{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GAVA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"8fb4eabf-08cc-483f-a95b-50805057bcfe","symbol":"GAVA","name":"Grayscale Avalanche Trust ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":24,"displayedObservations":24,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[23.09,24.625,22.56,21.51,22.5,22.1,22.39,22.3,22.06,24.395,22.02,22.63,21.29,16.28,16.6558,15.281,15.87,16.35,16.16,15.89,15.9,15.67,15.94,15.405],"highs":[24.675,24.89,23.43,22.27,22.9549,24.179,23.01,22.3,24.965,24.73,22.93,22.63,21.6686,16.75,16.72,15.72,16.51,16.9108,16.345,16.5,16.0899,16.38,15.94,18.6301],"lows":[23.09,22.61,21.0519,20.7701,20.6,22.1,22.176,21.7859,21.95,22.66,21.83,21.08,16.075,15.6209,15.175,14.5,15.85,15.445,15.7,14.981,15.35,15.505,15.105,15.385],"closes":[23.5147,22.9338,21.0519,20.9556,22.9549,23.6572,22.695,22.0546,23.8915,23.01,22.2881,21.26,16.2273,15.8892,15.3366,15.5419,16.3555,16.3802,15.9741,15.145,15.5297,15.6002,15.5931,18.3553],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"23.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"24.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"23.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"23.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-03-13","price":23.5147},{"date":"2026-05-08","price":23.8915}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-03-20","price":22.9338},{"date":"2026-05-15","price":23.01}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[23.5147,22.9338,21.0519,20.9556,22.9549,23.6572,22.695,22.0546,23.8915,23.01,22.2881,21.26,16.2273,15.8892,15.3366,15.5419,16.3555,16.3802,15.9741,15.145,15.5297,15.6002,15.5931,18.3553],"consensus":[-46.4101,-71.5965,-100.0,-43.6537,8.1043,29.567,0.0,-13.5462,47.548,-26.1171,-20.5297,-53.4161,-83.1179,-56.3297,-64.575,-30.8225,-9.9071,-18.0929,-29.3132,-49.2101,-30.2038,-31.9294,-21.6489,56.639],"supportDates":["2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,31.4066,0.0,-21.961,38.6772,-23.2973,-18.4613,-49.0011,-75.5378,-52.8048,-65.1747,-14.3327,-6.5208,-21.6917,-38.5119,-59.5481,-34.9461,-38.2364,-22.6722,50.4761],"force":[-46.4101,-71.5965,-100.0,-43.6537,30.0132,28.179,0.0,-14.4074,78.36,-56.4889,-23.9972,-76.3052,-98.8896,-29.3742,-43.2582,-6.7349,-25.6271,-7.3547,-12.5634,-39.0147,-2.7533,-9.7938,-3.8956,87.36],"direction":[null,null,null,null,7.545,28.4558,0.0,-3.3141,35.6776,-7.6455,-20.4168,-42.1125,-80.5155,-79.612,-79.1159,-76.4947,-39.1587,-32.1569,-30.7647,-44.6777,-44.3914,-40.5325,-33.1603,41.7387],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,60.0,50.0,28.5714,100.0,33.3333,70.0,36.3636,100.0,92.3077,7.1429,33.3333,56.25,5.8824,16.6667,31.5789,10.0,4.7619,18.1818,91.3043],"confirmation":[37.5179,45.5775,54.6667,36.6359,28.676,77.3911,2.6802,49.5661,84.2896,54.6594,74.7067,85.858,95.1939,85.2577,88.0052,55.74,7.6061,51.8617,76.7296,83.279,54.0897,77.4467,51.7043,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,60.0,33.3333,28.5714,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,23.0794,10.5768,42.4505,43.714,7.4626,10.9017,6.1547,2.8961,8.4261,21.815,17.6878,34.4947,8.7778,24.503,34.7464,11.635,9.7156,9.7257,2.6274,19.7265],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":56.6,"control":50.5,"force":87.4,"direction":41.7,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":19.7,"intensity":91.3,"evidenceDepth":92},"analysis":{"status":"Completed tape has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Completed tape","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+56.6","detail":"Completed tape has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+50.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+87.4","detail":"Upward 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GAVA Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-21, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/8fb4eabf-08cc-483f-a95b-50805057bcfe/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}