{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XOM Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"8aa1a2b0-7fb9-42fd-ac5b-0b45f1eacfb5","symbol":"XOM","name":"Exxon Mobil Corporation","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":34,"displayedObservations":34,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-0.353532,-0.464816,-0.40078,-0.315278,-0.219092,-0.097228],"opens":[24.92,25.34,26.440001,27.540001,27.280001,27.75],"highs":[25.030001,27.0,28.59,28.65,27.860001,29.0],"lows":[24.790001,25.34,26.42,27.450001,26.92,27.75],"closes":[25.030001,26.610001,28.190001,28.0,27.459999,28.76],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"24.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"25.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"24.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"25.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"25.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"27.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"25.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"26.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"26.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"28.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"26.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"28.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"27.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"28.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"27.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"28.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"27.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"27.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"26.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"27.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"29.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"28.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[24.806201,28.9838],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":26,"relationship":{"sameWeekCorrelation":0.19,"forwardCorrelation":-0.32,"directionalAgreement":0.0,"sample":2,"correlationSample":25,"label":"Variable 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Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"The current relationship is visible, but this ticker does not yet have a completed comparable outcome.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[21.5603,22.0536,22.4187,23.3364,24.3527,25.3197,26.8097,26.8082,26.6195,27.5134,27.1658,28.0994,28.7252,30.811,28.9338,27.4439,26.3811,26.7982,27.4935,25.9838,28.55,28.04,26.28,27.2,26.54,25.3,24.62,25.53,25.03,26.61,28.19,28.0,27.46,28.76],"consensus":[91.111,100.0,66.9067,32.6249,81.0194,76.9928,81.1505,36.6541,32.487,76.9832,8.3701,72.6693,69.5214,89.7269,0.0,-32.2778,-44.1421,0.0,17.0024,-55.173,58.4851,0.0,-49.8548,11.334,-26.3539,-32.4239,-46.4921,-12.1146,-21.1012,34.6033,54.2328,24.7665,13.5871,54.0028],"supportDates":["2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,86.1576,91.4584,17.9898,17.4131,77.1419,1.5492,72.7911,58.2101,89.1848,0.0,-28.5088,-32.8266,0.0,26.9363,-47.4765,58.6625,0.0,-48.4673,7.8861,-21.5653,-23.1182,-49.2605,-0.329,-7.4739,37.5161,55.998,20.8169,8.1975,58.2429],"force":[91.111,100.0,66.9067,32.6249,54.795,51.23,55.9457,0.2733,10.1982,69.3981,52.984,68.0224,73.9191,98.2949,0.0,-85.3843,-77.2753,0.0,36.2191,-88.7141,84.0563,0.0,-73.4073,18.494,-23.0509,-18.6568,-28.6517,-10.9044,-5.8896,54.8448,63.9607,7.2798,3.594,55.5909],"direction":[null,null,null,null,99.751,84.9206,87.3735,84.3613,80.2037,82.2198,59.9898,75.8493,79.3074,84.2265,0.0,-1.3482,-33.4075,0.0,8.0767,-40.0111,40.0171,0.0,-34.6173,10.1603,-34.1858,-52.8928,-56.0714,-42.0259,-47.5405,16.8164,45.267,41.7707,32.0187,48.0227],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,12.5,44.4444,70.0,45.4545,75.0,100.0,85.7143,86.6667,93.75,23.5294,27.7778,73.6842,100.0,71.4286,72.7273,30.4348,16.6667,68.0,15.3846,70.3704,57.1429,86.2069,70.0,38.7097,21.875,57.5758],"confirmation":[51.8222,54.6667,44.0768,33.1066,70.0607,91.7129,93.0429,56.2799,34.1669,92.401,12.2158,91.1107,90.5532,96.982,39.9196,57.6257,83.3077,5.0949,30.2647,86.7949,87.4918,29.7558,84.6925,49.231,76.4055,78.0979,82.2916,5.681,29.1631,79.6456,85.6241,52.7859,50.0064,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,9.4903,11.5036,9.4248,31.6729,33.7374,11.4913,23.6275,12.7476,15.2049,5.133,48.8721,10.7948,26.3141,48.4691,51.5867,15.5362,17.1325,37.7053,10.1072,29.0552,31.433,31.7515,20.2824,37.8242,32.354,22.0443,22.4765,35.4984,41.3589,21.2698],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":54.0,"control":58.2,"force":55.6,"direction":48.0,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":21.3,"intensity":57.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+54.0","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+58.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+55.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+48.0","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"61.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"38.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"59%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[21.5603,22.0536,22.4187,23.3364,24.3527,25.3197,26.8097,26.8082,26.6195,27.5134,27.1658,28.0994,28.7252,30.811,28.9338,27.4439,26.3811,26.7982,27.4935,25.9838,28.55,28.04,26.28,27.2,26.54,25.3,24.62,25.53,25.03,26.61,28.19,28.0,27.46,28.76],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,22.4858,23.0011,23.6936,24.2599,24.6889,25.2024,25.5594,26.0212,26.5128,27.2943,27.5924,27.5654,27.3501,27.2497,27.2941,27.0558,27.3275,27.457,27.243,27.2352,27.1088,26.7799,26.3872,26.2314,26.0129,26.1215,26.4976,26.7707,26.8961,27.235],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,24.4158,24.8895,25.1891,25.3561,25.432,25.5332,25.6784,25.7011,25.9121,26.0697,26.0853,26.1679,26.1954,26.1291,26.0173,25.9812,25.9108,25.9626,26.1275,26.2662,26.3547,26.5328],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,28.9181,29.1923,29.6396,30.1369,31.1274,31.3841,31.347,31.2077,31.1108,31.0845,30.9502,30.8809,30.6826,30.2982,29.998,29.7886,29.791,29.9567,29.9921,30.061,30.0181,30.1091,30.098,29.9483,29.42],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,20.4404,20.6183,20.7033,20.7527,20.5288,20.6862,20.8994,21.0691,21.2393,21.4044,21.5125,22.2808,23.0778,23.8483,24.5348,24.963,24.9587,24.5739,24.4108,24.1829,24.1354,24.1468,24.148,24.1712,24.4944],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,108.4444,91.9624,93.4109,259.4432,95.4198,404.5819,174.9137,307.8229,155.7372,104.6906,84.3948,116.8816,217.2763,68.873,101.7858,93.1471,5.9232,24.7435,13.1011,9.9642,6.3142,5.2815,47.2699,54.4027,53.7549,56.6834,41.9531],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,129.3056,124.5247,129.3456,113.4159,119.2503,135.0,135.0,118.7288,110.179,104.4147,109.0192,115.4566,102.7027,106.8654,100.4418,94.467,94.8397,93.283,92.4926,91.9024,92.2682,91.9679,94.6603,97.6149,94.6982,92.0335,93.8793],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical 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materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,49.5391,46.4304,43.3895,41.7377,40.9396,40.2243,39.1176,38.6211],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,42.2434,40.1231,34.8257,30.9838,29.7281,32.1768,28.9725,28.3893,30.7149,28.1246,26.5767,25.4516,23.3471,22.4952,28.0982,27.0479,34.1094,38.1431,36.2276,34.306,37.2977],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3.7857,4.479,5.0518,5.485,5.2258,5.0756,5.5384,5.3226,5.4806,5.9301,5.6301,5.5948,5.9411,5.8838,5.7416,5.6492,5.463,5.3383,5.2967,5.2961,5.078],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}