{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MYRG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"7d85450c-3080-47aa-8fef-4ee4347ce7cd","symbol":"MYRG","name":"MYR Group Inc","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Engineering & Construction"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-20.7,"medianReturn":-20.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-20.7,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-30.3,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-29.4,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-30.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":40.0,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 40.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 9.9% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 28.6% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 7 cases. Distinct visits lasted 10.4 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 14.7% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-11-29","price":157.9},{"date":"2025-01-24","price":156.75},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":164.555}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":391.51}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":477.95}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[102.8,100.8,88.59,98.19,101.66,102.75,104.23,118.28,123.75,114.36,130.09,148.66,146.81,151.05,157.9,166.31,165.59,153.3,150.07,153.41,142.96,147.72,156.75,141.57,147.68,134.0,120.5,122.72,112.67,117.21,127.04,116.31,105.29,111.86,114.7,123.43,154.57,155.62,164.555,157.41,156.85,165.57,163.39,169.34,182.61,188.88,183.66,191.94,200.3,187.44,185.05,181.01,185.58,187.27,179.88,175.62,178.85,198.62,199.55,196.57,208.02,219.63,217.7,233.48,229.44,203.61,224.32,228.54,218.4,221.15,225.05,226.72,222.39,250.37,244.6,250.04,268.76,273.95,281.01,269.96,260.9,261.13,259.68,273.47,285.68,318.26,329.33,339.28,433.49,437.86,467.46,446.9,465.06,445.66,445.72,461.1,477.95,433.01,419.34,391.51,379.17,333.22,337.42,334.39],"consensus":[-41.8557,-33.3237,-72.3621,0.0,0.0,-10.8477,0.0,55.9291,50.3925,-15.823,63.9926,77.3821,28.439,58.5724,52.9176,65.5267,42.1227,-8.7981,0.0,24.5364,-37.1513,20.5961,43.3485,-40.8647,22.9804,-52.8887,-65.763,-26.5141,-72.1471,-8.6313,25.853,-49.3886,-51.8989,0.0,-11.1615,26.8987,68.8555,40.3664,56.0295,15.383,15.762,56.2679,16.2251,48.9539,63.5355,59.6383,21.4318,57.1998,56.9525,-11.8145,0.0,-13.1765,15.9537,12.4684,-15.0858,-21.894,0.0,59.9638,22.3749,10.965,51.7626,56.2018,19.7716,62.4931,22.6844,-42.5966,48.4895,28.9707,-16.2266,21.2825,16.5867,16.5642,0.0,64.0746,12.6477,35.6192,64.576,41.8785,51.2709,0.0,-9.4404,0.0,-10.9827,29.7319,43.7832,71.7606,60.0832,55.5273,86.699,43.1621,71.6974,21.4506,50.2501,14.1136,22.436,48.2352,46.8413,-25.5389,-18.1177,-39.9337,-43.564,-66.8255,-28.8688,-37.8193],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[27.1893,13.6417,-14.7735,-22.5806,0.0,58.8698,13.7053,1.741,50.8875,53.8835,12.3329,60.3434,17.0774,-37.3459,54.6938,38.2335,-12.4558,17.4575,20.3817,23.2943,0.0,64.2025,3.784,32.8474,66.2839,40.0634,52.4207,0.0,-6.3553,0.0,-6.5968,31.1332,39.1885,71.2168,64.874,56.4898,88.8158,31.8077,71.5029,11.7539,46.1848,12.5519,31.333,55.5542,48.7485,-26.0636,-15.821,-34.071,-40.7421,-59.2491,-20.1929,-32.9823],"force":[16.8963,4.0966,-28.1962,-28.0559,0.0,89.6877,6.1835,12.7101,54.905,63.3982,8.663,71.1047,8.6083,-88.5135,62.4062,24.835,-45.7319,20.1345,10.3262,9.1461,0.0,82.1369,14.7724,25.2332,72.0831,26.5749,39.8934,0.0,-41.2536,0.0,-25.1164,33.451,50.37,90.1943,49.5564,42.296,99.8373,17.4187,65.1782,32.8102,35.1326,32.2353,1.2846,36.502,42.9364,-73.5599,-32.9359,-50.6086,-43.2233,-86.6974,-0.2337,-17.0953],"direction":[2.4398,17.1073,-6.078,-16.7081,0.0,39.9828,43.8484,38.4175,50.5182,53.711,48.5833,58.7988,51.4442,-15.7996,31.4585,21.3386,-0.5391,26.4739,16.7214,14.1713,0.0,51.027,42.3633,46.2054,57.2618,54.884,58.0836,0.0,-9.7575,0.0,-5.8998,25.474,44.3295,59.215,62.1273,63.8784,74.8953,74.5269,76.5763,71.2902,65.6944,49.0047,29.2114,48.2516,47.4509,-9.3615,-10.158,-39.0091,-47.0325,-61.2899,-59.5716,-58.1501],"intensity":[28.8462,50.0,30.7692,13.4615,13.4615,94.2308,92.3077,13.4615,65.3846,65.3846,90.3846,84.6154,9.6154,94.2308,92.3077,30.7692,50.0,51.9231,57.6923,3.8462,17.3077,96.1538,90.3846,17.3077,82.6923,90.3846,30.7692,63.4615,69.2308,5.7692,21.1538,69.2308,67.3077,98.0769,100.0,65.3846,100.0,98.0769,92.3077,78.8462,90.3846,82.6923,82.6923,96.1538,90.3846,96.1538,96.1538,88.4615,46.1538,96.1538,88.4615,5.7692],"confirmation":[50.296,49.0502,50.5651,75.1834,3.4096,88.111,52.132,5.6393,84.6731,86.2392,30.0885,88.293,30.8939,83.1103,83.8462,77.0034,51.5975,74.8337,73.0591,72.9719,3.7304,89.0524,6.4981,79.1238,88.8671,80.9624,84.0424,8.9616,6.1191,24.5671,26.6787,77.6062,82.2814,91.5335,86.8328,85.3508,96.1118,81.2003,90.7474,35.0245,83.6813,32.6711,51.9284,82.9662,82.8412,34.2917,74.2843,81.1935,81.9731,90.1052,53.8665,79.5443],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[56.47,7.448,23.2862,20.5229,37.7609,14.1438,38.0625,44.0077,24.0368,21.2044,39.3362,18.7419,38.1414,23.1406,0.1194,33.8692,27.3383,33.6945,5.134,16.1072,17.9552,16.7308,38.6582,29.2954,17.6069,26.1895,24.2737,44.7958,26.165,44.6294,42.8913,0.8624,27.0204,14.1052,19.9578,22.2356,6.6495,28.4098,14.1489,39.2337,16.251,6.7122,44.0726,0.1739,1.3713,6.1944,25.0245,28.5714,27.9527,16.5687,35.4794,30.6932],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-37.8,"control":-33.0,"force":-17.1,"direction":-58.2,"confirmation":79.5,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":30.7,"intensity":5.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-37.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-33.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-17.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-58.2","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"80/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"44.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"39.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"33%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[102.8,100.8,88.59,98.19,101.66,102.75,104.23,118.28,123.75,114.36,130.09,148.66,146.81,151.05,157.9,166.31,165.59,153.3,150.07,153.41,142.96,147.72,156.75,141.57,147.68,134.0,120.5,122.72,112.67,117.21,127.04,116.31,105.29,111.86,114.7,123.43,154.57,155.62,164.555,157.41,156.85,165.57,163.39,169.34,182.61,188.88,183.66,191.94,200.3,187.44,185.05,181.01,185.58,187.27,179.88,175.62,178.85,198.62,199.55,196.57,208.02,219.63,217.7,233.48,229.44,203.61,224.32,228.54,218.4,221.15,225.05,226.72,222.39,250.37,244.6,250.04,268.76,273.95,281.01,269.96,260.9,261.13,259.68,273.47,285.68,318.26,329.33,339.28,433.49,437.86,467.46,446.9,465.06,445.66,445.72,461.1,477.95,433.01,419.34,391.51,379.17,333.22,337.42,334.39],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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