{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TRI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"92b165da-958d-4622-9f45-cbedbe0f96c9","symbol":"TRI","name":"Trigano S.A.","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Recreational Vehicles"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.6,"averageExpectedMove":8.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":0.7,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":35.7,"confidenceHigh":80.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":-4.4,"medianReturn":2.1,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":11.0,"averageExpectedMove":11.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-1.2,"medianReturn":-1.2,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.9,"medianReturn":-6.9,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-9.0,"medianReturn":-9.0,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-11.3,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-12.8,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-11.9,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is constructive, but a positive price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":46.7,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 46.7% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.6% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.4% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":109.994736},{"date":"2025-05-30","price":125.631714}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-01-30","price":165.685974}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-11-28","price":169.429184},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":173.369385}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[101.4827,100.5369,94.5784,94.5312,97.605,113.305,109.9947,110.2348,116.7644,115.324,120.0292,119.261,116.0922,112.9234,114.3638,117.8206,119.357,115.5161,116.7644,118.1087,116.0922,114.5558,124.8303,127.0389,128.3832,130.7838,126.8468,128.4792,125.5985,120.7013,118.3968,99.9603,96.5035,91.8943,94.8711,99.7683,102.745,110.5229,124.8303,122.0457,125.6317,131.8598,131.4705,133.5141,145.9702,143.0508,149.3762,149.0842,150.8359,144.4132,149.7654,152.6848,156.9667,146.7487,140.4234,142.6616,140.8126,143.6347,148.7923,142.3402,143.8178,150.8117,142.3402,145.6894,142.8327,142.1432,169.4292,170.1187,169.2322,169.7247,170.3157,170.9068,171.7933,173.3694,171.5963,165.686,167.4591,168.1486,166.671,165.489,156.4265,147.955,141.4537,138.8925,141.5,152.4,159.7,155.6,156.3,157.6,158.3,153.6,162.1,153.3,147.8,134.9,140.8,143.4,145.9,149.6,147.4,150.7,152.9,158.8],"consensus":[0.0,-21.4709,-62.5613,-29.9646,0.0,63.482,8.5976,28.9546,59.2701,17.3924,51.4697,21.6368,0.0,-12.3851,0.0,32.8141,21.6494,0.0,18.7087,19.0347,-12.2348,-9.0928,60.9407,45.3177,48.5296,47.3293,0.0,24.5475,0.0,-34.0315,-33.462,-72.3544,-56.8502,-63.052,-31.3858,0.0,8.3385,45.819,68.0938,15.6884,43.532,63.6516,31.7066,46.7214,77.9074,18.2622,66.4456,49.5179,42.9897,0.0,47.2241,46.4021,56.5929,-16.5773,-36.0108,0.0,-25.2035,9.0598,40.7449,-30.4391,10.6011,46.6385,-40.9783,20.7437,-21.5458,-11.5019,72.1998,40.2401,30.559,44.0962,31.5727,28.73,38.9239,37.1093,21.9362,-27.7201,13.7418,0.0,0.0,0.0,-56.5082,-60.8872,-71.0785,-52.6733,-28.0597,26.9866,40.6894,0.0,16.7781,15.7886,0.0,-26.7772,44.8224,-35.0605,-37.2876,-52.1922,-18.482,-12.7037,0.0,27.5657,-8.0681,17.113,24.4113,54.4757],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[64.5151,-24.4655,-34.5155,0.0,-19.29,13.0136,41.7462,-35.1178,11.0603,51.2242,-41.9268,21.4461,-25.1917,-0.0393,66.6067,36.0437,24.3822,43.8395,38.061,33.1015,46.0993,38.18,27.5385,-28.3902,22.389,0.0,0.0,0.0,-47.9524,-54.0713,-71.1169,-49.4713,-19.2572,32.0515,40.8347,0.0,12.7819,12.808,0.0,-29.8406,46.1188,-44.5878,-37.6249,-50.3101,-8.9875,-0.7642,0.0,23.9852,-15.4584,10.1495,21.2359,58.7825],"force":[44.3147,-59.1034,-52.5989,0.0,-27.2004,25.4221,52.057,-52.5933,18.8073,57.1085,-61.9305,35.8376,-28.1596,-5.824,99.1772,17.5809,1.0484,22.7203,7.9721,6.3085,22.355,26.7528,0.0785,-57.7715,18.982,0.0,0.0,0.0,-79.7028,-69.2935,-75.3447,-35.3195,-7.3027,64.414,55.8085,0.0,19.0573,21.1422,0.0,-41.5675,63.6771,-42.2033,-31.3859,-44.5463,-13.8797,-8.913,0.0,46.1072,-15.2784,24.0764,24.7725,59.9475],"direction":[56.309,-22.8136,-25.871,0.0,-30.5356,7.1462,31.5204,-9.2676,4.2147,33.9191,-24.9286,9.1595,-12.6548,-28.6578,59.3222,61.2213,60.195,59.6582,41.015,39.7493,42.5584,43.2831,31.1461,-5.4891,0.1162,0.0,0.0,0.0,-49.7187,-62.6722,-67.9874,-68.7283,-63.3786,5.5356,29.7239,0.0,19.7173,15.3711,0.0,-12.7117,29.8732,-19.0701,-41.1175,-59.8045,-52.4482,-41.7894,0.0,18.4138,-5.528,20.0976,27.7824,45.6453],"intensity":[34.6154,84.6154,82.6923,17.3077,9.6154,78.8462,78.8462,71.1538,13.4615,73.0769,80.7692,19.2308,13.4615,36.5385,100.0,98.0769,13.4615,25.0,9.6154,3.8462,25.0,34.6154,34.6154,61.5385,51.9231,15.3846,44.2308,1.9231,86.5385,78.8462,67.3077,42.3077,13.4615,90.3846,92.3077,44.2308,13.4615,63.4615,84.6154,53.8462,78.8462,80.7692,67.3077,96.1538,63.4615,13.4615,17.3077,40.3846,9.6154,55.7692,9.6154,57.6923],"confirmation":[85.6148,34.0141,80.0518,27.0119,76.2161,50.1954,81.3679,78.3444,48.9688,83.1735,81.7372,75.0873,75.0407,26.3489,92.0113,80.2502,54.4667,81.4632,54.6185,53.777,79.8414,79.543,51.6014,55.1094,49.7586,24.0706,48.0461,25.1313,86.9199,87.8439,90.8746,84.3754,54.9268,56.2134,81.4792,27.4424,73.4994,73.2609,24.528,76.9728,82.898,79.2919,79.747,84.4972,30.7003,5.4898,4.1276,77.4407,49.2016,73.7945,75.871,85.5334],"persistence":[87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[15.4758,27.8167,28.0304,46.9944,36.9818,32.7375,26.2336,12.011,21.4612,20.1788,20.4484,16.9223,1.7873,40.7543,13.7102,29.5949,34.5367,27.8197,10.4865,9.6264,3.9058,2.8668,2.9344,15.7202,32.4769,31.8415,26.0195,1.4125,21.68,19.5551,14.4606,23.6633,35.9282,21.3236,29.5019,51.1461,41.1339,28.8842,15.5177,3.6738,14.3581,12.7007,28.624,23.5526,40.5689,38.4884,14.0952,35.5768,44.8308,33.8167,29.3339,18.0711],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":54.5,"control":58.8,"force":59.9,"direction":45.6,"confirmation":85.5,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":18.1,"intensity":57.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+54.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+58.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+59.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+45.6","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"86/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"56.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.5","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"70%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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