{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"QTOP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"7eef9eda-9588-4325-90e5-94f19ca53c7e","symbol":"QTOP","name":"iS Nsq 100 T 30 UCITS ETF US A","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":57,"displayedObservations":57,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":0.5,"medianReturn":0.4,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":16.5,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 16.5% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.2% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":6.973},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":6.972}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":7.029},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7.055},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":6.824}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[5.389,5.46,5.513,5.586,5.436,5.501,5.604,5.653,5.731,5.691,5.805,5.905,5.71,5.944,6.162,5.833,5.808,5.655,5.994,6.04,6.013,5.953,6.019,6.025,5.98,6.039,6.039,6.073,5.832,5.778,5.848,5.837,5.822,5.751,5.657,5.471,5.65,5.985,6.355,6.485,6.491,6.973,7.048,7.091,7.275,7.029,7.024,7.158,6.846,6.972,7.055,6.824,6.708,6.582,6.99,7.044,6.829],"consensus":[100.0,-28.8136,97.7273,34.5455,0.0,28.6872,60.7324,67.6624,74.003,17.9265,77.9504,79.866,-24.7698,76.1685,84.8755,-28.1011,0.0,-49.8823,50.8106,51.0105,15.7146,15.7567,40.7319,30.3266,0.0,28.5578,30.0404,28.1743,-60.014,-56.9204,0.0,-24.0121,-10.934,-36.8295,-57.3502,-76.6483,0.0,53.4343,79.075,72.4552,53.0894,87.1421,60.5935,64.7568,81.0233,0.0,34.1847,51.9918,-19.0326,26.4087,30.5919,-35.5445,-46.9022,-27.1979,43.5396,46.1063,-23.4735],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[20.9416,57.1231,76.7509,80.8108,4.8758,86.4171,88.3069,-27.0793,83.6328,80.4909,-32.0145,0.0,-48.3542,73.143,60.6194,3.1377,19.1432,56.72,46.9556,0.0,29.2756,39.2874,23.4047,-54.3854,-50.5776,0.0,-15.168,-4.8053,-31.9432,-62.3148,-72.8471,0.0,57.5919,82.4262,78.7723,58.1522,92.7926,63.5111,68.6738,79.0985,0.0,42.5514,46.7243,-6.2188,35.8098,36.2709,-37.5814,-40.7313,-15.5483,50.1536,51.9708,-36.8605],"force":[10.336,50.4477,47.193,52.3586,25.9789,59.6918,60.0443,-88.9426,58.6742,91.2366,-73.4236,0.0,-64.3475,64.3727,34.8321,9.9303,22.4193,29.083,12.4544,0.0,17.0183,23.0353,30.5153,-90.6301,-71.9593,0.0,-13.5855,-1.2506,-45.6349,-49.091,-95.8999,0.0,63.5549,98.7208,70.2398,23.4728,92.8269,31.0616,40.1417,86.0614,0.0,6.3206,57.3575,-68.5359,13.7579,13.7052,-56.563,-79.508,-12.9845,75.1852,48.6555,-40.7028],"direction":[50.6473,72.2034,71.8965,81.6831,75.3473,81.316,84.3775,-23.7073,80.1337,85.3428,-8.7446,0.0,-41.2964,15.6007,51.5849,48.4059,39.155,30.7803,24.0879,0.0,35.9801,24.4761,31.9532,-44.5781,-53.4273,0.0,-41.5673,-24.8549,-36.1242,-57.5758,-67.2414,0.0,41.4536,61.2123,66.8179,68.458,76.6238,78.3532,77.8624,79.6244,0.0,44.5258,54.1791,-1.6826,24.7008,36.1635,-18.2036,-30.6648,-50.6642,13.3767,37.5833,-4.1325],"intensity":[40.0,33.3333,85.7143,37.5,11.1111,60.0,27.2727,91.6667,100.0,100.0,100.0,6.25,70.5882,100.0,47.3684,5.0,47.619,45.4545,4.3478,20.8333,24.0,26.9231,48.1481,89.2857,17.2414,33.3333,32.2581,28.125,27.2727,41.1765,80.0,77.7778,97.2973,100.0,97.4359,32.5,100.0,85.7143,9.3023,86.3636,80.0,82.6087,87.234,93.75,51.0204,28.0,70.5882,48.0769,90.3846,100.0,65.3846,63.4615],"confirmation":[76.7387,87.1759,88.8896,90.9176,11.3282,92.2587,92.8244,37.5711,91.727,95.4208,34.8462,29.4893,84.4265,84.3324,83.6839,6.5572,31.2765,80.4356,76.9065,4.5263,76.7759,77.2585,77.1598,88.2233,86.7695,31.1602,75.5009,25.9638,80.1282,86.0247,93.1721,34.2213,85.344,93.8517,91.0219,84.0088,95.9726,86.4454,87.9123,94.1103,35.4958,55.2958,84.8812,30.82,75.922,77.1882,79.9838,84.0964,76.4477,82.7963,82.7424,54.0476],"persistence":[50.0,57.1429,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[7.7313,9.2442,0.8595,12.9622,40.4153,10.556,9.9622,1.7319,10.9864,7.3275,7.515,30.2374,22.6522,62.2382,15.6818,33.0776,38.6885,13.3987,19.4043,7.0793,9.5522,8.5842,2.1426,10.9152,19.8148,44.6224,37.7358,0.9536,1.917,20.4586,11.6537,47.4357,19.6791,10.4311,13.7715,23.4485,6.4253,19.6373,17.4539,9.4641,12.4299,22.8945,9.7222,38.6612,26.1987,7.7353,28.7455,6.1273,34.1639,37.9254,17.6233,38.6545],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-23.5,"control":-36.9,"force":-40.7,"direction":-4.1,"confirmation":54.0,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":38.7,"intensity":63.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-23.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-36.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-40.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-4.1","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"54/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"55.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"20.3","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"73%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[5.389,5.46,5.513,5.586,5.436,5.501,5.604,5.653,5.731,5.691,5.805,5.905,5.71,5.944,6.162,5.833,5.808,5.655,5.994,6.04,6.013,5.953,6.019,6.025,5.98,6.039,6.039,6.073,5.832,5.778,5.848,5.837,5.822,5.751,5.657,5.471,5.65,5.985,6.355,6.485,6.491,6.973,7.048,7.091,7.275,7.029,7.024,7.158,6.846,6.972,7.055,6.824,6.708,6.582,6.99,7.044,6.829],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,5.449,5.4585,5.4849,5.5155,5.5547,5.5795,5.6205,5.6722,5.6791,5.7272,5.8063,5.8111,5.8106,5.7823,5.8208,5.8606,5.8883,5.9001,5.9217,5.9405,5.9477,5.9643,5.9779,5.9952,5.9655,5.9314,5.9162,5.9018,5.8873,5.8625,5.8252,5.7608,5.7406,5.7851,5.8887,5.9971,6.0869,6.248,6.3935,6.5203,6.6575,6.7251,6.7794,6.8482,6.8478,6.8704,6.904,6.8894,6.8564,6.8065,6.8399,6.877,6.8683],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.5951,1.7243,2.0944,2.3344,2.585,2.6686,2.5135,2.4098,2.4162,2.2973,2.1382,2.1032,2.045,2.0243,1.9798,2.2524,2.3224,2.2541,2.2696,2.3018,2.3886,2.4581,2.7544,2.7636,2.857,2.9256,2.8318,2.7085,2.8349,2.7585,2.7615,2.6899,2.8941,2.9516,2.8641,3.1063,2.9613,2.8015,2.9313,2.9947,3.1726,3.2942,3.1003,3.2415],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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impulse","title":"Acceleration, deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,100.0,100.0,78.9238,100.0,100.0,65.5477,100.0,95.6977,57.4419,54.5349,36.7442,76.1628,81.5116,78.3721,71.3953,79.0698,79.7674,74.5349,81.3953,81.3953,85.3488,54.4099,47.7019,54.9422,53.5302,37.1667,17.6471,0.3676,0.0,27.7632,71.8421,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,99.0154,100.0,99.4583,83.9493,83.6853,90.7603,74.2872,80.9398,85.3221,73.1257,67.0011,60.3485,81.8902,84.7413,73.3897],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21.5867,20.5035,20.2734,20.1677,20.1872,19.514,19.379,19.0767,19.1639,20.2457,21.3983,20.0041,20.1883,20.8199,21.4273,23.3185,25.2634,26.8481,28.7303,29.7,29.4019,29.5017,28.3623,27.6976,27.3304,25.9851,24.2831,23.4506,22.5044,21.6259,20.2969],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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QTOP Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-21, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/7eef9eda-9588-4325-90e5-94f19ca53c7e/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}