{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BIMBOA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"93213538-41bf-48c3-b534-84ba249e630c","symbol":"BIMBOA","name":"Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Packaged Foods"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.6,"averageExpectedMove":10.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":41.2,"averageReturn":0.1,"medianReturn":-0.2,"confidenceLow":21.6,"confidenceHigh":64.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":41.2,"averageReturn":1.9,"medianReturn":-2.1,"confidenceLow":21.6,"confidenceHigh":64.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":62.5,"averageReturn":3.4,"medianReturn":2.4,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":81.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":41.2,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 41.2% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.9% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.2% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-03-07","price":56.280895},{"date":"2025-08-22","price":57.331497}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[66.3366,68.2377,66.7708,66.2787,64.1073,65.7672,64.9855,63.6441,63.2099,60.8938,59.2146,64.5899,60.942,58.6838,57.5644,56.7441,55.9914,53.7911,52.9129,52.469,48.7633,50.2591,52.4207,52.4015,52.1602,54.9105,54.2929,53.3954,56.2809,52.7392,52.7585,54.4087,54.3219,56.2519,58.0276,64.1845,56.1844,56.7152,56.4576,54.9848,53.2665,51.2635,50.753,51.4206,52.049,51.1653,49.8005,49.4863,53.0996,53.836,53.8753,55.682,57.3315,57.0271,62.231,63.969,63.5958,63.9591,63.3013,59.8647,61.0233,60.5324,62.9969,64.2439,58.932,56.1042,56.8798,58.9909,58.6079,58.6177,59.1283,57.7635,61.2786,61.1019,60.5815,59.6389,66.2764,66.3844,62.8496,61.4652,60.1887,58.4508,56.4773,57.5082,58.0384,56.9486,56.4085,53.7084,58.3036,57.4395,59.19,58.22,59.69,55.78,58.24,58.92,57.09,56.53,56.06,58.0,58.26,61.96,61.21,60.38],"consensus":[0.0,40.3136,0.0,0.0,-35.1336,0.0,-11.2696,-24.5035,-9.5253,-49.6745,-50.7508,41.1318,-42.7207,-46.4453,-40.4177,-44.0062,-41.3058,-59.9061,-48.3764,-42.3176,-70.6999,-12.1145,0.0,-17.04,-11.3409,34.8614,0.0,-13.0027,49.5065,-41.5872,-13.8175,23.8278,0.0,36.5136,43.849,70.7814,-30.1558,0.0,0.0,-29.4251,-41.2194,-47.5243,-29.9593,-13.5128,-9.3573,-21.3949,-34.4506,-30.3649,32.4867,16.512,16.4273,45.6528,48.5199,21.2295,72.7062,60.4483,30.5248,46.456,18.8763,-29.6558,16.4731,0.0,30.723,38.46,-44.4753,-51.8084,-17.6726,0.0,-12.2892,0.0,14.0013,-26.4811,45.3834,12.4115,0.0,0.0,68.0697,39.8535,-15.9856,-12.3982,-24.8996,-43.1604,-50.1886,-13.4062,-17.6576,-34.3473,-22.7072,-56.9116,30.7907,-17.8892,28.9866,0.0,31.4028,-42.3669,8.0859,22.3023,-11.0399,-10.4023,-20.7251,18.882,0.0,63.5451,17.335,5.3685],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[45.4685,16.8422,73.4732,64.6235,22.895,45.6261,16.7216,-28.3934,26.1578,0.0,32.8819,36.1545,-46.871,-54.7492,-12.1777,0.0,-13.6207,0.0,14.6504,-29.4611,44.426,8.2206,0.0,0.0,66.3031,40.6504,-28.9096,-17.0256,-16.5769,-43.1909,-49.5219,-5.189,-15.5108,-35.9143,-24.9458,-59.0833,35.0105,-20.4327,29.1163,0.0,29.0595,-53.0065,14.3711,27.3609,-2.7408,-16.0911,-19.1166,21.7218,0.0,59.1111,8.9919,4.1286],"force":[53.9547,2.0768,84.8379,46.3117,3.5138,24.4104,14.8022,-66.9989,15.0833,0.0,35.9979,30.9651,-71.7304,-56.7716,-8.1138,0.0,-11.5687,0.0,21.3677,-27.794,70.149,0.2755,0.0,0.0,91.1825,18.9627,-52.4486,-35.4462,-32.2619,-45.0193,-51.177,-11.5111,-3.581,-33.5292,-12.8701,-58.3299,69.111,-29.9198,40.946,0.0,52.0899,-43.4418,15.2711,29.7473,-8.6801,-3.0772,-11.5499,43.7363,0.0,89.1235,8.7284,16.6398],"direction":[48.1252,42.8911,63.1642,65.7741,63.5578,63.1515,45.3951,-4.4248,6.3974,0.0,24.4878,46.4483,-22.2693,-44.9024,-42.3714,0.0,-11.2822,0.0,7.9978,-22.1376,28.7878,25.8697,0.0,0.0,53.5796,53.8649,-24.8298,-9.3531,-29.1524,-41.7976,-50.2447,-40.5954,-30.1659,-33.1408,-27.1754,-53.4167,1.4037,-6.3891,20.296,0.0,19.3043,-29.4397,4.2294,11.2033,-22.2101,-9.133,-29.1172,2.1166,0.0,50.3423,45.4866,31.9425],"intensity":[57.6923,5.7692,90.3846,84.6154,55.7692,3.8462,3.8462,75.0,67.3077,3.8462,86.5385,34.6154,92.3077,82.6923,26.9231,51.9231,34.6154,50.0,26.9231,23.0769,75.0,73.0769,11.5385,13.4615,96.1538,82.6923,73.0769,76.9231,61.5385,59.6154,53.8462,17.3077,40.3846,21.1538,48.0769,63.4615,90.3846,94.2308,42.3077,13.4615,36.5385,80.7692,59.6154,25.0,46.1538,3.8462,5.7692,75.0,55.7692,78.8462,57.6923,13.4615],"confirmation":[83.7385,51.9264,91.624,86.849,54.9298,82.2067,30.8713,55.9805,50.4148,24.8697,77.9592,80.1139,83.0262,84.6851,29.3507,31.1108,71.8903,25.1404,50.0284,76.4685,83.292,48.999,25.3494,27.5453,90.5136,80.1043,33.9934,29.2613,76.3191,81.8675,84.1006,6.1115,50.5875,78.9423,74.9324,86.2219,56.5894,51.3858,77.6382,27.2354,78.7151,81.4281,48.9463,75.2866,48.9206,48.3521,74.3769,52.5413,24.437,89.1815,29.4087,13.6225],"persistence":[25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[25.3621,38.2587,13.6384,19.7681,34.6464,26.7278,17.4784,33.3829,50.9172,44.7137,23.0678,29.6519,11.853,20.8778,40.2491,53.0452,1.2832,37.6297,31.7973,12.1985,18.9111,34.1963,26.476,39.5454,13.2771,29.075,45.006,37.949,36.9081,28.2612,24.2776,39.0941,25.8978,11.4314,9.8658,17.5398,10.5853,21.3331,29.3789,50.8132,15.5591,11.4508,24.3202,4.6506,35.9853,21.7171,27.8102,28.9831,23.2771,17.8548,40.8427,39.6699],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":5.4,"control":4.1,"force":16.6,"direction":31.9,"confirmation":13.6,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":39.7,"intensity":13.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+5.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+4.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+16.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+31.9","detail":"Upward 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