{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CSHR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"873ad84b-8eca-4967-aca1-82b1fd6ecd4f","symbol":"CSHR","name":"CoinShares PLC Ordinary Shares","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Capital Markets"},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":20,"displayedObservations":20,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[8.72,6.63,5.01,5.46,5.37,6.12,6.01,5.76,5.29,4.89,4.32,4.38,4.0,3.8,3.96,4.19,4.17,4.22,4.78,4.79],"highs":[10.43,7.1862,7.8435,5.92,6.26,7.38,6.56,5.88,5.3,4.97,4.47,4.52,4.08,4.09,4.365,4.43,4.365,4.935,5.46,5.23],"lows":[6.4,4.72,4.8912,4.93,5.15,5.8258,5.9,5.15,4.71,4.15,3.915,3.95,3.505,3.62,3.81,4.06,4.04,3.9301,4.64,4.71],"closes":[6.5,5.15,5.69,5.48,6.2,5.94,5.93,5.27,4.96,4.29,4.24,3.97,3.77,3.96,4.19,4.2,4.16,4.9,4.86,5.22],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"8.72","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"6.50","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.19","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.43","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.06","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.37","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.04","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.22","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.93","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.93","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.78","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.46","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.64","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.86","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.79","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.23","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.71","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.22","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[3.6062,6.6638],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":20,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-04-03","price":6.5}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-04-10","price":5.15}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[6.5,5.15,5.69,5.48,6.2,5.94,5.93,5.27,4.96,4.29,4.24,3.97,3.77,3.96,4.19,4.2,4.16,4.9,4.86,5.22],"consensus":[-95.0372,-65.1285,-45.8863,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.1754,-19.8765,-18.414,-33.5765,-18.3939,-32.9456,-23.88,0.0,0.0,-8.0976,0.0,29.3246,0.0,28.7726],"supportDates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,0.0,-19.0197,-26.4829,-16.2886,-34.6712,-11.4789,-37.6619,-20.7174,0.0,0.0,-12.414,0.0,30.8749,0.0,33.9975],"force":[-95.0372,-65.1285,-45.8863,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.1735,-19.9024,-13.0426,-28.8597,-5.3702,-22.1273,-12.0763,0.0,0.0,-1.3014,0.0,45.6678,0.0,27.7163],"direction":[null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,-0.0691,-12.3078,-24.6797,-35.6947,-35.5993,-35.283,-35.9255,0.0,0.0,-8.0191,0.0,15.8791,0.0,23.5557],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,60.0,50.0,42.8571,12.5,33.3333,10.0,9.0909,16.6667,7.6923,21.4286,13.3333,6.25,70.5882,61.1111,31.5789],"confirmation":[53.0786,43.5078,37.3503,2.0622,25.7712,48.6333,48.4546,74.2606,73.7612,78.5841,50.9278,78.141,75.3301,26.028,2.6438,47.6517,24.7045,77.8583,24.6383,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,75.0,60.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,20.5821,43.5659,22.279,5.6606,39.1035,32.8244,40.5456,32.7164,37.06,25.3143,5.5648,32.5199,43.5961,34.8116,46.4323,35.1825],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":28.8,"control":34.0,"force":27.7,"direction":23.6,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":35.2,"intensity":31.6,"evidenceDepth":77},"analysis":{"status":"Completed tape has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Completed tape","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+28.8","detail":"Completed tape has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+34.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+27.7","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+23.6","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"21.2","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"30.2%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"-","detail":"Developing","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"25%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[6.5,5.15,5.69,5.48,6.2,5.94,5.93,5.27,4.96,4.29,4.24,3.97,3.77,3.96,4.19,4.2,4.16,4.9,4.86,5.22],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,6.0607,6.0387,6.019,5.8828,5.715,5.4559,5.2348,5.0049,4.7804,4.6312,4.551,4.4872,4.4277,4.5136,4.5765,4.6935],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.5336,5.4171,5.3262,5.2427,5.1625,5.1431,5.1221,5.1294],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.777,6.8186,6.8608,6.8898,6.857,6.796,6.7352,6.6782,6.6272,6.5785,6.5562],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.305,4.0269,3.7425,3.4779,3.3358,3.276,3.2323,3.1924,3.2395,3.2805,3.3318],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"returns","eyebrow":"Observed return path","title":"Completed returns and cumulative progression","description":"Period returns are shown beside the total move recorded across the available tape.","reason":"Selected because direct returns remain fully observable while longer indicators develop.","series":[{"label":"Period 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}