{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TUSK Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"7a38bd46-d1a1-40d6-a9b1-bdc9545dc10c","symbol":"TUSK","name":"Mammoth Energy Services Inc","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Conglomerates"},"summary":"The technical trend and the underlying tape are moving in opposite directions. Price is holding its upward structure without confirmation from Market Dynamics.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"The technical trend and the underlying tape are moving in opposite directions. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence conflict","tone":"negative","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The gap can close through improving Market Dynamics or weakening price. Until one occurs, the upward structure carries elevated reversal risk and should not be read as fully aligned.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":45.0,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 45.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.8% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 19.8% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-09","price":2.49},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":2.29}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.85,3.82,3.65,3.68,3.93,4.105,4.51,4.69,4.52,4.33,3.675,3.62,3.18,3.49,3.48,3.18,2.94,2.84,2.705,3.12,2.87,3.34,3.26,2.99,2.92,2.91,2.69,2.45,1.97,2.25,2.18,2.11,2.02,1.89,2.63,2.62,2.6,2.49,2.46,2.4,2.64,2.69,2.7,2.85,2.88,2.8,2.66,2.57,2.72,2.54,2.34,2.24,2.38,2.37,2.29,2.37,2.3,2.43,2.3,2.17,2.22,2.15,2.04,1.97,1.95,1.78,1.84,2.02,1.77,1.85,1.88,1.97,2.11,2.29,2.39,2.34,2.33,2.3,2.26,2.31,2.12,2.16,2.08,2.85,2.45,2.41,2.71,2.57,2.81,2.39,3.2,3.25,3.35,3.32,3.29,3.03,2.94,3.13,2.8,2.8,2.73,2.65,3.39,3.32],"consensus":[21.3808,8.5581,-14.4874,0.0,39.785,40.4106,70.8401,52.3625,17.1564,0.0,-56.2994,-29.3394,-66.2417,0.0,-24.1056,-51.6321,-53.3365,-45.4231,-52.2351,16.0563,-43.35,39.4284,0.0,-37.055,-20.2953,-22.2026,-51.3313,-52.8154,-74.688,0.0,-39.5423,-41.9458,-27.848,-46.0126,47.3656,16.9115,17.6336,0.0,-11.0453,-17.6695,29.1337,21.5234,9.9179,37.2489,18.6937,0.0,-15.1828,-25.869,20.5354,-32.0801,-42.7471,-37.7861,0.0,-16.7226,-31.3279,9.5694,-31.3052,16.443,-28.4189,-45.0331,-12.7404,-37.7156,-48.6046,-46.6701,-35.1933,-60.1009,-18.146,21.8523,-58.4616,0.0,0.0,17.9091,41.812,54.6192,50.7377,25.933,19.21,0.0,0.0,17.4106,-36.174,0.0,-29.5165,69.1688,-11.5501,8.5642,57.0131,0.0,48.0891,-31.0096,64.452,33.3929,48.9126,21.5569,13.6167,-13.8187,-13.9603,19.9663,-37.5209,-15.4094,-17.0577,-23.1581,59.2307,-18.0697],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-15.0786,-41.049,9.1499,-36.2406,16.1485,-31.4741,-48.1825,-12.6373,-38.658,-47.8313,-50.8985,-33.4962,-59.2604,-10.0152,18.4161,-54.5821,0.0,0.0,21.8687,29.58,45.2217,51.0659,20.1761,11.1123,0.0,0.0,19.0468,-28.2497,0.0,-31.8248,61.0088,-23.7176,1.1399,56.5547,0.0,45.6033,-35.3371,57.15,24.4984,51.5844,9.6926,10.3365,-12.3502,-5.8858,24.8122,-36.5252,-14.7969,-14.4509,-16.0235,55.1598,-13.6013],"force":[0.0,-7.6667,-26.0583,27.2189,-35.2227,34.5624,-44.1537,-50.3201,-3.5909,-33.44,-54.3971,-41.0798,-20.5397,-67.0965,-9.9441,68.2668,-86.7411,0.0,0.0,46.4968,73.5798,77.3785,43.9135,3.37,2.4593,0.0,0.0,16.8754,-75.2409,0.0,-37.7164,96.7017,-55.4322,4.3132,66.0647,0.0,53.8148,-62.3778,90.0995,16.152,35.5441,4.281,9.6188,-39.6914,-31.2532,31.1206,-56.1391,-11.0182,-12.6925,-18.1259,87.9274,-2.9902],"direction":[0.0,-25.07,-23.9821,2.5581,-22.8666,3.837,-13.6882,-37.6575,-24.5235,-39.6926,-45.3509,-45.8306,-47.5997,-56.0646,-47.5027,7.3739,-42.6958,0.0,0.0,7.0359,33.1002,49.1027,55.2372,48.6286,40.4293,0.0,0.0,15.9228,-17.3255,0.0,-21.0213,58.8281,-33.6998,26.2472,51.0714,0.0,46.8403,-3.6581,54.4774,55.8729,55.4081,53.5717,33.9622,-2.9836,-10.8361,6.4607,-25.3601,-19.2461,-23.1549,-34.9065,43.3856,-38.2193],"intensity":[21.1538,3.8462,3.8462,5.7692,3.8462,21.1538,23.0769,19.2308,1.9231,7.6923,17.3077,15.3846,13.4615,55.7692,21.1538,90.3846,75.0,71.1538,9.6154,19.2308,80.7692,65.3846,80.7692,55.7692,69.2308,1.9231,88.4615,34.6154,92.3077,98.0769,17.3077,100.0,94.2308,90.3846,90.3846,75.0,90.3846,96.1538,100.0,96.1538,67.3077,94.2308,80.7692,84.6154,25.0,55.7692,80.7692,55.7692,46.1538,30.7692,96.1538,90.3846],"confirmation":[30.0095,50.4336,77.7162,49.4855,78.0619,51.1518,77.527,82.5237,49.6802,79.9243,83.7418,82.6996,78.8411,87.4583,29.8626,55.3661,87.6287,6.5301,3.4128,53.3761,82.5344,86.315,84.0231,53.032,51.0934,3.7516,25.0608,73.5301,80.887,24.5369,77.66,91.0974,34.704,26.048,86.527,27.6826,83.6009,56.1464,89.5175,78.2958,83.2039,52.5382,28.4179,51.2027,50.4507,51.9886,80.5893,72.8065,73.3651,75.366,87.8904,36.8495],"persistence":[50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[49.3363,36.4073,4.5755,34.9731,15.6516,15.3986,18.3959,24.1741,22.8352,30.5733,25.0547,25.3395,32.1481,19.9325,39.7954,11.0508,16.284,24.6234,17.4251,29.2026,28.7507,22.5809,24.5933,36.7557,37.648,1.7344,42.0744,21.7931,29.0978,44.7039,32.9853,14.6455,48.7498,33.4255,20.684,35.9438,19.4055,12.1432,11.3494,30.9613,20.6293,38.6716,5.466,19.8285,36.382,38.755,27.3045,24.7954,22.0959,34.9838,17.8036,39.4855],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-18.1,"control":-13.6,"force":-3.0,"direction":-38.2,"confirmation":36.8,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":39.5,"intensity":90.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the Market Dynamics view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward Market Dynamics view stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: the visible price structure remains vulnerable until Market Dynamics changes.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-18.1","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-13.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-3.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-38.2","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"37/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"59.9","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"13.7%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"37.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"70%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend 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