{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SXP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"8416671c-8a80-4b71-a532-a5152891e49b","symbol":"SXP","name":"Supremex Inc.","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Packaging & Containers"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.5,"averageExpectedMove":6.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-2.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.1,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":52.4,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.4% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.7% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 7 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 13.3% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-03-07","price":3.304991}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-19","price":3.699057}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-01-09","price":3.797832}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.5114,3.5687,3.1811,3.2058,3.3133,3.3215,3.4124,3.4124,3.3215,3.3794,3.5281,3.4041,3.3133,3.3463,3.3298,3.3385,3.3552,3.1795,3.1376,3.146,3.0456,3.0791,3.0372,3.0205,2.987,3.0121,3.3887,3.3887,3.305,3.2966,3.3466,3.4568,3.1263,3.2365,3.1772,3.4906,3.228,3.3043,3.3043,3.3212,3.3043,3.3713,3.4742,3.4485,3.2684,3.3027,3.6029,3.5514,3.6029,3.56,3.6372,3.6715,3.7316,3.8517,3.8176,3.8645,3.6991,3.7672,3.7477,3.6212,3.6017,3.5433,3.5822,3.4362,3.5822,3.4849,3.6504,3.5414,3.4723,3.5315,3.5118,3.6104,3.7978,3.8472,3.8077,3.64,3.6992,3.6795,3.6499,3.6499,3.6005,3.5512,3.65,3.68,3.7185,3.7185,3.6199,3.5607,3.5903,3.6495,3.5903,3.5903,3.5903,3.62,3.55,3.75,3.65,3.72,3.68,3.59,3.65,3.7,3.68,3.71],"consensus":[52.1358,35.6884,-37.8758,0.0,9.3071,0.0,23.3628,12.1895,-12.5563,20.8796,39.1318,-18.0831,-17.9996,0.0,-9.543,0.0,13.6241,-39.0939,-29.3804,-18.1954,-52.3049,-14.1711,-33.8765,-21.124,-19.4564,-16.6988,59.6101,21.2302,8.0871,18.6367,10.604,33.2036,-46.2738,13.1692,-15.1305,50.2557,-21.9209,21.1508,8.2863,0.0,0.0,14.1638,37.502,15.0207,-30.0495,0.0,55.6684,18.3492,34.8756,8.3343,31.3713,21.7013,31.9772,52.0502,23.54,29.3154,-18.0951,17.1047,0.0,-31.0756,-11.3113,-30.1809,0.0,-48.6764,16.0411,-29.9757,34.2255,-25.3478,-32.6896,0.0,-19.1481,23.7764,59.8446,47.953,20.1338,-25.9081,10.0395,0.0,-13.0564,0.0,-20.1166,-21.6087,13.9088,17.2191,21.4081,12.134,-21.1706,-24.5012,-8.377,12.1196,-13.5233,0.0,0.0,0.0,-11.8252,42.2457,-9.4111,9.0271,0.0,-33.6278,18.2675,18.5403,0.0,21.0565],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[30.6933,54.7201,22.1603,21.1966,-21.4027,19.6775,0.0,-28.2292,-7.6036,-29.0548,0.0,-49.6685,18.7561,-29.7466,39.5867,-30.1347,-34.336,0.0,-17.9003,23.0375,55.4359,48.1829,13.8637,-35.1975,16.3442,0.0,-5.4781,0.0,-19.0479,-19.4893,19.5561,18.6814,19.2288,6.3891,-22.1826,-23.6942,-2.9103,18.2213,-15.1931,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.599,48.8499,-19.7729,0.4645,0.0,-30.8716,20.4167,25.2219,0.0,15.6436],"force":[27.3481,50.7405,0.5086,23.0372,-46.8093,25.5162,0.0,-46.3705,-7.2008,-28.532,0.0,-58.0691,47.1327,-38.2723,58.3189,-50.9711,-36.568,0.0,-15.572,41.7139,87.8088,47.6403,2.2908,-49.3969,16.6957,0.0,-22.6738,0.0,-23.6661,-16.6892,24.0639,28.2118,27.1969,8.2826,-36.1801,-26.3522,-0.892,27.6297,-13.6096,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.9505,42.3468,-20.1248,1.0388,0.0,-48.8804,38.2291,21.9167,0.0,25.8404],"direction":[36.751,49.9343,41.5676,43.0786,-6.1952,8.1563,0.0,-23.4038,-18.4848,-32.6457,0.0,-40.8336,9.27,-24.3114,10.8889,-1.5747,-28.0376,0.0,-23.1284,11.8082,44.9088,47.9137,43.3172,-1.486,1.9201,0.0,-14.8477,0.0,-18.8026,-27.5448,0.201,7.6958,19.7638,21.4506,-9.293,-24.1014,-19.9712,5.9323,-11.5534,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.5657,34.6257,-10.0837,25.5806,0.0,-25.8828,1.5531,8.4924,0.0,23.8255],"intensity"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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+21.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+15.6","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+25.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+23.8","detail":"Upward 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