{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"OUT Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9315d5ca-abc9-4a8a-ae2f-a7189a112951","symbol":"OUT","name":"Outfront Media Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Reit - Specialty"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Rollover warning","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","take":"The prior extension has started to roll over. Further price weakness would confirm the downside transition; a recovery in both readings would remove the 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":20},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":20},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":19},{"week":14,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":19},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.5,"sample":19},{"week":19,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":19},{"week":20,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":19},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":10.5,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":7.1,"averageExpectedMove":7.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.4,"medianReturn":-5.4,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.1,"medianReturn":-5.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":1},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":42.9,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 42.9% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.7% across 14 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 12.6% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":31.87}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":33.577143},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":33.24}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[15.1527,15.5075,14.8344,15.8814,16.9099,16.9933,16.7709,17.0582,17.7346,16.984,16.4652,16.3725,16.8636,18.0224,18.0977,17.8528,17.7303,17.1274,16.6658,16.6186,16.1476,17.3876,17.1945,16.9186,17.2404,17.7186,16.5876,17.1025,16.7807,15.313,15.1914,15.2195,13.0413,13.5928,13.5087,14.079,14.696,14.0229,15.4158,14.6773,15.4438,15.5093,14.8524,15.0237,15.4807,16.3281,16.766,17.0326,17.204,16.3947,15.9472,17.8323,18.2608,17.7847,17.6324,18.3002,18.0485,17.884,17.5647,16.5485,17.1776,17.4098,17.1195,19.5098,21.3679,22.1518,22.7712,22.8486,22.9564,23.4269,23.6523,23.2407,23.8778,24.7012,24.1032,23.8386,26.3577,24.5443,25.6422,28.2397,28.3573,26.4556,26.0396,25.4057,26.8518,28.8526,29.7242,29.7341,31.408,33.5771,31.2099,33.28,31.933,31.2,31.34,31.18,33.24,32.86,33.04,33.21,32.03,31.87,31.21,30.24],"consensus":[51.6389,47.334,0.0,61.8402,68.9565,34.6449,28.949,52.634,60.8395,0.0,-19.2345,-9.2663,20.8676,64.0641,30.3357,18.2864,16.5125,-23.8694,-33.1804,-13.9327,-41.0337,38.6333,0.0,0.0,26.293,33.0448,-45.0528,15.5466,-18.6276,-59.8795,-38.2448,-37.18,-76.1757,-15.3595,-37.7293,-8.9185,19.6717,-28.9804,44.3852,-19.6439,31.759,22.3048,-30.335,0.0,25.4173,50.0354,50.9566,37.3188,46.1483,-14.371,-26.2001,64.6449,42.6812,14.0364,22.3871,49.4714,0.0,0.0,0.0,-50.2791,9.0121,0.0,-14.2062,69.2722,79.106,70.2777,66.5671,51.8101,37.1986,48.1086,42.5658,13.5976,53.5701,65.8196,11.2991,11.2166,76.9135,-19.8747,60.8017,77.0749,47.293,-9.7375,0.0,-27.2506,35.5895,65.0219,56.3136,36.9303,71.344,73.3187,-8.0475,71.0272,0.0,0.0,15.8697,0.0,62.3244,21.9848,24.8851,26.0846,-22.6315,-12.9009,-29.2904,-40.9551],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[38.7117,5.6028,15.1951,53.1839,0.0,0.0,0.0,-49.8874,18.3801,0.0,-10.6483,62.913,81.4235,74.5104,71.7024,52.9462,29.2831,42.6337,42.7053,6.2481,57.0931,72.5658,5.0191,3.2805,79.2862,-22.9823,65.4348,76.9239,49.3043,-22.7949,0.0,-21.9231,52.8467,67.6163,60.0,34.4524,79.611,72.5187,-15.7287,74.8138,0.0,0.0,18.131,0.0,64.1468,20.7495,21.1148,22.8468,-18.3586,-9.7571,-19.464,-34.3637],"force":[33.4095,21.547,2.0279,53.2532,0.0,0.0,0.0,-68.3445,28.3596,0.0,-21.514,98.4667,95.4428,66.7127,53.4989,25.3251,9.626,35.436,17.8718,24.1446,43.5811,61.6616,26.5346,17.7423,91.4576,-78.5807,65.4809,94.8768,23.5557,-65.9913,0.0,-49.417,46.5928,77.333,48.2616,12.5033,70.5382,84.5021,-74.2723,79.5775,0.0,0.0,6.7783,0.0,87.1436,1.1156,11.2488,11.956,-50.2035,-20.9076,-47.5818,-46.5593],"direction":[53.8405,49.0915,45.1488,42.5272,0.0,0.0,0.0,-37.8228,15.5137,0.0,-13.0525,55.6867,64.7883,67.9868,70.0327,69.4295,65.9395,63.4175,60.045,48.9557,56.679,61.0797,45.5003,40.9713,63.8131,-25.6097,52.1644,64.5317,61.9497,-45.3665,0.0,-17.5062,8.0075,53.263,57.8522,57.2101,62.4717,66.245,-48.0344,60.5922,0.0,0.0,19.7793,0.0,42.5136,39.8968,38.9341,39.8767,-7.8206,-10.7748,-27.4552,-44.4852],"intensity":[98.0769,42.3077,9.6154,50.0,53.8462,44.2308,36.5385,75.0,44.2308,44.2308,57.6923,98.0769,98.0769,88.4615,71.1538,23.0769,30.7692,67.3077,51.9231,9.6154,40.3846,65.3846,36.5385,15.3846,100.0,88.4615,76.9231,100.0,90.3846,86.5385,73.0769,32.6923,80.7692,92.3077,88.4615,28.8462,78.8462,100.0,90.3846,84.6154,67.3077,75.0,1.9231,13.4615,82.6923,61.5385,40.3846,5.7692,67.3077,17.3077,55.7692,86.5385],"confirmation":[81.4359,8.1324,51.9863,83.8895,6.3778,4.2892,4.1463,84.6458,29.307,1.6203,72.8229,91.1538,93.7765,90.3157,88.825,83.7548,79.1838,83.092,80.8664,8.4638,84.7843,88.8328,8.2191,6.6127,93.0194,36.2318,87.5285,93.2088,82.3797,36.9763,5.7276,77.4769,79.461,89.1427,85.7188,79.111,90.6796,91.815,37.3904,90.9316,32.9806,4.8181,50.1001,2.9881,88.6724,51.9213,75.6051,75.9658,53.4808,72.4202,78.0801,81.3769],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[24.5253,41.2937,38.06,5.8411,14.8084,3.5519,2.4581,24.1308,46.0717,29.6652,21.0353,15.2076,10.4367,14.8577,16.7161,24.0401,28.6725,20.8585,17.3604,14.445,15.178,13.7242,19.4168,25.6211,11.2724,1.7894,15.5673,11.4145,23.3465,49.7674,14.9164,34.9537,57.8036,14.0034,21.2377,31.3085,14.148,13.2186,42.1,13.5047,18.5291,43.8906,3.2912,44.3821,5.1616,30.2219,30.1254,32.3581,23.7165,25.2131,31.0311,29.2065],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-41.0,"control":-34.4,"force":-46.6,"direction":-44.5,"confirmation":81.4,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":29.2,"intensity":86.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-41.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-34.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-46.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-44.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"81/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.3%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"46.4","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"58%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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