{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AMDW Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"8de840fe-50e9-4dc9-aa65-83b06480176f","symbol":"AMDW","name":"ROUNDHILL AMD WEEKLYPAY ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":57,"displayedObservations":57,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-15.7,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-18.9,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-17.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-10.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-19.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":180.4,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 180.4% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 9.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 0.4% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":50.848463}],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":100.296402},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":100.503232}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":88.552583},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":95.664426}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[29.4341,30.5586,30.7527,31.747,29.5896,28.5076,25.9862,27.5521,27.3604,27.678,28.7543,39.1941,42.9707,47.4051,48.1211,42.8962,45.8286,35.902,38.8742,39.0934,37.5223,37.8714,38.2865,39.9414,35.7303,41.5736,47.6056,42.6591,36.3925,35.9944,34.5495,34.639,32.8667,33.0061,34.6342,34.7612,37.9375,43.7291,50.8485,64.7798,67.4384,89.1268,81.7649,91.5955,100.2964,88.5526,97.0992,100.5032,95.6644,93.1162,100.7809,86.0786,91.1028,81.8426,83.2911,89.6854,81.02],"consensus":[84.762,-42.9158,46.6687,0.0,-15.2886,-38.0286,-61.8008,0.0,-24.1066,-9.3983,22.635,61.6029,75.7354,85.9741,47.2301,0.0,49.552,-53.0644,18.2985,0.0,-28.4287,9.6788,0.0,26.1384,-47.8711,51.7741,65.6515,-16.2409,-40.3171,-28.7668,-34.3501,-26.5354,-37.5628,-26.2424,0.0,-13.2498,35.0598,60.7922,74.1658,84.4568,66.2675,90.0652,8.953,77.9752,77.1032,-8.1174,67.5894,46.7613,0.0,13.2096,50.4575,-34.7302,13.1418,-37.3734,-8.6626,30.5126,-37.5937],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[-38.5545,-65.1632,0.0,-14.3884,-5.2025,14.0756,43.8468,70.4857,85.8577,33.1106,0.0,44.8702,-45.9477,31.1439,0.0,-24.8601,9.0511,0.0,30.8861,-45.725,47.0084,63.6389,-23.1013,-38.8274,-27.292,-29.0962,-20.7099,-38.8498,-25.1166,0.0,-15.4438,37.304,62.2345,79.6582,86.6325,69.0049,92.7678,9.6947,78.4111,76.8457,-13.4575,66.8736,44.8154,0.0,7.451,53.5979,-27.3794,15.4138,-26.4847,-0.5816,36.5865,-33.9058],"force":[-31.2308,-46.4955,0.0,-11.5668,-7.7396,33.4736,63.3178,74.2119,87.9435,19.5133,0.0,48.2327,-95.6299,40.1694,0.0,-39.1302,17.7535,0.0,35.4561,-78.8587,87.6431,85.0819,-65.1622,-74.5243,-19.7834,-25.5463,-12.4955,-27.7909,-9.9987,0.0,-8.5726,47.6917,72.8582,82.1443,98.0008,51.6555,99.7211,55.2519,78.8835,75.2483,-78.0438,68.3824,27.4896,0.0,16.1298,54.8217,-78.7514,18.0994,-72.3659,-0.3575,46.6077,-56.8157],"direction":[-42.2832,-68.8905,0.0,-44.1701,-26.4349,24.6754,80.6707,82.8233,84.7005,83.1643,0.0,55.8449,-30.7939,12.004,0.0,-24.8631,4.6285,0.0,14.0568,-28.1897,31.6,54.0728,-26.5435,-17.5858,-36.8691,-46.6431,-43.2215,-43.072,-39.1318,0.0,-14.0833,23.4722,50.5254,62.1898,72.2961,73.5761,80.0796,76.1253,76.8282,78.7225,-47.9331,67.841,62.7509,0.0,40.7475,43.7511,-11.6873,7.0043,-24.823,-25.1596,12.0745,-28.0785],"intensity":[20.0,83.3333,14.2857,12.5,22.2222,30.0,100.0,91.6667,92.3077,92.8571,93.3333,62.5,94.1176,88.8889,63.1579,25.0,47.619,59.0909,26.087,75.0,84.0,88.4615,74.0741,92.8571,89.6552,46.6667,35.4839,43.75,9.0909,20.5882,54.2857,58.3333,86.4865,89.4737,100.0,90.0,100.0,97.619,88.3721,95.4545,88.8889,80.4348,89.3617,56.25,48.9796,78.0,94.1176,78.8462,94.2308,65.3846,59.6154,75.0],"confirmation":[79.954,87.2586,11.6847,75.48,26.8669,75.704,88.0358,92.2689,95.5735,82.4841,37.8896,83.8878,86.3863,31.5538,1.8676,77.4777,48.6862,1.2805,76.5759,84.2958,85.7335,89.6313,34.9127,81.9667,76.9541,78.8038,76.1522,79.7027,75.9197,5.0279,72.064,79.5699,87.7993,91.8925,95.4058,88.7186,97.074,37.7143,92.9731,92.6204,37.5397,89.6637,82.406,9.1326,6.8617,84.2315,80.5673,49.6552,81.1918,25.4505,78.162,80.672],"persistence":[16.6667,28.5714,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-37.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-33.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-56.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-28.1","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"81/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.7","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"16.0%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"65%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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impulse","title":"Acceleration, deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.","series":[{"label":"Impulse","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.4477,2.5557,3.4518,3.6977,4.0821,3.5449,3.3207,3.1248,2.8103,2.5597,2.3673,2.3216,1.9234,2.0557,2.6171,2.6325,2.1146,1.6531,1.1574,0.7629,0.3038,-0.0482,-0.1936,-0.2952,-0.118,0.4841,1.5183,3.4226,5.0876,8.0643,9.7173,11.6858,13.789,14.3429,15.2951,16.1385,16.2293,15.9122,16.0938,14.8799,14.1601,12.696,11.5198,10.9771,9.7356],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":2.0},{"label":"Signal","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2.7046,2.8726,2.9623,2.9948,2.9579,2.8782,2.776,2.6852,2.5328,2.4374,2.4733,2.5052,2.4271,2.2723,2.0493,1.792,1.4944,1.1858,0.91,0.6689,0.5115,0.5061,0.7085,1.2513,2.0186,3.2277,4.5256,5.9577,7.524,8.8877,10.1692,11.3631,12.3363,13.0515,13.66,13.904,13.9552,13.7033,13.2666,12.8087,12.1941],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7},{"label":"Expansion","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.3775,0.6723,0.3585,0.13,-0.1476,-0.3185,-0.4087,-0.3635,-0.6094,-0.3817,0.1437,0.1273,-0.3124,-0.6192,-0.8919,-1.0291,-1.1906,-1.2341,-1.1036,-0.9641,-0.6296,-0.0219,0.8098,2.1713,3.0691,4.8366,5.1916,5.7281,6.2651,5.4551,5.1259,4.7754,3.893,2.8607,2.4339,0.976,0.2049,-1.0073,-1.7468,-1.8316,-2.4585],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.0,"fill":"rgba(7,134,92,.12)"}],"guides":[{"label":"Neutral","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.6522,7.5685,9.2039,8.9838,12.9596,12.0145,11.6062,11.8113,11.5768,10.9206,10.3548,12.0651,10.9651,10.2023,11.4872,15.1078,14.8426,14.8529,14.6756,15.011,14.7486,13.5868,13.5535,12.4577,11.1399,10.0358,9.1939,9.4534,8.7636,9.7783,9.6637,8.9352,10.8915,10.5837,10.2771,10.9677,11.9184,11.305,14.2471,13.5436,15.9653,15.8492,14.5181,15.9553],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,34.0234,33.0527,31.5356,30.1268,29.1449,27.6572,26.5553,25.2057,23.9526,22.4964,20.914,20.8717,21.8395,24.1362,26.4262,29.5566,32.556,34.0331,35.771,37.5807,38.0387,38.8007,39.2387,39.0688,38.8594,37.296,35.8443,33.9232,32.1394,30.483,29.0148],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-6.7954,-10.2038,-18.1457,-13.2134,-13.8173,-12.8168,-9.4265,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.8578,-4.764,-25.3924,-19.2158,-18.7604,-22.0253,-21.2998,-20.4372,-16.9981,-25.7492,-13.6062,-1.0711,-11.3506,-24.3731,-25.2003,-28.2029,-28.0169,-31.7,-31.4102,-28.027,-27.763,-21.1624,-9.127,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.26,0.0,0.0,-11.7091,-3.1878,0.0,-4.8146,-7.3501,0.0,-14.5884,-9.6031,-18.7916,-17.3543,-11.0095,-19.6078],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.0258,5.2879,6.5103,10.6521,50.8265,65.3594,82.4239,85.1791,65.0727,76.3572,38.1577,49.5955,50.4388,44.3928,45.7362,47.3337,53.7021,37.497,59.9832,83.1956,64.1602,40.0452,38.5133,32.9532,33.2976,20.1253,20.6348,25.1323,20.8904,15.4283,33.0497,54.7111,97.0986,105.1874,171.1766,148.7774,178.6877,205.1611,169.4294,195.4333,205.7904,191.0678,183.3146,206.6353,161.9021,177.1888,149.0136,153.4209,172.8762,146.5108],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity 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AMDW Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-21, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/8de840fe-50e9-4dc9-aa65-83b06480176f/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}