{"ticker": {"uuid": "7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409", "symbol": "MAT", "name": "Mattel, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "MAT closed the latest completed week at 12.51 EUR. The 4-week return is 7.2% and the 12-week return is -4.0%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.82.", "description": "Mattel, Inc., a play and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells toys, games, and other products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dolls and accessories, books, content, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, Disney Frozen, Monster High, Polly Pocket, and KPop Demon Hunters brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels RC, Matchbox, and Matchbox, and Cars brands; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising toys, content, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People, Thomas & Friends, and Power Wheels brands. It also provides action figures, building sets, games, and other products under the Masters of the Universe, Mattel Brick Shop, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Toy Story, Star Wars, Pictionary, Skip-Bo, Phase 10, and Blokus brands; and licensor partner brands, including Disney Pixar, Microsoft, NBCUniversal, and WWE. The company sells its products to retailers, including omnichannel retailers, discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; wholesalers; and directly to consumers through retail spaces, boutique stores, agents and distributors, and its e-commerce platforms and third-party e-commerce channels. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.", "setup_signature": "Deep recovery attempt", "composite_score": "45", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "12.51 EUR", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-4.3%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "7.2%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-4.0%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "19.2%", "hint": "10 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "2.2x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Leisure", "currency": "EUR", "market_cap": "3.7B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "13.56 EUR", "fair_value": "16.50 EUR", "vs_trend": "-7.7%", "vs_fair_value": "-24.2%", "high_52": "18.86 EUR", "low_52": "11.04 EUR", "drawdown": "-33.7%", "range_position": "18.8%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 12.508, "value_label": "12.51", "position": 18.825936820565282, "left": "18.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 13.5558, "value_label": "13.56", "position": 32.22662744596496, "left": "32.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 16.504641, "value_label": "16.50", "position": 69.94041437523978, "left": "69.9%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "18.8%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "-7.7%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "-24.2%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-33.7%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week high.", "tone": "negative"}]}, 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"average_gain": "3.9%", "average_loss": "-3.3%", "distribution_scale": "24%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "9 of 26", "detail": "17 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+8.6%", "detail": "Week of 17 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-23.1%", "detail": "Week of 13 Feb.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "-4.3%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "negative"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.0%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.0%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "22/29", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.9% / -3.3%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-7.7%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "2.2x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "12.51 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "13.56 EUR", "fair_value": "16.50 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.82", "relative_leadership": "-31.62", "volume": "1.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "13.07 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "13.75 EUR", "fair_value": "16.55 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.72", "relative_leadership": "-27.03", "volume": "10", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "12.55 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "13.88 EUR", "fair_value": "16.59 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.50", "relative_leadership": "-30.50", "volume": "2.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "12.66 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.02 EUR", "fair_value": "16.63 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.34", "relative_leadership": "-29.52", "volume": "3.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "11.66 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.18 EUR", "fair_value": "16.67 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.07", "relative_leadership": "-37.01", "volume": "1.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "11.69 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.37 EUR", "fair_value": "16.72 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.01", "relative_leadership": "-38.47", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "12.31 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.59 EUR", "fair_value": "16.76 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.04", "relative_leadership": "-34.51", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "12.23 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.79 EUR", "fair_value": "16.80 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.01", "relative_leadership": "-36.95", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "12.75 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14.95 EUR", "fair_value": "16.83 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.00", "relative_leadership": "-32.29", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "12.16 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15.09 EUR", "fair_value": "16.85 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.16", "relative_leadership": "-34.32", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "12.92 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15.22 EUR", "fair_value": "16.88 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.25", "relative_leadership": "-31.68", "volume": "400", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "13.03 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15.32 EUR", "fair_value": "16.91 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.59", "relative_leadership": "-29.91", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "13.03 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15.42 EUR", "fair_value": "16.93 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.88", "relative_leadership": "-29.16", "volume": "153", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "13.10 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15.51 EUR", "fair_value": "16.96 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-1.05", "relative_leadership": "-29.88", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "43", "primary_driver": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 26.722222222222214, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 40.34936991298744, "score_label": "40", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 26.722222222222214, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "detail": "Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Purchases 539,373 Shares of Mattel, Inc. $MAT", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 26.722222222222214, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-4.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 7.2%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "11/100", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Recent", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "45", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a 7.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a 7.2% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 7.2% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -15.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-4.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 7.2%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "11/100", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Recent", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/"}], "strengths": ["Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 40.34936991298744, "score_label": "40", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 26.722222222222214, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "detail": "Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Purchases 539,373 Shares of Mattel, Inc. $MAT", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/", "api_path": "/terminal/7addc157-6e5b-4e95-aeac-b01644616409/report/api/"}