{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"1150 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"893ea58a-1e0f-4fc0-8630-6dd804023a44","symbol":"1150","name":"Alinma Bank","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":3.8,"averageExpectedMove":5.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":-1.1,"medianReturn":-1.9,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":40.0,"averageReturn":-0.7,"medianReturn":-1.8,"confidenceLow":19.8,"confidenceHigh":64.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":46.2,"averageReturn":5.3,"medianReturn":-1.0,"confidenceLow":23.2,"confidenceHigh":70.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.2% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 60.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.0% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-09-26","price":22.785416},{"date":"2026-01-23","price":22.510122}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[25.2162,24.3574,24.0451,23.2645,23.0303,22.796,21.7812,22.3667,22.2496,22.0154,21.9373,22.1715,21.6192,21.8164,21.9348,22.6449,22.8816,22.0926,22.3688,23.4339,23.2761,23.5523,23.7495,23.5523,24.2624,24.3808,24.2624,23.9073,23.7495,23.0394,23.789,24.223,24.1441,22.132,23.1972,23.6706,22.8736,22.4752,22.4353,21.9922,20.8241,21.2269,20.5825,20.3005,21.6297,21.8633,21.4606,20.8483,20.8,20.8,21.0578,20.7481,20.8459,20.5362,20.2428,20.2102,20.251,22.7854,21.8727,21.6771,21.6282,21.5793,21.1067,20.9435,20.6137,20.4075,19.9705,20.053,20.4158,19.954,20.1272,20.2921,20.7621,21.6196,22.5101,23.4831,23.5326,24.1262,23.1203,23.0708,23.3182,23.4336,23.1533,23.6975,23.9613,24.4066,25.0992,23.9448,24.0636,23.53,23.56,24.0,24.0,24.04,24.79,25.2,24.99,24.2,24.2453,23.9484,23.5526,23.1172,23.91,24.24],"consensus":[36.5959,-42.6412,-23.367,-48.4175,-36.6762,-40.3217,-66.4837,0.0,-38.1818,-39.8505,-32.3835,-10.3089,-49.1216,-13.6747,-11.3359,33.7626,22.1659,-28.4204,8.9875,53.4255,0.0,32.5412,32.3676,0.0,58.7008,36.3097,21.0029,0.0,0.0,-40.0989,26.514,32.1274,16.4742,-61.2662,10.5823,16.853,-45.1576,-30.6628,-34.0211,-50.2279,-76.8261,-10.375,-62.1538,-38.2294,34.9334,18.866,-20.2348,-36.4159,-29.2868,-26.8453,0.0,-30.3077,-9.9363,-39.881,-41.762,-20.7044,-18.4601,71.5332,0.0,0.0,26.0063,0.0,-37.4533,-23.1745,-44.5571,-39.8485,-52.4148,-23.3152,0.0,-50.9799,0.0,9.5729,35.2431,61.0419,75.0952,81.2629,51.9227,73.6822,0.0,14.9985,35.7993,21.8063,0.0,46.6087,46.0201,54.6932,65.9201,-15.8216,8.0999,-29.8514,-15.4392,30.8957,8.2501,20.0195,61.4791,51.6656,17.345,-25.1045,0.0,-26.7361,-43.4272,-49.0714,20.9675,21.9259],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-14.7004,-46.8615,-42.8493,-15.1011,-14.0489,63.2861,0.0,0.0,21.5744,0.0,-35.1344,-20.8488,-50.8986,-41.0152,-51.584,-17.6927,0.0,-57.854,0.0,11.142,32.0053,52.5746,80.5952,82.6022,52.6853,76.8048,0.0,19.646,38.9932,32.2605,0.0,46.7133,51.7697,58.1084,68.3543,-22.9126,3.1161,-29.2172,-10.2409,38.4216,12.3734,20.4301,60.1618,52.4162,8.5738,-33.558,0.0,-19.2988,-34.3445,-45.2822,28.1367,24.4626],"force":[-5.1877,-42.9478,-37.1003,-3.2318,-0.734,99.6959,0.0,0.0,18.0465,0.0,-66.7202,-24.6021,-43.9892,-32.6612,-55.7114,-1.1537,0.0,-53.729,0.0,28.3081,61.2867,84.6411,81.1621,94.0008,25.0908,70.4033,0.0,9.1173,38.0995,6.3538,0.0,49.1318,34.8756,49.1835,66.827,-61.6636,3.9337,-49.3148,-16.5124,41.8005,0.872,14.3881,82.1885,48.278,10.8279,-51.6257,0.0,-30.2409,-54.9057,-49.3055,60.4005,29.7168],"direction":[-15.2945,-29.7127,-43.849,-39.5886,-37.2115,60.8423,0.0,0.0,36.7569,0.0,-19.1987,-24.8126,-37.7153,-43.649,-51.0096,-47.2189,0.0,-41.1602,0.0,5.6028,20.341,53.8621,64.4761,70.6339,70.2168,72.4555,0.0,26.9125,30.5062,20.896,0.0,44.6869,47.4096,54.7257,62.4903,-25.0266,22.391,-16.6737,-20.6137,14.5056,10.0536,23.5725,48.1923,53.2274,47.4927,-3.5003,0.0,-32.7326,-45.6084,-53.2348,15.3922,13.462],"intensity":[7.6923,23.0769,50.0,30.7692,7.6923,100.0,94.2308,17.3077,53.8462,1.9231,42.3077,40.3846,30.7692,42.3077,53.8462,21.1538,42.3077,50.0,9.6154,9.6154,67.3077,90.3846,82.6923,86.5385,28.8462,65.3846,84.6154,61.5385,80.7692,88.4615,19.2308,50.0,67.3077,46.1538,71.1538,92.3077,13.4615,51.9231,13.4615,44.2308,50.0,13.4615,78.8462,82.6923,15.3846,80.7692,75.0,26.9231,48.0769,71.1538,78.8462,78.8462],"confirmation":[49.0861,80.749,81.2052,51.5116,50.8794,91.8746,10.403,30.2745,76.147,25.127,80.9123,75.4948,82.1443,80.5147,84.8859,52.3803,30.4005,84.2926,27.2501,50.139,80.1208,88.3816,92.1316,94.3719,83.7859,91.4308,36.5727,28.6054,79.4772,51.6811,4.7643,82.9901,82.2992,85.2819,89.085,34.3576,25.807,78.1553,73.0525,78.1043,47.8186,74.2283,88.3245,84.4183,29.8021,54.793,27.392,76.7757,82.3849,83.7677,33.7525,44.64],"persistence":[62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[8.8816,4.144,25.6264,30.7346,33.872,13.9898,44.49,45.4222,34.3379,47.0252,19.0215,25.2832,20.8782,25.3868,18.6001,29.1043,15.7338,0.2685,25.5433,31.8377,23.4004,19.4603,12.4496,9.3684,24.0378,13.1571,41.6306,39.8222,36.9568,53.9454,0.6339,18.3373,19.1335,20.3085,16.9919,27.4178,5.192,30.7063,41.9401,9.6984,10.751,29.5671,18.469,23.3332,39.489,26.7567,41.5489,35.9847,28.2043,24.9205,42.0273,17.144],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":21.9,"control":24.5,"force":29.7,"direction":13.5,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":17.1,"intensity":78.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+21.9","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+24.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+29.7","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+13.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"55.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.2%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"15.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"68%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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