{"ticker": {"uuid": "7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a", "symbol": "UGP", "name": "Ultrapar Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.", "exchange": "BUE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "UGP closed the latest completed week at 10,260 ARS. The 4-week return is 27.9% and the 12-week return is 13.6%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.63.", "description": "Ultrapar Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure sectors in Brazil, the rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Ultragaz, Ipiranga, Ultracargo, and Hidrovias segments. The company distributes and sells oil-related products, biofuels, gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and additive fuels under the Ipimax brand to carriers, resellers, and retailers; operates service stations under the Ipiranga brand and convenience stores under the AmPm brand; and produces and sells lubricants under the ICONIC brand. It also engages in the distribution of bulk and bottled liquefied petroleum gas for the residential, condominium, trade, services, industrial, and agribusiness sectors; operation of a natural gas pipeline network; and provision of renewable electricity for businesses and households, as well as compressed natural gas and biomethane for corporate clients. In addition, the company operates liquid bulk storage terminals in logistics centers; waterway and multimodal infrastructure; and port operations. Further, the company offers logistics solutions for handling grains, ores, and fertilizers; automotive services through Jet Oil units; and loyalty programs under the Km de Vantagens (KMV) brand. It also exports its products and services. Ultrapar Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil.", "setup_signature": "Leadership continuation", "composite_score": "71", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "10,260 ARS", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-0.5%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "27.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "13.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "98.1%", "hint": "51 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.4x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "BUE", "country": "AR", "sector": "Energy", "industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "currency": "ARS", "market_cap": "8128.0B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "8,009 ARS", "fair_value": "5,331 ARS", "vs_trend": "28.1%", "vs_fair_value": "92.5%", "high_52": "10,430 ARS", 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"tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "28.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.4x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.51% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "10,260 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "8,009 ARS", "fair_value": "5,331 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.63", "relative_leadership": "20.98", "volume": "3.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "10,310 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,863 ARS", "fair_value": "5,280 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.41", "relative_leadership": "23.03", "volume": "35.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "9,820 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,712 ARS", "fair_value": "5,228 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-0.13", "relative_leadership": "21.51", "volume": "32.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "9,410 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,576 ARS", "fair_value": "5,178 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-0.63", "relative_leadership": "14.73", "volume": "5.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "8,025 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,462 ARS", "fair_value": "5,132 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-0.94", "relative_leadership": "1.07", "volume": "19.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "7,605 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,396 ARS", "fair_value": "5,093 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-1.20", "relative_leadership": "-1.55", "volume": "218", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "7,175 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,349 ARS", "fair_value": "5,058 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-1.22", "relative_leadership": "-11.43", "volume": "52", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "7,300 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,310 ARS", "fair_value": "5,024 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-0.93", "relative_leadership": "-11.29", "volume": "3.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "7,300 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,274 ARS", "fair_value": "4,989 ARS", "activity_pressure": "-0.54", "relative_leadership": "-3.26", "volume": "229", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "7,635 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,234 ARS", "fair_value": "4,954 ARS", "activity_pressure": "0.32", "relative_leadership": "-0.86", "volume": "2.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "8,430 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,179 ARS", "fair_value": "4,917 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.11", "relative_leadership": "22.65", "volume": "781", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "8,475 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,101 ARS", "fair_value": "4,873 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.44", "relative_leadership": "31.17", "volume": "2.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "9,035 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "7,016 ARS", "fair_value": "4,830 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.64", "relative_leadership": "38.50", "volume": "14.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "9,015 ARS", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "6,910 ARS", "fair_value": "4,782 ARS", "activity_pressure": "1.54", "relative_leadership": "36.95", "volume": "18.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "63", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.25605, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.51%", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 59.43055555555554, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.67; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 69.21939563605098, "score_label": "69", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "69/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 59.43055555555554, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.67; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.25605, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.51%", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 54.0, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.", "detail": "Ultrapar Participacoes (NYSE:UGP) Reaches New 1-Year High - Time to Buy?", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/sentiment/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.25605, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.51%", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 69.21939563605098, "score_label": "69", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "69/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-0.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 27.9%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "71/75", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.51%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "54/100", "detail": "15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "71", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 27.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 27.9% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 27.9% over four weeks, 13.6% over 12 weeks, and 145.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-0.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 27.9%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "71/75", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.51%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "54/100", "detail": "15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 69.21939563605098, "score_label": "69", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "69/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 59.43055555555554, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.67; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.25605, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.51%", "url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 54.0, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.", "detail": "Ultrapar Participacoes (NYSE:UGP) Reaches New 1-Year High - Time to Buy?", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/sentiment/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/", "api_path": "/terminal/7f453103-6515-41fe-aebe-b1f370be5a4a/report/api/"}