{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"LUNL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"7e274d74-98ee-47cb-ae1f-db90fdd70365","symbol":"LUNL","name":"Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.404984,-0.50332,-0.463737,-0.458532],"opens":[3.38,2.89,5.12,7.49],"highs":[3.66,5.19,7.61,7.92],"lows":[2.48,2.71,3.6,5.425],"closes":[2.94,5.05,6.64,6.06],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"3.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"3.66","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.48","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.94","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.89","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.19","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.05","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.61","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.60","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.64","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"7.49","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.92","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.42","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.06","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[2.718,6.862],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"slight strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[24.69,20.5397,17.5122,13.61,11.15,12.88,10.67,12.05,11.78,11.88,10.73,18.78,17.86,23.82,20.07,19.97,24.25,32.06,39.94,49.735,20.56,16.61,11.47,8.4,8.14,5.41,3.67,3.31,2.94,5.05,6.64,6.06],"consensus":[73.5086,-22.6791,-81.5368,0.0,-57.9036,-19.1892,-34.9918,-10.1518,-18.2508,-16.7628,-27.3963,50.5419,10.6103,59.9946,0.0,13.0539,44.3783,55.8889,64.1247,60.9098,-47.6882,-40.5787,-48.6928,-42.5146,-38.6532,-49.8298,-43.8592,-40.3469,-32.4247,0.0,0.0,-18.4185],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-9.3617,-33.7354,-9.114,-23.41,-18.24,-31.3348,42.0294,3.4723,49.3083,0.0,14.3204,43.3131,47.3521,61.8623,46.8193,-48.0155,-38.0158,-48.6376,-41.187,-41.6118,-54.5008,-46.334,-47.8006,-32.7525,0.0,0.0,-27.9125],"force":[73.5086,-22.6791,-81.5368,0.0,-27.5063,-1.9911,-18.6247,-14.4255,-6.1586,-5.2229,-28.4029,86.0416,2.4946,82.3379,0.0,7.1064,55.5585,75.8355,70.0678,76.748,-90.9628,-50.8292,-51.0305,-31.9484,-20.3574,-40.4785,-30.9679,-19.5807,-11.9094,0.0,0.0,-10.3022],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-79.616,-45.5493,-48.1184,-28.893,-20.9919,-23.3173,-22.176,34.9136,28.1286,56.2479,0.0,15.8546,37.6096,51.3978,62.4652,65.7002,-16.4036,-36.186,-47.0861,-51.5792,-48.3404,-51.1708,-50.2389,-46.6614,-46.7038,0.0,0.0,-13.3656],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,16.6667,14.2857,12.5,33.3333,20.0,90.9091,83.3333,76.9231,71.4286,100.0,62.5,100.0,77.7778,100.0,100.0,95.2381,54.5455,60.8696,4.1667,32.0,42.3077,7.4074,7.1429,27.5862,33.3333,25.8065],"confirmation":[46.1894,29.924,48.7584,1.7672,62.4729,51.4029,78.7177,28.2595,50.7264,50.3232,76.7375,85.385,26.3035,88.042,32.1094,49.31,82.558,86.6224,88.7355,88.1885,84.5741,81.3366,83.6538,81.3029,79.7664,83.5894,81.6043,80.1646,77.7457,7.6737,5.2668,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,25.0,40.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,21.0482,40.3292,32.415,25.187,23.4242,13.8724,15.2097,23.0451,42.5814,19.8923,51.0284,10.4508,25.7589,20.9882,17.9327,19.545,5.5297,25.7605,25.3558,28.7205,23.7935,16.3468,12.238,4.7089,9.1167,2.4561,13.8984,24.9289],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-18.4,"control":-27.9,"force":-10.3,"direction":-13.4,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":24.9,"intensity":25.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-18.4","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-27.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-10.3","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-13.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"35.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"118.8%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"30.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"7%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[24.69,20.5397,17.5122,13.61,11.15,12.88,10.67,12.05,11.78,11.88,10.73,18.78,17.86,23.82,20.07,19.97,24.25,32.06,39.94,49.735,20.56,16.61,11.47,8.4,8.14,5.41,3.67,3.31,2.94,5.05,6.64,6.06],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,19.293,18.127,16.7712,15.9128,15.1614,14.5648,13.8675,14.7607,15.3242,16.8689,17.4509,17.9089,19.0619,21.4252,24.7915,29.3267,27.7327,25.7104,23.1213,20.4447,18.2074,15.8806,13.6605,11.7786,10.1716,9.2404,8.7676,8.2753],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,18.3033,18.712,18.8126,18.8983,19.2947,20.2403,21.6995,23.7762,23.538,23.0248,22.1689,21.149,20.1854,19.0909,17.9486,16.8643,15.8328,15.0341,14.4123,13.7936],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,23.5902,23.1143,23.4655,23.5327,25.0349,25.2857,25.4568,26.4305,29.3512,33.9645,40.364,40.0536,39.9088,39.914,40.0756,40.1981,40.5036,40.8718,41.2328,41.5624,41.7175,41.7894,41.5792],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.7622,5.5206,5.9132,6.3337,6.1011,6.4505,6.7922,6.7745,5.5713,3.3241,0.0337,-0.0689,-0.317,-0.9265,-1.6091,-2.0326,-3.0851,-4.1533,-5.3883,-6.6019,-7.44,-7.9209,-8.9827],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-16.8096,-29.0717,-44.8765,-54.84,-47.8331,-56.7841,-51.1948,-52.2884,-51.8834,-56.5411,-23.9368,-27.663,-3.5237,-18.712,-19.1171,-1.7821,0.0,0.0,0.0,-58.6609,-66.603,-76.9378,-83.1105,-83.6333,-89.1223,-92.6209,-93.3447,-94.0887,-89.8462,-86.6492,-87.8154],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.9335,10.403,11.3402,0.5623,76.0075,67.3852,123.2427,88.0975,87.1603,127.2727,200.4686,274.3205,366.12,92.6898,55.6701,7.4977,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,71.7687,125.8503,106.1224],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus 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activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,33.7953,41.0814,40.3196,33.2264,27.0712,22.73,21.4687,58.7764,71.2211,100.5404,131.3484,128.4069,183.4964,255.3873,265.5271,280.4576,155.1215,113.8632,118.7903],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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