{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BELA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"7e268777-41cf-4532-a126-a57462a1d18c","symbol":"BELA","name":"Jumbo S.A.","exchange":"ATH","country":"GR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Specialty Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":20,"completedEpisodes":19,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.9,"averageExpectedMove":11.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":20,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":1.8,"medianReturn":1.5,"confidenceLow":38.7,"confidenceHigh":78.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":19,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":63.2,"averageReturn":4.0,"medianReturn":1.0,"confidenceLow":41.0,"confidenceHigh":80.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":19,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":63.2,"averageReturn":7.9,"medianReturn":7.0,"confidenceLow":41.0,"confidenceHigh":80.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":20},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":20},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":20},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":20},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":20},{"week":7,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":20},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":19},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":19},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":19},{"week":20,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":19},{"week":21,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":19},{"week":22,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":19},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.5,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":63.2,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 63.2% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.0% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 11.3% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":24.682634}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-26","price":28.466841}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[21.3563,21.6209,23.4542,23.0384,23.0384,24.8527,24.6826,24.0779,24.4936,23.303,22.9628,23.3408,22.9061,23.303,23.3219,24.5881,24.5881,23.7944,24.0779,24.418,24.2857,23.5109,24.3235,24.7582,25.1362,25.8733,26.4025,25.0795,24.3991,25.8166,24.8905,25.0181,23.0936,23.8634,25.1143,25.5184,26.4422,27.2505,27.6931,26.8848,27.5391,27.9818,27.135,26.4229,28.0395,29.2519,28.2127,29.7715,29.2103,28.8581,31.1472,31.5581,30.4233,29.8168,29.6407,31.0298,31.3429,28.4668,28.4668,27.606,26.2756,26.393,26.9408,27.293,27.3908,27.2538,26.7647,27.019,26.843,27.156,27.606,27.293,27.293,25.6495,25.4343,24.4952,25.4343,24.456,24.5539,24.28,22.8322,22.8713,22.48,22.78,22.86,23.44,24.38,23.46,23.24,22.0,21.54,22.06,23.28,23.0,22.62,21.8743,21.7384,22.573,22.0295,22.7865,22.98,24.2,25.84,26.78],"consensus":[-52.7547,-22.9491,50.7456,0.0,11.8223,66.2279,23.0398,0.0,31.7722,-36.7008,-32.2824,0.0,-34.5469,13.1873,0.0,54.5176,21.5442,-16.1981,22.4053,17.6582,0.0,-40.7178,35.2733,39.371,42.107,52.9378,54.4188,-21.6545,-34.1516,47.4702,-34.3945,0.0,-63.2407,11.9652,35.9784,23.7894,49.0216,57.4749,52.701,0.0,43.6138,37.5708,-15.1568,-23.5675,48.2537,60.1512,0.0,70.9488,9.3898,0.0,67.3324,48.3599,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.955,36.4271,-55.7848,-25.2352,-51.9773,-65.6296,-39.9313,-10.6179,0.0,-9.2822,0.0,-35.1337,0.0,-25.0114,9.7492,17.5483,-15.0351,0.0,-63.0768,-33.5093,-62.8984,0.0,-57.1096,-24.2333,-40.1887,-69.1049,-28.4594,-56.9671,-16.0315,-10.2937,0.0,37.0597,-25.9158,-16.0258,-63.0662,-51.5492,-13.1729,27.421,0.0,-10.7887,-40.1838,-25.3127,9.4655,-13.2133,38.8168,22.0002,60.4857,73.5475,72.9234],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,0.0,0.0,50.2153,39.4415,-50.6098,-25.2176,-44.96,-59.3265,-42.0722,-1.1597,0.0,-19.1015,0.0,-38.0298,0.0,-25.1192,15.4558,18.2896,-22.3099,0.0,-57.4175,-24.8083,-55.9767,0.0,-60.9847,-20.3722,-47.4389,-71.33,-21.4264,-62.3658,-4.3176,-7.5792,0.0,31.7105,-37.7268,-24.3803,-63.9166,-49.226,-7.5439,30.0848,0.0,-25.9843,-57.3691,-20.9622,18.1144,-6.3782,32.7744,14.8574,63.1263,75.8247,78.8964],"force":[0.0,0.0,0.0,53.8098,27.7408,-93.2523,-12.7863,-64.5566,-82.7712,-13.3703,-24.5117,0.0,-4.2637,0.0,-38.4398,0.0,-18.1047,34.5793,24.4456,-20.396,0.0,-90.2143,-19.9089,-78.5231,0.0,-59.3804,-0.5869,-32.8725,-75.5074,-0.4993,-44.1803,-16.7771,-15.1234,0.0,62.3084,-38.4116,-11.511,-83.7202,-52.6245,-17.4502,55.4735,0.0,-7.5103,-32.0927,-9.3819,22.1554,-7.8601,72.9505,23.4797,66.1352,79.5274,66.2611],"direction":[0.0,0.0,0.0,21.1897,39.1865,-34.9367,-34.1474,-51.012,-60.589,-56.4567,-46.5199,0.0,-7.7358,0.0,-29.4625,0.0,-29.8217,14.5084,11.7745,-2.8918,0.0,-50.1607,-53.1679,-59.6484,0.0,-51.0587,-45.5362,-37.1287,-61.9887,-57.1818,-59.9305,-52.8536,-31.5509,0.0,25.1383,-3.492,-9.7026,-47.3414,-53.4363,-41.4797,4.3392,0.0,-4.2361,-26.3229,-41.664,9.4831,-24.8485,21.3412,29.1068,53.4326,66.6738,70.8559],"intensity":[69.2308,63.4615,30.7692,80.7692,38.4615,100.0,98.0769,71.1538,76.9231,23.0769,23.0769,32.6923,21.1538,30.7692,11.5385,9.6154,3.8462,5.7692,32.6923,5.7692,5.7692,88.4615,88.4615,53.8462,53.8462,55.7692,32.6923,36.5385,88.4615,30.7692,15.3846,25.0,1.9231,67.3077,61.5385,55.7692,67.3077,76.9231,69.2308,19.2308,73.0769,25.0,28.8462,50.0,11.5385,51.9231,36.5385,46.1538,57.6923,78.8462,90.3846,86.5385],"confirmation":[32.9683,6.6452,25.3248,81.3562,79.346,87.0719,75.6961,85.123,89.6199,79.9359,7.7004,5.0805,25.9841,47.8974,79.2994,4.6144,75.7915,29.5513,73.8144,50.1971,0.8692,89.0979,78.4411,88.7092,33.8295,86.2852,52.4262,80.5269,90.2748,53.7715,85.7575,7.8878,5.787,4.2205,80.7101,53.8272,72.8633,88.7977,84.5639,7.0905,54.9224,3.0789,26.6913,80.3504,75.6809,27.9736,26.8359,81.5537,75.194,87.4874,91.6828,99.0414],"persistence":[62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[40.2029,34.8999,41.6175,42.4019,16.2827,10.5883,23.6102,23.5576,17.1603,26.7812,36.8533,10.712,44.4847,37.9083,8.7963,11.5475,14.8569,10.3388,37.3736,31.4089,38.0242,18.0634,33.2107,18.5463,50.0237,18.9133,31.412,4.2254,15.3754,34.5222,21.2436,40.7025,7.1311,30.0247,31.0469,49.536,32.942,16.9789,24.2074,41.7751,11.146,46.347,51.3079,7.2238,36.1473,30.7704,26.8495,23.4587,36.5254,18.4638,13.2221,13.5363],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":72.9,"control":78.9,"force":66.3,"direction":70.9,"confirmation":99.0,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":13.5,"intensity":86.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+72.9","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+78.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+66.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+70.9","detail":"Upward 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