{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DGED Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"8fd7e578-1070-4e35-9b92-720e9842888b","symbol":"DGED","name":"Diageo plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":12,"completedEpisodes":11,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":2.3,"averageExpectedMove":3.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":12,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-4.0,"medianReturn":-4.4,"confidenceLow":13.8,"confidenceHigh":60.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":11,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":27.3,"averageReturn":-3.1,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":9.7,"confidenceHigh":56.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":10,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":10.0,"averageReturn":-10.8,"medianReturn":-10.7,"confidenceLow":1.8,"confidenceHigh":40.4,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":12},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":12},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":12},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":12},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":12},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":12},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":12},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":11},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":11},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":11},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":11},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":11},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":11},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":11},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":11},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":11},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":11},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":11},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":11},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":11},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":11},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":10},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":10},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-10.8,"sample":10}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":27.3,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":11},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 27.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -3.1% across 11 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 3.0% across 11 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":81.360001}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[119.941,125.3842,124.2275,120.824,125.2067,126.664,134.2479,130.6637,128.23,132.2419,127.3034,118.1526,114.4306,112.4103,114.017,113.4751,117.0403,124.95,120.4485,120.4041,115.8043,113.285,112.4341,118.5586,114.2547,105.7222,102.9699,105.4893,104.7546,108.1542,103.7512,103.3267,101.6403,101.0692,104.8993,105.7965,106.3368,109.1346,111.8601,110.6493,104.8221,105.1019,100.6832,101.9953,97.4223,96.8821,100.3263,99.3712,99.9204,102.6996,94.4798,105.7,106.7613,111.807,107.9865,106.2087,98.1073,94.5377,90.7158,93.1388,92.2801,96.5765,95.5661,90.8257,89.7845,93.3782,90.5072,90.6557,87.9826,87.8819,88.5667,84.4186,86.26,86.9233,87.4698,90.0815,91.3589,95.2889,98.7227,99.1055,88.2598,76.6965,73.3502,73.7561,72.8255,76.6455,82.0343,79.16,80.79,84.48,81.838,86.146,83.64,80.18,81.36,80.72,83.25,81.96,82.05,83.48,83.32,88.45,96.62,95.51],"consensus":[18.9364,47.7686,0.0,-21.4509,46.9214,25.7301,71.8893,10.2121,0.0,60.1055,-38.9487,-58.4974,-56.3698,-56.1414,-19.3934,-36.1965,19.569,58.9452,-12.9452,15.4798,-42.4157,-53.7634,-29.2931,33.1553,-38.4622,-68.6561,-48.9444,-9.874,-37.9626,15.466,-43.4872,-28.9027,-45.1859,-37.7701,24.6948,0.0,0.0,38.755,38.2805,17.2275,-40.3644,-20.524,-58.4596,-27.0414,-62.0506,-36.8537,12.6902,-35.679,0.0,37.9324,-60.4562,58.0924,27.3393,67.3223,11.8713,0.0,-58.5164,-65.4812,-67.2098,-18.2418,-38.5557,28.1481,-16.1627,-54.7421,-34.9013,0.0,-32.2514,0.0,-42.0801,-20.4489,-14.7705,-57.6725,0.0,0.0,-16.901,26.9529,30.9559,48.21,52.2591,42.0506,-48.3566,-67.4432,-60.0115,-29.733,-50.6742,0.0,37.5797,-31.8571,18.0233,35.8061,-13.3932,43.84,-8.2586,-18.668,0.0,-15.4904,17.415,0.0,13.8804,20.0922,0.0,56.7292,71.8959,33.5787],"supportDates":["2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[21.5016,63.7185,1.963,0.0,-63.8227,-65.1009,-65.493,-11.0255,-35.0041,25.3032,-31.602,-53.8025,-32.302,0.0,-30.955,0.0,-49.5243,-12.5454,-17.0125,-64.9458,0.0,0.0,-21.4409,24.9836,23.5013,48.8682,53.9746,40.1495,-44.9186,-67.5738,-66.9748,-20.3066,-50.0381,0.0,30.1641,-40.9207,9.5068,35.2946,-18.8659,46.7831,-20.0737,-16.0489,0.0,-11.6369,24.5697,0.0,18.8146,16.5348,0.0,56.735,71.8722,28.1552],"force":[13.581,86.7927,14.1053,0.0,-72.7061,-84.5368,-82.1555,-19.2732,-27.8265,81.0481,-10.9726,-75.9874,-30.4567,0.0,-24.8951,0.0,-39.4116,-2.4947,-8.437,-57.1535,0.0,0.0,-8.5101,37.9351,45.9498,45.6556,40.5432,23.561,-87.3908,-82.1124,-46.7799,-0.1286,-35.5242,0.0,86.6894,-56.1542,43.2072,43.9761,-21.6169,46.6458,-25.5046,-16.2135,0.0,-12.1299,18.2462,0.0,17.6497,21.695,0.0,63.4744,79.6961,1.1623],"direction":[43.8382,57.5335,46.2367,0.0,-42.3165,-52.3047,-58.4964,-53.2854,-50.2782,6.3864,-2.2251,-40.6406,-41.0467,0.0,-38.9874,0.0,-35.4786,-42.3058,-28.7851,-49.7309,0.0,0.0,-17.706,21.3591,28.7656,49.2824,58.6669,57.4302,-24.4041,-56.8158,-61.5047,-61.652,-62.2225,0.0,10.9761,-4.1435,9.7678,30.5549,-1.2646,38.4724,-17.5631,-23.4144,0.0,-22.2949,8.6445,0.0,5.5488,23.0128,0.0,51.9046,66.3514,64.592],"intensity":[100.0,73.0769,36.5385,7.6923,90.3846,71.1538,59.6154,15.3846,1.9231,46.1538,63.4615,78.8462,30.7692,82.6923,73.0769,7.6923,23.0769,46.1538,34.6154,48.0769,9.6154,7.6923,42.3077,25.0,3.8462,63.4615,75.0,5.7692,96.1538,100.0,51.9231,30.7692,5.7692,46.1538,76.9231,34.6154,9.6154,44.2308,26.9231,61.5385,23.0769,86.5385,15.3846,11.5385,38.4615,9.6154,11.5385,65.3846,3.8462,76.9231,92.3077,84.6154],"confirmation":[76.4182,90.1914,6.6459,5.016,87.0768,89.5405,89.9888,31.5823,80.0649,57.3587,50.112,86.1793,79.0726,5.7716,78.116,3.8707,81.2709,51.4502,28.4517,86.3286,6.8223,4.8431,73.0834,76.9896,78.4764,83.3393,84.3397,80.9217,84.7161,90.0269,86.6943,54.0893,83.7637,9.568,81.6352,56.13,74.6647,79.7147,49.7864,82.0695,29.4018,73.9389,25.8125,72.9132,73.4891,24.9444,49.8147,74.5325,24.5913,86.3588,91.2448,63.3503],"persistence":[12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[31.0816,14.4075,43.7135,6.4197,17.3955,17.1467,16.2684,40.2727,21.3898,4.3203,44.6309,5.3364,12.6182,31.9296,29.1883,1.306,3.563,38.0092,23.957,20.2387,26.7643,14.5375,13.7989,35.5457,33.6732,25.8145,23.864,28.9536,9.8002,16.2354,19.9915,35.1307,24.5128,1.7383,27.9452,54.97,36.7289,27.3384,4.769,21.8484,29.2716,28.2098,8.2637,39.8895,15.252,27.3503,4.9666,30.1924,0.0364,20.8976,14.0392,33.1629],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":33.6,"control":28.2,"force":1.2,"direction":64.6,"confirmation":63.4,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":33.2,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+33.6","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+28.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+1.2","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+64.6","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"63/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"62.9","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.3%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"80%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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