{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"2081 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"87ef17c2-8f49-4192-b634-570e19336755","symbol":"2081","name":"Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Company","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Utilities","industry":"Utilities - Regulated Water"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":5.6,"averageExpectedMove":8.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":37.5,"averageReturn":-0.3,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":18.5,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":0.9,"medianReturn":-0.7,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":64.3,"averageReturn":9.3,"medianReturn":12.9,"confidenceLow":38.8,"confidenceHigh":83.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":8.6,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":29.4,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 29.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 9.2% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.8% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[175.7178,178.4512,169.8605,162.6366,158.5365,160.0984,153.2649,155.0221,162.4413,157.1698,156.7793,160.6841,139.7932,138.6218,140.5742,143.6981,145.26,142.3314,142.9171,146.6267,150.7268,156.7793,156.3888,151.3125,153.0697,153.0697,152.6792,159.3174,154.6316,153.8507,158.5365,161.0746,154.4364,147.7982,153.8507,156.1936,154.6316,154.4364,141.9409,139.598,136.176,139.1363,134.0051,136.9654,142.294,141.2086,140.5178,135.3866,131.2421,127.6897,125.6174,126.0121,127.4923,125.124,126.9002,122.5584,134.3011,136.6694,134.7945,141.1099,149.3989,151.1751,148.5108,145.057,141.1099,138.939,133.2156,136.176,134.2024,126.6042,131.4394,131.7355,119.9,118.6,125.2,123.8,121.0,125.7,121.5,115.5,113.4,115.0,114.3,116.9,119.0,115.1,120.6,129.2,126.0,125.8,118.2,120.4,120.4,120.8,121.3,118.3,115.4,113.7,111.1,107.8,106.5,100.0,99.05,99.0],"consensus":[-14.4297,22.7915,-31.623,-45.8935,-40.0283,-20.7673,-52.9683,-11.1988,20.2968,-31.1726,-16.8944,13.2498,-67.7976,-38.2354,-20.7432,-12.2597,0.0,-28.6301,-16.9267,13.128,23.2754,42.0872,20.1461,-12.9851,21.6939,0.0,0.0,47.2005,-9.3476,0.0,30.005,26.8829,-20.4481,-25.9321,8.8144,13.525,-8.2243,10.1226,-62.6269,-43.3603,-48.2264,-9.2688,-57.4407,0.0,22.68,-15.5726,0.0,-38.6318,-43.3144,-50.1349,-43.3839,-32.1619,-18.9342,-44.3732,0.0,-50.9341,51.9816,38.3715,0.0,56.9279,73.4011,53.5155,17.8217,8.2323,-24.5761,-17.4799,-48.6598,0.0,-30.5392,-64.0017,0.0,-13.4288,-71.3791,-52.8922,9.3853,-40.2048,-35.2619,23.3603,-40.6404,-53.2368,-36.4383,-12.4073,-24.5247,0.0,9.8458,-36.7806,40.0613,65.5284,13.737,28.2968,-46.6799,8.7934,-9.3752,0.0,10.9391,-20.8644,-41.9906,-30.3813,-48.2766,-54.3354,-43.349,-71.5073,-52.6334,-38.9479],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-18.9286,-50.6692,0.0,-59.6932,46.7488,35.8918,0.0,47.8671,70.2585,52.7278,6.8958,0.4533,-24.5264,-12.1353,-48.7092,0.0,-31.3728,-69.1534,0.0,-7.9318,-67.5018,-57.4456,15.4757,-38.7833,-43.3094,20.0411,-42.9658,-52.1332,-31.7815,-3.8177,-18.1858,0.0,2.8234,-43.8805,32.38,61.7528,9.0439,25.2234,-48.1864,18.1513,-4.9853,0.0,7.7032,-17.4808,-48.4989,-26.628,-53.012,-57.7932,-42.9913,-69.7727,-53.8796,-36.4528],"force":[-9.1239,-41.9491,0.0,-49.964,93.7301,38.8982,0.0,76.7714,93.0152,39.0538,21.8499,19.7653,-51.1819,-23.9424,-60.8259,0.0,-26.9577,-71.0541,0.0,-0.128,-95.2332,-40.3226,66.5911,-40.0431,-33.2376,57.6549,-47.5503,-59.8202,-24.3685,-23.0517,-7.0508,0.0,27.0372,-48.6347,81.6234,91.3763,13.2211,17.0511,-83.5264,32.9795,-7.3129,0.0,14.1076,-32.7848,-44.3535,-23.0352,-40.8444,-49.6218,-28.954,-87.3527,-36.9816,-13.1246],"direction":[-38.982,-38.9094,0.0,-41.6165,28.1415,40.8292,0.0,53.1092,62.9827,64.7455,58.6453,38.157,-5.6288,-18.9719,-39.9132,0.0,-32.1449,-53.0766,0.0,-29.2116,-58.7716,-56.6665,38.4363,-41.9449,-27.5107,2.6576,-33.0472,-49.7956,-50.3818,-47.5519,-44.2504,0.0,5.5918,-20.1993,19.1526,51.3808,38.3565,39.8418,-18.6392,19.1772,-15.8654,0.0,12.3741,-16.2169,-32.8647,-39.918,-48.1735,-53.7505,-54.0399,-62.1717,-62.389,-60.2445],"intensity":[7.6923,15.3846,21.1538,42.3077,88.4615,84.6154,17.3077,67.3077,78.8462,80.7692,21.1538,65.3846,34.6154,71.1538,57.6923,48.0769,13.4615,78.8462,46.1538,3.8462,92.3077,82.6923,65.3846,61.5385,26.9231,42.3077,36.5385,76.9231,59.6154,7.6923,21.1538,23.0769,48.0769,36.5385,59.6154,82.6923,25.0,9.6154,78.8462,67.3077,59.6154,40.3846,11.5385,94.2308,78.8462,50.0,17.3077,30.7692,17.3077,75.0,55.7692,7.6923],"confirmation":[29.817,82.0296,5.7188,84.1359,85.9862,80.3327,29.3182,86.9598,92.134,84.6962,9.3217,6.2267,54.0093,73.872,83.9411,29.9174,77.6507,88.617,7.2508,26.6423,91.6274,84.473,35.5203,80.8823,79.0995,53.9044,81.1801,85.2532,79.3634,7.9383,52.7453,5.6189,26.4483,80.0229,82.2033,89.8144,29.133,76.7591,84.0375,30.1662,25.6708,25.0616,48.9797,75.0915,81.4098,77.5553,83.1498,85.191,81.4384,91.3917,84.3467,87.7143],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[31.4969,11.0839,18.8156,15.27,19.5223,30.3877,46.8293,21.5036,13.1045,23.0602,40.8553,30.5027,34.5412,40.5682,25.4007,48.5148,28.6039,17.6038,19.4164,30.545,13.9296,21.2387,47.7817,26.3694,28.9293,32.6797,10.6964,19.6244,27.3083,42.3805,33.2078,12.2546,36.958,19.8026,26.3121,16.9754,39.6345,35.2893,1.3649,52.6658,39.5406,38.9493,27.3874,13.4703,21.1529,31.951,25.2898,22.5192,28.27,14.2428,23.6724,30.499],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-38.9,"control":-36.5,"force":-13.1,"direction":-60.2,"confirmation":87.7,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":30.5,"intensity":7.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-38.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-36.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-13.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-60.2","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"27.3","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.1%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"28.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"4%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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