24.3,"intensity":11.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+40.8","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+55.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+15.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+41.7","detail":"Upward 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the 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