{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ANORA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"92c98541-0b46-4808-82a2-7416a27fc519","symbol":"ANORA","name":"Anora Group Oyj","exchange":"HEL","country":"FI","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":4.3,"averageExpectedMove":8.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-0.3,"medianReturn":0.6,"confidenceLow":28.0,"confidenceHigh":72.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-1.6,"medianReturn":-2.7,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":40.0,"averageReturn":-7.2,"medianReturn":-8.7,"confidenceLow":19.8,"confidenceHigh":64.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":43.8,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 43.8% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.4% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.1% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-02-14","price":2.789557}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.8781,3.7899,3.7018,3.6181,3.5784,3.834,3.7591,3.6489,3.0672,3.0496,3.0584,2.7367,2.7323,2.5604,2.5824,2.5824,2.5296,2.4018,2.4855,2.6089,2.5207,2.4546,2.4458,2.4502,2.3929,2.7896,2.8733,3.1421,3.0187,2.9835,3.1157,3.1201,2.9791,3.0848,3.0416,3.0698,3.178,2.9194,2.957,3.0322,3.0369,3.0651,3.0698,3.0181,3.0792,3.0463,3.0369,3.0369,3.0463,2.8959,2.9429,2.8254,2.9241,3.0792,3.0134,2.9899,2.9523,2.8724,2.8489,2.8207,2.7737,2.8442,2.957,3.2344,3.4083,3.3613,3.46,3.4036,3.3613,3.46,3.4882,3.681,3.6669,3.6763,3.8126,4.0477,4.1182,3.9207,3.9207,3.8972,3.8032,3.7139,3.6199,3.6387,3.775,3.8549,3.65,3.565,3.485,3.28,3.245,3.39,3.36,3.33,3.42,3.435,3.43,3.555,3.615,3.67,3.64,3.64,3.69,3.975],"consensus":[-29.6655,-46.2722,-55.2991,-57.6973,-47.0462,35.8508,-27.252,-40.2836,-84.1338,-57.2848,-34.2751,-85.651,-41.2547,-81.8004,-36.0892,-33.6521,-61.7391,-70.4086,-10.9035,0.0,-48.1577,-35.4985,-30.1151,-31.031,-44.1885,63.1452,51.3327,76.3069,10.5647,17.5464,64.1638,26.9182,-12.8784,47.4325,0.0,22.1845,52.1811,-39.8522,0.0,18.3924,0.0,23.3783,14.9516,-13.0832,24.5476,0.0,0.0,12.0755,12.1746,-53.3787,0.0,-53.78,11.6535,49.0412,-9.119,0.0,-15.4546,-44.1693,-35.3466,-40.991,-40.0807,9.4947,43.7525,72.7396,75.0601,29.7533,66.9418,18.3581,10.8668,65.5327,40.8489,79.7301,38.0973,36.7573,68.5692,81.099,56.927,0.0,29.3622,0.0,-14.1951,-25.9075,-46.3896,-13.9384,27.8734,35.7993,-43.2091,-38.0399,-48.0746,-67.6029,-42.2811,0.0,-34.0206,-21.3881,16.9105,0.0,0.0,34.0675,36.0308,35.4295,17.2192,13.7391,37.5998,71.4897],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[18.1366,43.5799,-17.1219,0.0,-21.8468,-43.4902,-34.7618,-42.3559,-31.5793,6.9606,37.7081,69.7122,74.0006,26.4353,68.3805,6.6337,15.1119,70.262,47.8309,81.0663,33.7078,28.8536,64.9321,85.0791,46.7669,0.0,28.6041,0.0,-6.8389,-19.9485,-46.6287,-2.9356,39.2191,34.3647,-44.4766,-38.386,-46.7624,-59.0459,-35.0106,0.0,-32.4396,-26.8269,21.9892,0.0,0.0,37.0022,38.2036,29.5218,11.5646,7.9411,41.3941,64.8156],"force":[55.1643,76.9297,-28.9735,0.0,-21.2444,-50.4897,-26.8502,-32.2929,-39.6196,57.618,80.917,96.3076,88.4974,14.626,62.543,23.2043,27.0172,71.0836,20.7146,93.3871,5.1021,11.5078,77.2308,88.1031,53.2942,0.0,6.4916,0.0,-37.4036,-39.8589,-52.7739,-1.5858,45.9061,46.9249,-78.931,-37.5558,-39.9467,-84.4788,-20.2031,0.0,-18.7861,-0.7927,38.7112,0.0,0.0,34.4426,28.0274,29.8858,6.7991,2.7211,32.0912,94.3291],"direction":[26.8348,35.3624,-14.2088,0.0,-4.0138,-40.4309,-42.0838,-45.6441,-50.1259,21.983,24.1142,59.365,66.6729,65.2448,68.4394,61.4448,33.0752,56.1629,47.2511,68.4482,66.6818,63.8256,66.539,71.5473,71.1335,0.0,46.5646,0.0,-6.0247,-22.7527,-41.556,-37.6016,2.0264,29.492,-16.2449,-37.9902,-55.3798,-65.3282,-66.3603,0.0,-46.7091,-29.8835,4.4657,0.0,0.0,30.4457,39.2644,46.1411,40.8374,32.1226,37.1982,62.8035],"intensity":[48.0769,80.7692,32.6923,28.8462,11.5385,44.2308,34.6154,7.6923,63.4615,53.8462,61.5385,92.3077,92.3077,25.0,59.6154,25.0,36.5385,61.5385,23.0769,88.4615,61.5385,17.3077,78.8462,96.1538,86.5385,86.5385,96.1538,5.7692,59.6154,50.0,51.9231,48.0769,78.8462,75.0,88.4615,86.5385,44.2308,98.0769,90.3846,75.0,73.0769,19.2308,40.3846,11.5385,7.6923,65.3846,30.7692,75.0,53.8462,1.9231,15.3846,100.0],"confirmation":[33.3478,84.6263,29.0991,3.277,50.3579,82.3371,79.0609,80.8312,80.9413,9.2332,83.2255,92.0411,92.4449,34.006,89.2654,9.7368,30.6885,89.0676,80.3516,93.9095,56.5858,79.1133,90.2615,94.1045,86.2608,36.5915,54.0438,27.8944,28.0285,76.8064,83.0356,27.1598,54.6295,79.8167,82.8963,80.1527,83.1562,90.2776,80.9679,34.3169,78.4464,51.467,52.2844,2.9092,24.408,78.8683,79.2528,79.2585,51.6481,27.2304,79.8062,99.6745],"persistence":[12.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[53.4706,24.5329,39.774,47.9988,24.6394,27.3522,30.7303,28.079,28.8154,21.0315,21.8167,13.5828,12.4692,35.1162,16.5225,37.1205,26.4839,4.1244,6.5173,9.6669,30.6932,30.3764,15.5586,9.331,21.53,48.9787,23.0955,47.941,42.533,34.3346,26.2052,41.8108,26.2883,24.4503,33.2092,7.8718,25.6822,16.1973,28.8411,46.4284,24.1282,32.6372,37.5586,18.774,28.095,31.5073,29.5597,31.6812,40.4945,31.0102,23.9315,14.1693],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":71.5,"control":64.8,"force":94.3,"direction":62.8,"confirmation":99.7,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":14.2,"intensity":100.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+71.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+64.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+94.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+62.8","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"100/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"68.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"93%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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