{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RKTL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"7b4383a9-dae4-4b77-82f4-da19cfb23eaf","symbol":"RKTL","name":"Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RKT ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.124624,0.191402,0.255569,0.293985],"opens":[9.2,9.2,9.28,10.455],"highs":[10.7959,10.39,11.41,11.13],"lows":[8.09,8.54,9.25,9.26],"closes":[8.5212,9.2955,10.8463,9.5],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"9.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.09","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"8.52","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"8.54","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.30","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.28","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.25","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.26","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.50","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[8.381694,10.985806],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[39.72,32.58,23.13,24.9048,23.8894,21.9488,22.3348,14.88,13.04,12.03,11.9182,14.125,13.68,17.15,14.9719,13.003,14.7899,10.35,10.9199,12.1723,8.985,9.4997,11.29,11.9,13.21,10.91,11.0241,8.8063,8.5212,9.2955,10.8463,9.5],"consensus":[-29.186,-59.6774,-56.3064,-20.2012,-61.3009,-51.7555,-17.9094,-78.0337,-63.7777,-58.4567,-51.6415,0.0,-29.6925,22.3764,-26.9533,-42.1111,10.4691,-63.8409,-15.1978,0.0,-56.4665,-15.2299,9.3205,0.0,19.2119,-24.6761,0.0,-42.8115,-33.152,-10.6954,17.8278,-27.2054],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-52.6921,-12.0558,-75.2978,-61.4948,-60.0448,-51.6999,0.0,-37.6916,16.2529,-40.4493,-49.5736,13.1315,-68.4027,-8.0681,0.0,-62.7799,-17.9813,9.612,0.0,11.6712,-35.0978,0.0,-48.8841,-35.028,-13.3061,18.3952,-35.3833],"force":[-29.186,-59.6774,-56.3064,-20.2012,-18.9064,-26.7992,-9.0284,-88.5251,-52.4067,-34.7829,-22.1716,0.0,-7.4504,63.5898,-20.8349,-30.0721,36.6504,-79.8811,-8.321,0.0,-60.9552,-8.5061,37.6766,0.0,27.2527,-37.8869,0.0,-46.0029,-25.0773,-8.4493,40.0225,-46.1826],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-91.5827,-68.511,-43.8405,-73.6665,-74.5088,-73.5516,-72.6247,0.0,-36.4377,0.0634,-15.8994,-42.1818,11.2748,-47.1703,-40.1451,0.0,-46.045,-29.0397,11.2669,0.0,22.0863,-3.3292,0.0,-33.5918,-36.7757,-21.3866,1.3261,-4.304],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,60.0,50.0,85.7143,50.0,11.1111,10.0,36.3636,16.6667,61.5385,35.7143,60.0,25.0,76.4706,55.5556,42.1053,60.0,14.2857,27.2727,4.3478,58.3333,48.0,3.8462,44.4444,3.5714,10.3448,23.3333,16.129],"confirmation":[32.0062,41.7634,40.6847,29.1311,63.0116,83.7869,29.592,93.3322,88.0971,85.9605,83.6263,8.1342,54.0352,53.8567,76.2329,80.9949,29.1794,88.8484,28.697,4.4762,86.1099,28.5896,28.9126,25.8265,74.5078,53.4735,47.6642,81.7044,78.334,27.2685,51.706,54.4928],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,19.2585,23.5485,0.7582,10.2652,17.7576,20.3049,23.8633,6.5657,23.6038,32.5441,48.8787,0.5223,15.0962,17.3707,37.3112,12.9155,21.269,11.0594,3.5952,7.8113,38.3924,40.1196,2.8694,24.2957,32.6212,29.4442,14.6548,34.3026],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-27.2,"control":-35.4,"force":-46.2,"direction":-4.3,"confirmation":54.5,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":34.3,"intensity":16.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-27.2","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-35.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-46.2","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-4.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"54/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"24.4","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"34.5%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"46.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"9%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[39.72,32.58,23.13,24.9048,23.8894,21.9488,22.3348,14.88,13.04,12.03,11.9182,14.125,13.68,17.15,14.9719,13.003,14.7899,10.35,10.9199,12.1723,8.985,9.4997,11.29,11.9,13.21,10.91,11.0241,8.8063,8.5212,9.2955,10.8463,9.5],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,31.9076,30.0969,28.6856,26.1755,23.7872,21.6495,19.8802,18.8338,17.8967,17.761,17.2539,16.481,16.1735,15.1147,14.352,13.9557,13.0519,12.4061,12.2031,12.148,12.3411,12.0809,11.8888,11.3283,10.8179,10.5411,10.5966,10.3972],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26.3787,25.6951,24.9008,24.0195,23.3358,22.3739,21.5254,20.8326,19.955,19.1805,18.5961,18.1,17.7378,17.2321,16.7722,16.1821,15.6147,15.1466,14.828,14.4334],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,39.1253,38.5977,37.8001,37.0672,36.3218,35.6553,35.0968,34.5196,34.1513,33.7363,33.2802,28.5627,25.2691,24.1554,22.3397,20.4809,18.8496,16.4773,16.3225,16.3706,16.3842,16.3501,16.0873],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.5663,5.1071,4.6168,4.1914,4.4397,4.3851,4.0665,4.0799,3.4537,3.0391,2.8736,4.5176,5.5032,5.4329,5.9481,6.7389,7.2664,8.5076,8.0551,7.555,7.268,7.1949,6.9952],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-17.9758,-41.7674,-37.2991,-39.8555,-44.7412,-43.7694,-62.5378,-67.1702,-69.713,-69.9945,-64.4386,-65.5589,-56.8228,-62.3064,-67.2633,-62.7646,-73.9426,-72.5078,-69.3547,-77.3792,-76.0833,-71.576,-70.0403,-66.7422,-72.5327,-72.2455,-77.8291,-78.5468,-76.5974,-72.6931,-76.0826],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,18.5162,14.7824,43.8976,25.6222,9.102,24.0951,0.0,5.5063,17.6068,0.0,5.7284,25.6539,32.443,47.0228,21.4246,22.6945,0.0,0.0,9.0867,27.2861,11.4866],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,178.7536,263.1131,96.9626,50.1989,16.0325,27.0641,143.0803,43.6385,44.5817,49.5427,118.3729,61.6138,42.1469,64.5927,91.8803,84.7538,106.0939,47.6922,79.1039,54.1037,47.8782,128.5793,123.403,123.0349,189.8034],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.7799,65.0,71.6981,69.7343,67.7995,69.8839,65.0,67.5548,69.2508,66.6508,70.3972,73.732,77.8673,79.6603,76.6038,78.6151,76.9807,73.2699,76.7211,80.2182,74.338],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,50.2474,49.7624,49.3333,48.9349,47.8983,46.9358],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.5842,6.1982,5.9777,5.718,5.3435,5.1587,6.8884,6.5074,6.2959,8.2872,9.9995,11.8862,11.1592,10.7077,10.0468,9.5074,9.1424,10.8794,10.4356],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}