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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":69.4,"averageExpectedMove":69.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-55.0,"medianReturn":-55.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-69.4,"medianReturn":-69.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-87.0,"medianReturn":-87.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-29.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-46.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-51.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-55.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-59.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-61.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-55.5,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-44.5,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-65.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-68.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-66.4,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-69.4,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-60.7,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-70.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-73.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-81.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-77.9,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-79.5,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-81.8,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-81.2,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-85.7,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-84.7,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-88.4,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-89.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-89.1,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-87.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions while Market Dynamics is improving. A green marker is required before the recovery is treated as confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":79.2,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":24},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 79.2% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -14.7% across 24 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 26.5% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":1.98}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-12-27","price":22.9}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[8.415,7.867,7.606,7.97,7.997,9.5,11.0,9.5,9.1,8.9,8.6,8.49,7.9,8.3587,8.26,8.02,7.951,10.6,22.9,16.1,12.15,11.05,10.3,9.387,8.75,10.2,12.7,7.8,7.305,7.7,7.0,9.0,6.68,6.002,4.2,5.06,4.69,4.16,4.3,3.28,3.5,2.66,2.32,2.5,2.98,2.87,3.5,3.7,4.14,3.3,3.62,3.76,3.9,4.03,3.88,4.46,4.85,4.58,4.7,3.96,3.86,3.93,3.79,3.17,2.93,2.8,3.06,3.13,2.91,2.92,2.64,2.48,2.7,2.83,2.7,2.04,2.03,1.82,1.84,1.93,1.83,1.92,1.64,1.6,1.9,1.85,1.98,1.76,1.7,1.6,1.52,1.62,1.71,1.57,1.62,1.59,1.48,1.53,1.49,1.22,1.15,1.2,1.33,1.36],"consensus":[21.785,-14.2151,-10.7775,11.5499,-10.0005,50.0543,66.3067,-14.5791,0.0,0.0,-16.8897,-12.801,-34.7472,9.023,-12.1124,-19.7147,-14.7319,49.8282,75.2213,0.0,-21.6806,-16.9969,-25.2255,-37.3786,-27.51,13.8191,40.1427,-52.4238,-28.012,-9.7815,-38.2896,23.9176,-45.7035,-25.9949,-48.4811,-17.781,-30.5229,-31.9662,-21.6279,-43.1569,-23.8118,-43.607,-42.6136,-17.1293,0.0,-15.469,13.676,8.2901,16.6749,-23.4596,0.0,0.0,11.423,18.1958,0.0,38.2935,33.6441,0.0,12.9736,-28.0937,-22.4152,0.0,-18.594,-37.8465,-36.1767,-32.5515,0.0,0.0,-23.223,0.0,-35.5787,-30.2289,-9.1917,0.0,-11.9313,-55.8656,-28.735,-45.4717,-17.6653,-8.4426,-23.7659,0.0,-43.9167,-32.7914,16.2957,-13.2853,15.7646,-26.1282,-24.7937,-30.8541,-32.2412,0.0,0.0,-28.8372,0.0,-18.2895,-30.6236,0.0,-20.1387,-56.0653,-36.4443,-18.0115,0.0,-5.7424],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[18.6631,17.8744,0.0,40.8729,28.0346,0.0,2.2782,-33.0933,-25.4481,0.0,-18.6733,-42.8605,-42.0431,-34.0816,0.0,0.0,-31.2116,0.0,-41.9322,-29.6706,-10.2514,0.0,-16.0732,-56.9217,-27.3326,-49.7423,-5.4104,-5.4248,-25.7137,0.0,-54.3656,-38.1991,14.6447,-15.9499,9.1948,-27.4955,-28.2911,-30.375,-31.6017,0.0,0.0,-34.7453,0.0,-28.0937,-34.336,0.0,-25.3281,-63.0814,-37.9969,-16.7099,0.0,-2.3962],"force":[11.3929,16.992,0.0,46.0219,35.0693,0.0,4.6236,-48.3783,-26.1095,0.0,-19.3563,-39.242,-25.7611,-19.2271,0.0,0.0,-17.0392,0.0,-30.4325,-19.7121,-9.5305,0.0,-6.7268,-75.74,-11.0238,-33.5539,-3.3284,-13.9823,-9.04,0.0,-40.8826,-17.3404,51.9168,-8.8223,31.9051,-52.7733,-24.5152,-39.1472,-31.6622,0.0,0.0,-41.9254,0.0,-15.9542,-32.9238,0.0,-15.0591,-64.9065,-24.9683,-9.0535,0.0,-14.924],"direction":[3.17,19.4229,0.0,29.8254,39.0369,0.0,31.1612,-7.8909,-16.3103,0.0,-17.9589,-31.1194,-36.9119,-40.3203,0.0,0.0,-18.51,0.0,-31.9934,-38.3791,-21.3535,0.0,-10.9151,-40.4626,-42.9887,-49.1037,-46.6665,-27.9094,-32.0584,0.0,-34.1423,-37.6477,7.261,-13.4281,11.7442,-5.5333,-20.9956,-25.478,-33.3855,0.0,0.0,-12.7363,0.0,-8.7528,-24.7379,0.0,-17.8363,-41.7318,-42.867,-38.8312,0.0,-3.0084],"intensity":[25.0,3.8462,1.9231,38.4615,55.7692,17.3077,3.8462,53.8462,38.4615,38.4615,1.9231,51.9231,40.3846,11.5385,13.4615,5.7692,15.3846,21.1538,19.2308,28.8462,17.3077,1.9231,17.3077,63.4615,48.0769,19.2308,28.8462,7.6923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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-5.7","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-2.4","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-14.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.0","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"33/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"38.1","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"21.3%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"11.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"21%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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