{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SUNMEZZ Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"824d048c-37ed-4656-b336-3b7f4af2862e","symbol":"SUNMEZZ","name":"SunriseMezz PLC","exchange":"ATH","country":"GR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Credit Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":198,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":11},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":11},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":11},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":11},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":11},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":11},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":11},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":10},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":10},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":10},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":10},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":10},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":10},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":10},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":10},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":9},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":9},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":9},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":9},{"week":20,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":9},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":9},{"week":22,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":9},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":9},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":9},{"week":25,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":9},{"week":26,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":9}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions while Market Dynamics is improving. A green marker is required before the recovery is treated as confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":46.7,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 46.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.5% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.2% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":0.1785},{"date":"2026-05-29","price":0.1815}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.2655,0.2696,0.2755,0.2604,0.26,0.2667,0.2676,0.2638,0.2755,0.265,0.2596,0.2596,0.2684,0.2542,0.2585,0.264,0.276,0.2755,0.276,0.275,0.2675,0.261,0.27,0.26,0.258,0.26,0.252,0.2375,0.236,0.2295,0.2345,0.237,0.2145,0.202,0.206,0.2055,0.2005,0.1968,0.206,0.1998,0.199,0.1978,0.194,0.1906,0.196,0.1948,0.1972,0.1916,0.2285,0.2205,0.234,0.233,0.23,0.2145,0.205,0.211,0.21,0.2145,0.2045,0.2035,0.195,0.1972,0.19,0.1872,0.1828,0.1882,0.1886,0.1928,0.1948,0.1894,0.1834,0.185,0.19,0.1964,0.2005,0.1962,0.1896,0.1572,0.157,0.148,0.138,0.1448,0.1498,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.1935,0.1785,0.1595,0.154,0.1405,0.143,0.1815,0.1665,0.1715,0.1725,0.17,0.137,0.1415,0.1385,0.14,0.137,0.1465,0.148],"consensus":[-18.2077,0.0,18.757,-38.1044,-23.1895,0.0,-10.8572,0.0,31.2316,-25.164,-23.6915,-10.9324,8.4459,-43.6801,0.0,13.7851,36.5303,20.1582,16.1199,14.662,-20.605,-24.6106,20.6285,-37.6355,-15.5047,0.0,-35.006,-53.53,-26.2163,-45.5464,-16.7218,-12.8036,-70.8543,-57.7829,-30.9311,-33.9552,-49.1513,-39.9871,8.6146,-41.8327,-28.2246,-16.1629,-32.5969,-31.7993,0.0,-17.4241,0.0,-28.0912,69.2658,0.0,60.9136,32.8834,16.647,-35.4795,-44.0967,0.0,-14.6805,12.0398,-28.3007,-17.2547,-40.4984,-24.6648,-42.8385,-41.7464,-44.0912,-8.4265,-9.5672,0.0,8.7127,-19.2793,-29.231,-17.7991,0.0,29.8739,36.5308,0.0,-22.1488,-73.6028,-31.6686,-59.2315,-58.9366,-13.6283,0.0,-50.447,27.1958,35.9794,62.657,0.0,-32.8597,-36.6533,-48.1617,-22.5965,60.5071,0.0,28.929,28.4631,9.7404,-67.9407,-33.9224,-38.6522,-24.8257,-28.5658,16.9033,-7.5914],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[17.4301,-34.8338,-42.106,0.0,-9.7437,12.4616,-35.8031,-17.309,-46.0262,-22.6389,-48.2727,-46.5432,-50.1601,-1.3377,-8.4556,0.0,2.0853,-25.3255,-32.4671,-18.8938,0.0,27.2511,28.8277,0.0,-22.7943,-72.1322,-24.0139,-57.5243,-50.2183,-5.9727,0.0,-59.3728,26.4512,31.2878,64.0872,0.0,-42.5079,-41.6833,-44.4888,-16.7956,54.9758,0.0,25.6713,28.2745,22.0342,-70.2448,-37.5382,-38.4734,-20.435,-36.8518,23.1132,-4.2944],"force":[9.675,-82.3598,-65.5409,0.0,-14.918,21.8572,-37.3633,-11.2761,-34.7739,-13.6728,-36.3117,-30.6993,-32.8648,-14.5049,-4.4629,0.0,16.7654,-21.7182,-27.4835,-5.0961,0.0,48.0344,51.4525,0.0,-42.9673,-98.5426,-8.093,-60.2229,-66.0635,-27.1852,0.0,-41.9169,52.5476,51.8809,70.8404,0.0,-48.2611,-37.8401,-54.9561,-3.432,94.8672,0.0,29.2396,21.7432,3.7862,-92.9032,-14.2145,-28.5219,-7.0901,-19.8311,36.1112,-16.6538],"direction":[34.5536,-2.7317,-31.0546,0.0,-20.1531,4.5454,-13.2532,-21.4629,-38.2699,-34.8314,-41.29,-44.1552,-45.1741,-32.9075,-20.8591,0.0,10.5351,-10.6272,-26.7807,-25.6216,0.0,19.8995,34.6761,0.0,-6.5407,-57.4693,-57.2566,-60.4744,-63.8097,-51.53,0.0,-46.339,9.9384,29.9831,55.1772,0.0,-10.8322,-30.0571,-47.506,-42.9152,42.2857,0.0,32.4302,33.4785,0.0568,-47.4769,-43.8671,-46.0923,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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-7.6","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-4.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-16.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-4.9","detail":"Follow-through is 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}