{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ADAW Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"8084a3a9-4467-4b1e-b97c-2cca0ffed475","symbol":"ADAW","name":"WisdomTree Physical Cardano","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":33,"displayedObservations":33,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.238085,-0.327965,-0.242347,-0.191637,-0.135814],"opens":[1.783,1.806,2.059,2.106,1.914],"highs":[1.927,1.883,2.187,2.106,2.312],"lows":[1.783,1.711,2.051,1.914,1.914],"closes":[1.79,1.883,2.124,1.914,2.312],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"1.78","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"1.93","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"1.78","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"1.79","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"1.81","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"1.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"1.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"1.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.06","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.19","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.05","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"1.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"1.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"1.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.31","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"1.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.31","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[1.75868,2.34332],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[4.154,4.075,3.774,3.38,2.905,2.68,2.932,2.916,2.916,2.882,3.07,2.641,2.641,2.682,2.539,2.64,2.603,2.752,2.777,2.656,2.571,1.704,1.847,1.74,1.594,1.855,1.911,1.793,1.79,1.883,2.124,1.914,2.312],"consensus":[100.0,-75.9336,-36.9231,-48.9657,-72.7234,-75.9402,-17.5631,-61.1301,-33.3586,-8.9854,-14.1842,-87.2468,-44.7635,-22.9966,-71.0188,0.0,-26.2625,22.1313,0.0,-26.4899,-32.7367,-85.4017,-8.6407,-48.3484,-40.2254,0.0,-17.3216,-33.6493,-27.0341,0.0,42.6507,-36.9879,66.8654],"supportDates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-80.3917,-10.9169,-62.3683,-36.6386,-10.1144,-33.7947,-86.1887,-36.1119,-4.1251,-74.316,0.0,-18.0681,14.9915,0.0,-20.3171,-42.1476,-90.2986,-1.0786,-26.4437,-27.2566,0.0,-24.0098,-45.6195,-48.0448,0.0,33.3139,-54.5364,59.4857],"force":[100.0,-75.9336,-36.9231,-48.9657,-34.5369,-45.5178,-31.5886,-27.7363,-0.7597,-24.1991,-30.5059,-98.6044,-9.7549,-19.9897,-51.5954,0.0,-17.9777,79.6296,0.0,-43.6589,-18.3154,-99.9208,-59.9623,-51.8327,-15.4618,0.0,-12.5306,-14.6121,-3.3197,0.0,71.9949,-56.0242,91.0533],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-99.9995,-92.5831,-85.2201,-83.5676,-53.9801,-31.3983,-23.6938,-80.3435,-79.6572,-75.2684,-81.1243,0.0,-41.5453,10.7791,0.0,-21.2809,-32.2825,-69.4344,-68.7506,-70.8935,-72.7353,0.0,-31.001,-33.5671,-19.9607,0.0,32.3612,-3.3351,58.0223],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,40.0,33.3333,42.8571,12.5,33.3333,60.0,90.9091,91.6667,7.6923,28.5714,13.3333,12.5,47.0588,38.8889,52.6316,15.0,100.0,90.9091,21.7391,45.8333,64.0,11.5385,29.6296,35.7143,17.2414,73.3333,54.8387,81.25],"confirmation":[54.6667,46.9654,34.4821,38.3357,66.8592,91.3059,36.2907,86.525,55.0804,29.6759,32.0527,96.2812,81.3892,10.6009,90.0838,35.6241,76.2764,33.9094,4.7193,77.0941,77.8928,95.6964,13.8444,83.9115,80.3151,31.762,29.8711,78.0052,52.9414,29.6742,82.6848,57.4822,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,66.6667,71.4286,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,13.6383,12.0299,41.1312,17.6703,19.1354,41.3097,34.3135,2.3608,19.4225,24.2204,13.6416,2.4466,3.9798,8.1304,43.843,18.6167,5.8129,7.2584,45.5625,25.7276,29.8495,23.6502,20.5431,26.7432,45.3663,2.9872,11.5485,39.3416,13.6327],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":66.9,"control":59.5,"force":91.1,"direction":58.0,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":13.6,"intensity":81.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Completed tape has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Completed tape","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+66.9","detail":"Completed tape has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+59.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+91.1","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+58.0","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"45.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.7%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"42.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"50%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[4.154,4.075,3.774,3.38,2.905,2.68,2.932,2.916,2.916,2.882,3.07,2.641,2.641,2.682,2.539,2.64,2.603,2.752,2.777,2.656,2.571,1.704,1.847,1.74,1.594,1.855,1.911,1.793,1.79,1.883,2.124,1.914,2.312],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,3.7577,3.5617,3.4472,3.3506,3.2716,3.2008,3.177,3.0795,2.9998,2.942,2.8687,2.8272,2.7864,2.7801,2.7796,2.7571,2.7233,2.5379,2.4123,2.2901,2.1635,2.1074,2.0717,2.021,1.979,1.9616,1.9911,1.9771,2.038],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3.4497,3.3929,3.3296,3.2785,3.2285,3.1932,3.1624,3.1249,3.0838,2.9816,2.8976,2.8118,2.7216,2.6574,2.6021,2.5422,2.4865,2.4418,2.4182,2.3809,2.3758],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.299,4.2394,4.2034,4.165,4.1241,4.0933,4.0564,4.0226,3.9874,3.9548,3.9253,3.6924,3.545,3.4094,3.3653,3.4038,3.4092,3.3695,3.3288,3.2748,3.2092,3.0904,3.044,3.0051],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2.2238,2.2486,2.1841,2.1374,2.1113,2.0649,2.0469,2.0279,2.0328,2.0409,2.0362,2.1108,2.0211,1.964,1.8441,1.6745,1.5866,1.5242,1.4526,1.394,1.3597,1.3839,1.3576,1.3636],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-1.9018,-9.1478,-18.6326,-30.0674,-35.4839,-29.4174,-29.8026,-29.8026,-30.6211,-26.0953,-36.4227,-36.4227,-35.4357,-38.8782,-36.4468,-37.3375,-33.7506,-33.1488,-36.0616,-38.1078,-58.9793,-55.5368,-58.1127,-61.6273,-55.3442,-53.9961,-56.8368,-56.909,-54.6702,-48.8686,-53.9239,-44.3428],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,8.806,8.806,7.5373,14.5522,0.0,0.0,1.5524,0.0,3.9779,2.5207,8.3891,9.3738,4.6081,1.2603,0.0,8.392,2.1127,0.0,16.3739,19.8871,12.4843,12.2961,18.1305,33.2497,20.0753,45.0439],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"impulse","eyebrow":"Price impulse","title":"Acceleration, deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.","series":[{"label":"Impulse","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-0.373,-0.3769,-0.387,-0.3825,-0.3775,-0.3574,-0.3357,-0.3244,-0.3187,-0.3797,-0.4118,-0.4408,-0.4701,-0.4669,-0.4546,-0.4492,-0.4401,-0.4206,-0.3812,-0.3628,-0.3125],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":2.0},{"label":"Signal","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-0.3776,-0.3736,-0.366,-0.3577,-0.3499,-0.3558,-0.367,-0.3818,-0.3995,-0.413,-0.4213,-0.4269,-0.4295,-0.4277,-0.4184,-0.4073,-0.3883],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7},{"label":"Expansion","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0001,0.0161,0.0303,0.0333,0.0312,-0.0239,-0.0448,-0.059,-0.0707,-0.054,-0.0334,-0.0224,-0.0106,0.0072,0.0372,0.0445,0.0759],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.0,"fill":"rgba(7,134,92,.12)"}],"guides":[{"label":"Neutral","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}