{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PAISALO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"79c8b97c-591b-4d9d-a6b2-1bb94852898c","symbol":"PAISALO","name":"Paisalo Digital Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Credit Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":8.6,"averageExpectedMove":14.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-1.3,"medianReturn":-1.6,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":56.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":0.2,"medianReturn":-4.4,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":18,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":21.1,"medianReturn":11.9,"confidenceLow":43.7,"confidenceHigh":83.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":14.4,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.6,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":20.4,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":17.1,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":21.1,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 25.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 14.2% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":43.810001}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[62.4361,63.5514,60.564,61.6118,59.4474,61.1031,57.7517,52.2558,50.5901,41.5633,47.139,44.9147,43.3387,47.0592,51.0789,61.3724,57.5921,58.051,51.6075,47.6975,43.7477,46.1715,43.0395,43.1991,42.2017,40.3763,40.6257,37.015,37.763,34.8605,34.8406,33.9528,33.2746,31.6388,32.8457,32.5963,32.4467,30.7311,34.1423,31.3096,30.5017,31.6587,31.2597,30.0329,31.6787,30.4319,30.6413,31.0802,32.4367,30.4119,30.362,30.4019,30.2424,30.0129,34.5014,37.9426,38.95,37.89,37.58,39.44,38.94,38.7,37.89,36.0,34.35,34.63,37.48,37.08,37.81,35.67,34.92,36.3,34.74,34.11,32.65,34.28,35.92,34.38,34.68,35.56,33.44,30.97,35.07,34.33,35.76,39.3,43.81,46.46,49.94,49.51,46.73,50.32,51.58,57.87,59.3,58.81,59.34,71.87,73.24,71.75,70.17,70.85,68.68,68.67],"consensus":[-42.33,-8.7589,-43.7605,-13.5418,-33.3088,-8.8938,-42.2747,-59.002,-46.9843,-76.9535,0.0,-51.2176,-40.2719,11.3075,20.5038,61.678,0.0,27.0304,-31.5424,-47.7271,-54.9426,-11.6034,-47.6126,-23.5961,-32.5221,-39.8467,-16.492,-47.7448,-20.6588,-53.2198,-34.3165,-35.9027,-41.7469,-29.6042,-13.6148,-29.9251,-22.8626,-39.1947,23.2982,-45.6521,-35.7484,0.0,-26.1035,-30.7931,16.2856,-29.2487,-11.2398,0.0,17.5319,-34.8969,-15.2293,-8.9609,-20.9366,-16.3287,61.2096,66.9427,44.9763,13.2508,24.5283,49.7934,16.5624,10.7785,0.0,-27.8129,-30.4539,-15.7948,30.6549,0.0,26.2393,-20.5333,-25.6792,10.6469,-27.4409,-25.407,-36.4044,0.0,26.3572,-22.2699,12.6091,16.0124,-36.5073,-52.6261,36.2613,-8.4412,28.2287,63.297,72.9198,71.0026,73.5627,37.6181,0.0,68.1012,49.8174,72.3507,41.3656,38.0198,42.8392,70.4889,56.6634,29.5923,24.7267,32.3375,-8.2185,8.4121],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-25.3808,-23.7847,53.4589,59.925,31.7232,2.7556,18.0919,51.5577,16.8176,2.3496,0.0,-28.9441,-24.2137,-10.7546,35.7567,0.0,23.3722,-31.3631,-26.7713,17.1733,-26.013,-28.6334,-37.509,0.0,27.1183,-28.6252,12.0004,14.2833,-36.9093,-55.7402,35.2626,-3.7755,26.8413,57.7545,70.8451,68.1464,69.9563,34.4986,0.0,65.4818,51.8742,77.7982,30.9976,30.2421,37.5354,69.6301,54.369,25.4911,16.9419,39.8277,-5.6983,11.8545],"force":[-19.364,-14.8694,90.9352,84.4954,39.1899,33.6903,0.5557,47.8201,10.6166,12.0885,0.0,-45.6991,-40.8566,-8.5823,48.378,0.0,26.5325,-32.1721,-25.5967,19.6989,-30.0534,-19.1827,-31.7873,0.0,44.598,-32.8194,22.7122,24.2356,-44.9608,-54.8084,78.2774,-15.4545,37.2386,88.7005,91.6263,81.9793,83.5793,1.9457,0.0,83.7071,42.1664,66.5431,15.315,6.0398,14.4842,62.5368,30.2321,24.3895,22.1547,7.9301,-53.9712,14.1927],"direction":[-16.9809,-8.8498,48.8349,62.4253,64.2558,58.7748,49.8013,49.1867,35.6842,36.7452,0.0,-13.7441,-30.1551,-26.7067,12.165,0.0,29.3067,-0.1569,-24.4901,3.2777,-27.2066,-26.1656,-38.4399,0.0,12.4583,-7.4714,6.0882,12.1149,-30.0096,-47.5084,7.3911,-8.7639,23.3786,51.486,61.9291,66.4263,70.5296,69.4429,0.0,59.9476,52.9319,70.2733,71.8222,69.7516,69.1542,77.1506,78.1651,72.8379,67.1104,41.2112,-21.5818,20.6242],"intensity":[1.9231,3.8462,82.6923,78.8462,67.3077,11.5385,38.4615,34.6154,7.6923,21.1538,9.6154,50.0,90.3846,51.9231,65.3846,71.1538,11.5385,53.8462,13.4615,30.7692,36.5385,17.3077,59.6154,40.3846,57.6923,34.6154,34.6154,44.2308,65.3846,76.9231,94.2308,67.3077,28.8462,88.4615,100.0,100.0,86.5385,30.7692,84.6154,80.7692,76.9231,100.0,78.8462,13.4615,26.9231,100.0,36.5385,92.3077,65.3846,61.5385,63.4615,82.6923],"confirmation":[74.5841,73.0671,88.6111,90.0635,82.418,10.1569,52.6346,83.8469,29.3993,5.4596,5.9598,77.428,78.1574,72.9113,78.272,2.8058,76.4492,52.1272,76.1982,49.616,76.8825,75.8914,79.4919,30.3616,76.9786,52.6844,49.6854,73.4009,79.9338,84.8594,58.2326,48.3193,77.3289,89.1137,91.9361,91.0989,91.9003,56.628,12.1245,90.3079,83.6771,90.8922,80.601,56.6436,80.9252,90.3272,85.3617,35.7566,33.9954,54.8234,8.6668,35.6449],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[38.0881,10.4651,18.8989,16.509,27.5084,43.3634,35.2564,10.3364,8.5692,16.3885,9.5981,34.166,34.1038,40.9428,25.7476,28.4359,36.4022,42.2107,34.8735,30.1987,35.208,28.1593,28.1412,47.3476,19.7544,20.1343,37.6057,30.2216,29.1015,22.7691,7.6161,25.1391,28.5482,18.3273,13.4965,14.497,13.2182,31.1747,39.1925,11.3112,3.4278,13.6286,29.3146,30.9031,28.4533,14.7089,21.619,35.0997,37.2549,29.0425,36.7583,37.6631],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":8.4,"control":11.9,"force":14.2,"direction":20.6,"confirmation":35.6,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":37.7,"intensity":82.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+8.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+11.9","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+14.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+20.6","detail":"Upward 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