{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"KXS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"8c842414-286d-4df6-9c18-e5cc10b343f8","symbol":"KXS","name":"Kinaxis Inc.","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Technology","industry":"Software - Application"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":7.7,"averageExpectedMove":10.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":61.1,"averageReturn":1.2,"medianReturn":0.5,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":79.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":52.9,"averageReturn":1.9,"medianReturn":1.2,"confidenceLow":31.0,"confidenceHigh":73.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-1.7,"medianReturn":1.0,"confidenceLow":28.0,"confidenceHigh":72.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":16.0,"averageExpectedMove":16.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.7,"medianReturn":-6.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.5,"medianReturn":-13.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-28.5,"medianReturn":-28.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-9.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-12.1,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-16.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-12.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-18.5,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-14.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-16.2,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-17.7,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-15.1,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-15.9,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-17.5,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-21.5,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-28.5,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":52.9,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.9% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.9% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.5% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":139.369995}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-08-08","price":199.649994}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-07-25","price":208.470001}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[151.2,147.32,144.65,155.71,162.8,156.97,160.46,158.07,155.45,157.05,166.0,169.28,165.15,170.59,183.47,185.48,181.9,177.35,175.85,173.65,170.64,175.65,176.33,167.33,165.4,163.13,155.11,157.69,162.05,159.52,159.84,155.24,158.26,163.75,172.65,180.85,186.91,192.44,197.98,195.68,195.43,198.11,200.63,198.2,200.65,201.07,195.99,201.24,208.47,203.51,199.65,197.97,194.59,189.57,190.8,187.0,183.29,175.17,183.5,182.12,180.42,178.27,169.84,177.95,172.71,176.3,174.61,176.3,171.57,176.95,175.27,171.94,177.44,163.6,149.09,137.5,127.42,123.77,124.2,129.51,135.23,135.02,137.72,136.07,143.27,134.02,147.02,139.37,144.74,158.73,138.89,146.19,156.89,166.78,163.53,146.46,154.74,156.28,154.81,154.54,147.6,168.0,173.43,173.22],"consensus":[-29.4379,-23.8344,-34.9421,37.0609,46.9194,0.0,36.4419,0.0,-22.9757,8.5391,52.9877,41.2049,0.0,50.0266,73.202,44.2823,12.5404,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.8231,27.592,10.7847,-40.9526,-23.3161,-41.8908,-66.3183,-14.1106,13.3011,-21.7002,0.0,-43.4016,0.0,26.8523,52.8169,60.4314,59.599,54.4672,57.6248,26.2809,28.3722,42.418,45.4875,11.1542,35.4122,31.5462,-14.8163,41.0333,59.3572,0.0,0.0,-9.1838,-31.6019,-44.8341,-10.3311,-39.5226,-50.0822,-69.9248,0.0,-35.7103,-26.2295,-27.0234,-65.9777,12.4722,-51.6269,0.0,-21.3408,0.0,-41.8233,19.8417,-13.7023,-33.9607,32.0138,-63.9452,-77.0639,-81.8939,-72.6816,-59.5243,-37.24,0.0,9.1157,-15.5947,8.7936,-19.4541,31.3083,-46.7027,44.7114,-22.4454,24.6453,61.2097,-43.6176,28.2097,50.463,35.6077,16.9647,-24.5935,27.4371,0.0,0.0,8.0899,-28.6899,59.5746,44.6703,31.6739],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-26.8619,-41.9259,-1.0266,-34.0802,-48.4604,-72.4467,0.0,-37.1056,-23.0023,-33.8676,-64.3022,18.333,-50.1221,0.0,-31.7622,0.0,-48.6991,24.8712,-18.8307,-35.8438,28.7985,-58.7603,-77.7984,-84.8736,-66.5358,-50.8859,-27.7174,0.0,1.8384,-25.7341,3.0646,-29.1694,29.4448,-49.2145,41.8451,-31.2313,25.8004,55.9715,-43.993,26.1427,48.8869,32.1107,0.4947,-38.3322,38.245,0.0,0.0,0.5815,-27.635,53.5708,41.7942,26.4043],"force":[-42.1109,-49.9102,-9.3122,-37.0665,-47.2025,-74.0028,0.0,-26.134,-13.9977,-15.8486,-73.8012,67.1557,-58.9791,0.0,-14.8185,0.0,-47.6079,47.5841,-9.9171,-34.1299,62.6798,-89.2456,-93.7733,-93.5742,-81.8833,-52.7288,-2.3601,0.0,65.836,-0.2999,36.4912,-16.6951,56.856,-76.9546,68.6403,-42.3108,36.9724,77.543,-77.8531,42.075,60.3912,19.4599,10.3339,-32.2571,30.9636,0.0,0.0,0.7222,-41.9921,85.6494,34.4457,9.9152],"direction":[-29.5125,-44.5319,-37.3422,-47.4969,-53.9925,-64.1298,0.0,-40.9558,-38.6547,-27.1834,-62.3044,33.2854,-48.095,0.0,-14.0894,0.0,-29.8335,5.7223,-10.5451,-31.6876,13.784,-51.7992,-64.2891,-70.1455,-73.1327,-74.2508,-73.037,0.0,23.0819,-15.3601,4.4428,-10.3216,15.1896,-22.2235,30.8952,-1.785,14.5201,55.5296,-18.7348,20.668,45.1728,51.1384,55.2866,-3.418,12.5663,0.0,0.0,23.2627,-20.394,47.8111,55.2606,53.2382],"intensity":[23.0769,59.6154,19.2308,32.6923,32.6923,78.8462,80.7692,53.8462,50.0,5.7692,82.6923,76.9231,57.6923,30.7692,42.3077,21.1538,51.9231,67.3077,5.7692,40.3846,69.2308,100.0,100.0,98.0769,98.0769,86.5385,9.6154,59.6154,98.0769,67.3077,63.4615,36.5385,67.3077,82.6923,90.3846,71.1538,53.8462,94.2308,100.0,76.9231,84.6154,100.0,17.3077,96.1538,67.3077,59.6154,44.2308,28.8462,80.7692,98.0769,86.5385,1.9231],"confirmation":[78.5051,82.5459,5.086,80.6553,83.9632,90.4618,35.1131,79.1142,76.0698,76.2026,89.3768,35.3359,84.7676,30.5909,74.4715,3.8836,81.455,53.6723,72.1912,78.8439,79.228,89.3125,93.1585,94.5166,91.6322,86.9723,56.3322,13.3282,9.6807,49.7487,27.3598,73.9932,78.8256,83.8285,83.0806,53.3682,76.2446,88.1647,82.9953,77.4811,84.4748,78.9556,7.0523,53.2274,76.7227,25.3742,24.6033,25.2871,77.6023,87.95,82.0267,85.5528],"persistence":[0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[34.1354,27.4898,43.7442,29.8765,24.63,14.9307,47.8857,20.1791,14.8718,47.4193,16.8947,40.7315,19.7836,20.2046,47.3503,14.3761,10.0312,3.9059,13.5065,21.0936,26.4832,16.9547,11.4187,9.0465,13.6592,20.2372,31.3346,38.6356,35.1265,53.5053,43.4932,46.2767,23.718,16.6493,18.9169,32.6015,1.455,19.3265,14.2578,17.7025,17.8514,16.5965,40.9205,13.5338,23.3112,34.9029,37.466,29.2676,16.2982,9.0959,24.5988,32.6401],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":31.7,"control":26.4,"force":9.9,"direction":53.2,"confirmation":85.6,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":32.6,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+31.7","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+26.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+9.9","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+53.2","detail":"Upward 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