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adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-11.1,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-14.6,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-16.2,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-17.1,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-17.0,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-16.8,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-19.0,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-18.0,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-20.3,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-21.5,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-25.5,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-24.7,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-22.8,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-25.1,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-24.2,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-22.4,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-26.1,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":33.5,"averageExpectedMove":33.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.7,"medianReturn":-15.7,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-24.3,"medianReturn":-24.3,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-39.8,"medianReturn":-39.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-16.9,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-15.7,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-20.7,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-22.2,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-19.8,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-24.3,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-29.6,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-28.6,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-28.5,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-29.5,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-31.6,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-31.2,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-28.2,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-30.2,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-32.7,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-29.4,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-42.9,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-40.5,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-38.4,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-39.8,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Downside evidence leads price","tone":"negative","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"The downside remains supported. Further price weakness would confirm that price is catching up with the weaker underlying position.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":66.7,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 66.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.1% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 27.6% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":0.718}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-12-05","price":2.16},{"date":"2026-02-20","price":2.11}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.5885,0.535,0.5506,0.7,0.74,0.745,0.718,0.7504,0.7241,0.7766,1.31,1.13,1.16,1.22,1.38,1.53,1.41,1.65,1.5,1.47,1.4,1.81,1.815,1.97,2.1,1.95,1.83,1.55,1.34,1.22,1.2,1.06,0.9961,1.01,0.97,0.98,1.07,1.1,1.55,1.45,1.58,1.59,1.4,1.47,1.66,1.63,1.86,1.89,1.87,1.86,1.72,1.71,1.7,1.64,1.74,1.61,1.6,1.54,1.46,1.42,1.41,1.36,1.33,1.3,1.68,1.71,1.92,2.16,1.96,1.84,1.87,1.84,1.85,1.92,1.83,1.51,1.59,1.99,2.11,1.91,1.69,1.68,1.76,1.57,1.47,1.59,1.81,1.83,1.71,1.8,1.33,1.32,1.37,1.3,1.44,1.45,1.35,1.26,1.16,1.17,1.22,1.11,1.22,1.26],"consensus":[-50.3195,-50.0076,-22.5806,29.7826,20.7186,20.0747,0.0,22.3854,-9.5717,18.7651,72.924,0.0,42.7053,47.8716,58.7134,70.9577,8.4772,46.66,0.0,14.8273,0.0,62.6396,30.948,50.7427,59.4856,0.0,0.0,-41.818,-50.0605,-39.6602,-30.4124,-54.1131,-41.8801,-19.676,-41.6466,-28.804,0.0,0.0,64.1387,0.0,43.3932,26.3574,-26.1124,15.9292,43.9238,18.0967,59.6026,45.7533,18.173,25.7077,-15.3461,0.0,0.0,-24.3048,26.7761,-35.6187,-10.6552,-27.7697,-40.9912,-34.9929,-34.8605,-36.0411,-32.8136,-34.1639,55.881,33.3041,70.1213,72.2293,0.0,0.0,17.5073,0.0,8.0313,24.3148,0.0,-60.5954,0.0,34.435,47.5414,-15.0518,-32.2279,-22.248,0.0,-46.0602,-39.4361,0.0,34.9794,14.8176,-10.068,26.3119,-65.2844,-26.936,-17.9721,-41.0585,13.7336,-9.189,-35.8636,-32.3845,-45.4099,-24.1114,-14.506,-46.3138,10.4786,-3.076],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-24.9446,35.3144,-31.1864,-6.1745,-29.1819,-40.1879,-33.4546,-35.6968,-31.7853,-30.4593,-34.2165,48.482,29.1022,70.0179,69.1657,0.0,0.0,22.1278,0.0,15.3909,23.0166,0.0,-60.1161,0.0,27.4279,49.5988,-20.8052,-41.2908,-19.8445,0.0,-45.4091,-40.6549,0.0,33.5615,9.2243,-21.0143,22.8376,-59.0718,-18.0789,-10.683,-38.7194,16.3388,-18.7728,-35.483,-36.9598,-46.2137,-18.0744,-12.397,-51.4771,11.3375,-2.4583],"force":[0.0,-31.741,34.4427,-68.0945,-6.2103,-26.8335,-38.2153,-24.8834,-20.5693,-27.5451,-19.1446,-17.984,91.8353,27.1994,89.4895,89.4148,0.0,0.0,13.2614,0.0,1.5299,24.2681,0.0,-80.1243,0.0,57.7396,51.4111,-63.0065,-52.8379,-16.5487,0.0,-59.0839,-36.6886,0.0,69.9583,10.7382,-21.2063,41.4738,-96.0615,-8.068,-6.6072,-34.0111,39.7637,-1.919,-55.5109,-28.8776,-40.5232,-3.7314,-7.2085,-45.4546,38.8637,-16.8941],"direction":[0.0,-18.2622,11.5419,-17.4872,-18.951,-26.8245,-43.8921,-43.972,-44.1126,-46.9734,-45.2677,-45.6609,38.6555,42.4668,56.4051,63.4552,0.0,0.0,15.2596,0.0,4.2642,25.8318,0.0,-47.194,0.0,25.7971,42.4259,-25.7769,-7.149,-29.0657,0.0,-37.5017,-40.0057,0.0,11.615,24.1238,-10.398,19.4526,-50.4007,-50.5355,-43.859,-48.7656,7.8368,-3.429,-22.2647,-29.6606,-47.9818,-45.568,-32.4268,-41.0266,10.778,-0.4692],"intensity":[67.3077,17.3077,26.9231,63.4615,86.5385,15.3846,21.1538,7.6923,3.8462,26.9231,7.6923,5.7692,94.2308,80.7692,69.2308,86.5385,88.4615,100.0,11.5385,28.8462,13.4615,51.9231,48.0769,94.2308,61.5385,100.0,98.0769,92.3077,96.1538,30.7692,55.7692,63.4615,73.0769,40.3846,71.1538,50.0,36.5385,25.0,92.3077,92.3077,23.0769,17.3077,44.2308,44.2308,34.6154,71.1538,34.6154,7.6923,25.0,40.3846,42.3077,84.6154],"confirmation":[1.8892,75.9944,76.6719,80.4553,26.0092,76.8363,81.0448,78.9131,78.7071,79.3391,78.1196,78.4385,87.0904,78.5353,91.0307,91.6838,36.7156,8.516,73.4025,25.4219,24.9264,75.7991,25.8773,87.993,6.3396,79.8362,83.2998,34.3561,56.1363,74.9823,4.1681,83.1461,80.5173,5.0875,80.281,72.7025,28.2793,76.9348,89.9236,76.1795,51.8559,80.9596,52.1535,25.2396,80.0809,78.1865,82.37,52.5199,50.8834,82.7156,29.1711,32.781],"persistence":[50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[44.9184,36.0888,4.5769,19.2499,31.9363,26.0801,29.2621,32.3052,32.4147,31.7644,32.4665,32.0577,20.9104,33.0343,14.9263,13.8847,50.7934,36.0503,24.4874,45.9014,35.2334,12.2391,9.3047,17.2531,40.7869,1.0661,21.6528,56.1864,41.2813,36.1026,46.9454,24.7329,22.179,22.2306,4.9411,36.208,49.0202,28.5364,16.855,36.2353,39.1011,29.2359,21.4426,36.8821,11.8679,4.2146,24.3567,35.9651,28.5037,15.7043,14.2246,38.9127],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-3.1,"control":-2.5,"force":-16.9,"direction":-0.5,"confirmation":32.8,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":38.9,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-3.1","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-2.5","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-16.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-0.5","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"33/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"19.0%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"12%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}