{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"4336 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9370cd8d-3e6a-4ec4-a389-04e59f998ad4","symbol":"4336","name":"Mulkia Gulf Real Estate REIT","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Reit - Diversified"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":1.0,"averageExpectedMove":2.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-0.2,"medianReturn":-0.4,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":56.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":25.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-1.5,"confidenceLow":10.2,"confidenceHigh":49.5,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":18.8,"averageReturn":-6.1,"medianReturn":-6.1,"confidenceLow":6.6,"confidenceHigh":43.0,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":71.4,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 71.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.7% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.8% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-07-18","price":4.558872}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[4.9329,4.9598,4.924,4.9508,5.0849,5.1653,5.1027,5.0044,4.9955,4.9955,5.0223,5.0132,4.977,4.8863,4.9407,4.9226,4.9226,4.9407,4.8047,4.8682,4.7775,4.9045,4.9407,4.9126,4.8758,4.7746,4.6734,4.7286,4.6734,4.5998,4.609,4.6642,4.5998,4.425,4.5906,4.839,4.6897,4.6056,4.6336,4.5028,4.5215,4.4841,4.4468,4.2506,4.4655,4.4281,4.5682,4.5589,4.5402,4.4084,4.475,4.4179,4.4179,4.4655,4.3989,4.3609,4.456,4.532,4.5985,4.627,4.5985,4.5795,4.6369,4.6176,4.6176,4.5886,4.5114,4.4824,4.5403,4.4727,4.5114,4.521,4.5017,4.4148,4.4727,4.55,4.56,4.4716,4.4716,4.4519,4.4224,4.3929,4.4224,4.4421,4.4421,4.5305,4.56,4.5207,4.58,4.55,4.58,4.62,4.62,4.66,4.61,4.61,4.63,4.63,4.5102,4.52,4.5397,4.4905,4.52,4.5],"consensus":[21.4545,9.3599,-16.2818,18.5456,56.4012,58.6443,12.9074,-16.3188,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-18.348,-51.807,0.0,-19.7,-13.5861,13.0401,-59.1133,0.0,-56.8878,27.6469,27.8805,0.0,-11.6527,-55.8739,-64.5307,-9.0374,-48.2638,-62.1188,-29.7665,0.0,-43.2233,-63.7858,8.1064,51.4764,-28.1865,-21.5461,0.0,-54.4674,-12.499,-25.2203,-34.4834,-70.1095,22.019,-15.6704,34.3047,10.8754,0.0,-36.947,0.0,-25.4987,-21.9964,10.5649,-25.7315,-25.4858,21.3673,29.0427,44.6174,33.4854,11.9652,0.0,37.3025,10.8037,18.9092,0.0,-31.8622,-21.0622,13.6064,-31.6969,11.0271,11.4676,0.0,-44.264,0.0,27.6753,18.4152,-27.0737,-12.1476,-18.5706,-19.1085,-25.8429,0.0,0.0,0.0,45.2783,27.3673,0.0,39.3708,0.0,28.459,38.3137,20.147,45.2723,0.0,10.3316,24.7325,20.9168,-54.8649,-16.4571,0.0,-45.975,0.0,-29.0936],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-23.4684,7.126,-24.645,-26.9791,22.3765,28.7648,47.1201,27.8084,1.8047,0.0,41.2451,13.6229,22.2715,0.0,-29.392,-16.6317,27.6348,-32.7763,14.8101,12.9553,0.0,-50.0256,0.0,28.7175,17.2752,-30.9348,-17.7025,-13.7004,-8.0874,-23.7752,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.9715,16.8812,0.0,27.5536,0.0,32.4095,38.923,19.6159,46.2611,0.0,12.9705,30.2631,34.662,-59.6259,-12.0544,0.0,-46.1949,0.0,-31.8999],"force":[-15.6727,23.6636,-32.7837,-24.3216,40.5422,35.5154,41.7642,21.9341,8.7738,0.0,39.5742,4.9854,10.4706,0.0,-48.0438,-16.9103,25.7521,-32.7735,28.2158,20.9982,0.0,-52.6266,0.0,45.6941,19.1506,-55.9258,-6.7494,-15.8798,-17.9566,-21.2401,0.0,0.0,0.0,70.097,29.1781,0.0,59.4518,0.0,29.7006,34.7964,3.7178,41.3039,0.0,1.9993,21.0392,12.6867,-72.9671,-0.1886,0.0,-48.6091,0.0,-31.3226],"direction":[-24.8311,5.1389,-21.936,-24.6108,6.5175,24.7368,43.7952,48.2244,38.3907,0.0,31.174,18.8596,21.0942,0.0,-23.1269,-29.0913,11.1015,-29.6944,5.574,2.9597,0.0,-31.706,0.0,13.6135,19.1927,-2.0523,-9.6549,-26.0586,-32.5268,-31.4937,0.0,0.0,0.0,32.4726,38.0579,0.0,38.5326,0.0,23.0572,40.1296,32.4891,46.9768,0.0,13.2675,21.0499,11.0865,-36.4937,-33.3784,0.0,-43.8423,0.0,-24.2942],"intensity":[21.1538,26.9231,65.3846,34.6154,63.4615,67.3077,44.2308,50.0,9.6154,48.0769,36.5385,11.5385,5.7692,23.0769,51.9231,44.2308,51.9231,40.3846,55.7692,17.3077,17.3077,57.6923,38.4615,51.9231,1.9231,63.4615,11.5385,57.6923,84.6154,75.0,11.5385,26.9231,5.7692,63.4615,78.8462,63.4615,46.1538,32.6923,15.3846,50.0,34.6154,34.6154,51.9231,7.6923,7.6923,3.8462,94.2308,1.9231,9.6154,38.4615,19.2308,38.4615],"confirmation":[74.8237,26.499,76.4656,76.0972,52.7399,77.4952,82.1525,78.4498,5.2234,4.0726,79.946,49.3299,73.7425,25.0381,78.7267,74.6809,29.5454,78.1594,50.5173,49.2707,24.6353,82.3315,28.0471,77.3894,73.9326,54.8174,48.9714,73.9348,74.2476,76.161,28.4231,3.3224,0.9287,83.3111,76.9725,6.3048,81.3907,27.994,77.0845,80.1439,51.2878,82.3511,4.9708,48.3453,75.7176,74.2331,86.0359,50.1996,30.1243,82.7889,3.8331,85.3351],"persistence":[25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[30.7634,20.0208,18.4684,12.3528,9.1519,21.5907,27.2547,33.2326,42.82,27.8468,12.4487,14.3448,9.5102,7.5818,33.1516,38.9879,52.2735,33.2639,5.5135,30.8294,33.9967,20.7277,35.2681,11.7391,31.4331,51.923,5.0245,38.4089,39.9248,33.0832,40.1242,12.2315,20.3177,26.8297,36.0592,47.8934,30.1298,22.241,10.3069,30.3039,29.5062,27.1548,30.9244,17.9751,0.4419,43.2649,21.2153,39.8417,50.0753,26.85,10.213,7.1285],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-29.1,"control":-31.9,"force":-31.3,"direction":-24.3,"confirmation":85.3,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":7.1,"intensity":38.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-29.1","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-31.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-31.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-24.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"45.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"21.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"62%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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