{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GGAL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"7954d4c3-3f83-4fbb-8863-ff1b9bae52d2","symbol":"GGAL","name":"Grupo Financiero Galicia SA ADR","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":7.2,"averageExpectedMove":14.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":26.3,"averageReturn":-2.5,"medianReturn":-5.1,"confidenceLow":11.8,"confidenceHigh":48.8,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":35.3,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":-6.0,"confidenceLow":17.3,"confidenceHigh":58.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":64.7,"averageReturn":28.1,"medianReturn":29.4,"confidenceLow":41.3,"confidenceHigh":82.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":14.5,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":16.8,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":22.1,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":26.5,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":25.4,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":28.0,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":25.4,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":27.8,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":27.0,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":27.2,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":28.1,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":33.3,"averageReturn":19.1,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 19.1% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 6.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 15.6% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":63.657523},{"date":"2025-01-31","price":64.046663}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[32.9155,37.1771,38.9899,42.7674,44.2575,41.5525,41.2773,47.2377,48.0445,51.1481,49.2878,51.0817,53.426,52.6572,53.5684,55.9222,59.1445,60.3546,61.0285,66.5523,68.3936,63.6575,64.7585,64.0467,60.3546,55.8083,55.9222,54.3087,54.6978,56.3967,55.5805,52.942,45.7856,51.1291,58.798,60.1837,55.2009,55.8178,58.8645,59.6617,55.0965,52.7494,52.1296,49.5837,49.269,48.6397,44.9114,45.0258,49.3644,46.7842,48.8025,46.1625,43.3024,37.7166,38.5039,28.7579,25.3972,28.4027,27.6861,31.9708,31.3532,34.1903,57.061,53.6672,51.0752,44.6243,51.8102,48.5549,46.9451,52.5308,53.9079,51.8701,54.8938,49.9645,52.2493,53.5813,48.1301,44.8252,48.3933,43.7236,40.8332,40.2266,42.0169,41.7723,45.3644,47.2497,47.0336,42.3892,39.4238,41.3682,40.79,43.55,50.69,47.81,55.16,56.37,49.97,50.3212,53.6779,49.8916,49.2522,49.7218,46.18,43.37],"consensus":[35.9475,66.6554,51.9313,72.657,57.6439,10.7606,33.7952,74.022,50.6577,68.7608,15.0943,47.2904,57.3437,15.9562,38.3504,52.2751,63.1821,39.7848,39.0543,69.1454,47.7667,0.0,32.0301,9.721,-26.0658,-47.4414,-17.3713,-35.3379,-19.8471,11.8248,-8.1901,-36.1867,-67.9101,12.9345,41.3979,27.5965,-18.5639,9.199,22.3953,12.288,-30.8822,-29.9555,-28.4287,-49.7268,-27.5642,-28.5756,-60.982,-29.7244,19.0149,-39.3939,9.518,-31.237,-52.5855,-72.9058,-19.4443,-75.7944,-74.1517,-32.2996,-40.0293,16.5126,-20.8369,21.9865,81.2211,14.7633,17.2743,-9.5552,42.7999,-11.4126,0.0,53.0189,40.8866,8.8519,48.985,-21.4575,23.069,24.4679,-39.6563,-42.3992,13.8727,-51.0855,-50.792,-37.1339,-11.4453,-27.1157,26.7105,29.053,0.0,-35.4742,-49.5685,-8.7929,-29.2244,20.9024,66.7836,0.0,69.7862,42.8893,-21.5253,16.0425,39.7524,-26.9124,-10.218,0.0,-42.0449,-49.5615],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-54.7139,-73.3005,-7.6225,-75.367,-72.0031,-41.1593,-30.884,11.0391,-33.1622,15.4474,85.6266,1.9304,2.8554,-27.2004,57.064,-14.5944,0.0,53.4854,50.96,1.0982,51.3056,-25.433,31.3174,24.738,-36.9178,-41.3948,25.6121,-51.5083,-52.2268,-38.7384,-2.7667,-29.7758,26.0728,27.4409,0.0,-42.3226,-49.4723,-0.7779,-26.7682,22.8141,64.0652,0.0,65.6145,39.0856,-26.249,13.0806,49.6259,-22.6731,-13.5138,0.0,-41.6215,-52.6781],"force":[-55.3853,-89.8459,-16.0338,-86.6374,-81.9647,-26.4543,-21.6695,77.0655,-11.6849,58.1472,97.5877,32.6681,18.6824,-44.4962,45.9282,-40.7077,0.0,55.6719,22.8711,14.8099,41.6572,-49.1547,22.0831,17.4898,-66.8196,-54.0585,35.7914,-61.5324,-50.5045,-22.3461,-15.9553,-18.5511,48.8649,35.2952,0.0,-51.9443,-56.2635,-14.7871,-22.947,42.7656,94.148,0.0,92.2897,24.8867,-62.9554,9.0766,47.2978,-57.9749,-18.2368,0.0,-53.4777,-51.6589],"direction":[-48.1532,-60.3546,-58.2963,-68.5378,-71.0266,-64.1415,-63.5951,20.4841,-13.288,3.6308,64.4957,63.3091,59.4363,-35.5687,24.2635,-13.1488,0.0,50.5906,42.2424,37.1249,51.5671,-2.8696,14.3464,29.1435,-23.3837,-35.2189,15.1999,-43.1402,-49.3578,-45.8631,-40.9357,-30.1931,11.6149,26.4367,0.0,-15.883,-44.8962,-34.7959,-36.5152,3.101,50.3443,0.0,58.48,60.0954,-13.4662,24.4032,23.0787,-9.57,-0.7238,0.0,-34.3626,-44.5015],"intensity":[61.5385,90.3846,69.2308,98.0769,59.6154,76.9231,84.6154,67.3077,65.3846,44.2308,100.0,88.4615,71.1538,88.4615,92.3077,75.0,42.3077,80.7692,75.0,17.3077,42.3077,67.3077,21.1538,46.1538,80.7692,48.0769,50.0,63.4615,53.8462,1.9231,9.6154,28.8462,48.0769,19.2308,32.6923,82.6923,61.5385,11.5385,7.6923,32.6923,94.2308,44.2308,96.1538,90.3846,86.5385,61.5385,40.3846,48.0769,3.8462,7.6923,42.3077,34.6154],"confirmation":[84.8803,91.8401,8.7416,92.5912,91.9994,36.7205,80.3892,34.2495,74.2011,53.5707,94.4224,10.4435,8.6372,34.1083,81.5739,29.9681,49.7019,85.0398,80.3812,5.6569,83.4165,53.5954,75.2263,75.6129,81.5596,81.9384,30.8377,84.6593,84.2228,79.4077,6.3635,76.3755,77.2323,77.5118,25.4558,79.7493,84.0674,5.3718,77.1979,52.6593,90.2461,31.5264,91.081,81.2339,33.6182,72.9664,80.8003,77.6232,48.7973,0.5585,81.8093,83.8761],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[23.1369,13.482,40.2502,12.0992,12.9213,33.2511,29.7227,25.5942,55.9492,34.6483,9.3545,42.3228,40.8625,48.6795,51.1574,23.2116,21.9833,13.7076,6.1152,17.1963,15.7768,6.08,22.6581,8.2288,26.6212,21.1347,44.9352,24.0896,23.0823,24.7548,42.6651,14.7249,30.8532,34.3014,43.5108,27.7706,23.2956,44.0475,34.3818,10.2203,16.552,49.1789,15.0806,28.492,1.8826,20.2506,37.6737,32.3509,3.9676,8.7751,26.8227,21.4799],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-49.6,"control":-52.7,"force":-51.7,"direction":-44.5,"confirmation":83.9,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":21.5,"intensity":34.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-49.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-52.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-51.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-44.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"44.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.0%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"24%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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