{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"EDN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"956eb700-3883-4844-b2ce-4c789580ab81","symbol":"EDN","name":"Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte SA ADR","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Utilities","industry":"Utilities - Regulated Electric"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.4,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":15.4,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":19.3,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":18.6,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":17.9,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.1,"sample":20},{"week":24,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":20},{"week":25,"averageReturn":17.3,"sample":20},{"week":26,"averageReturn":17.1,"sample":20}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":38.1,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 38.1% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.1% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 13.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 15.5% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-20","price":42.27}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[18.08,19.3,21.32,24.56,24.33,22.84,22.37,23.35,22.96,26.56,31.12,32.0,34.23,36.29,39.98,46.5,49.23,42.27,44.5,44.65,36.95,32.98,36.2,39.08,38.39,39.76,36.76,34.56,36.15,33.25,33.09,31.36,26.64,28.74,33.66,31.61,29.73,32.17,34.11,36.41,33.04,31.78,29.1,27.32,27.52,26.3,24.83,24.95,26.65,28.47,28.26,27.09,23.55,21.47,21.85,17.04,15.18,16.6,15.52,16.62,18.57,19.38,33.31,32.69,32.33,29.73,34.75,32.86,30.0,31.68,31.6,29.78,29.48,27.08,29.62,30.64,28.09,28.39,27.8,25.69,25.35,26.3,27.76,27.75,30.56,28.84,26.99,25.33,23.75,23.37,22.43,24.1,27.64,25.76,27.56,27.86,24.49,24.28,25.42,24.59,25.71,26.83,24.3,23.14],"consensus":[26.9524,47.8758,67.243,78.8168,31.9844,0.0,15.4213,36.6975,0.0,74.5984,80.2236,52.5013,73.6686,65.0324,81.667,88.3609,80.5746,0.0,52.3696,23.4,-47.6253,-55.3672,9.6124,24.2626,0.0,31.3813,-23.8288,-35.8126,0.0,-39.3439,-20.6764,-44.0857,-61.8135,0.0,24.2324,-27.0623,-25.4836,22.7648,15.5397,35.7711,-20.0275,-14.3325,-45.3973,-49.5727,-21.0804,-43.1414,-49.0591,-25.8218,0.0,18.3115,0.0,-16.871,-56.5486,-56.8559,-20.1964,-70.9405,-64.7343,-29.2361,-46.0346,-13.891,13.0443,11.1199,76.9428,31.1303,31.6914,0.0,59.2733,0.0,-16.6318,31.5695,0.0,-17.6623,0.0,-33.3637,18.3851,14.5584,-25.3654,0.0,-13.8961,-41.5335,-28.2374,0.0,10.7092,0.0,48.6075,-12.7834,-26.5004,-38.5265,-49.1171,-41.1606,-44.7152,0.0,46.5118,-15.1253,31.2942,18.3763,-40.6542,-22.7974,0.0,-26.4969,10.5455,25.8552,-34.8686,-34.5532],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-56.7993,-57.9178,-9.3892,-70.0182,-65.6818,-33.016,-42.399,-17.0289,0.9205,8.1075,77.225,25.1196,23.0537,0.0,68.423,0.0,-21.0838,31.687,0.0,-20.5689,0.0,-33.6639,24.9407,13.3015,-25.8254,0.0,-11.7831,-40.6474,-27.5623,0.0,12.0878,0.0,43.7142,-21.1896,-28.422,-38.3654,-49.8511,-41.1376,-45.9595,0.0,39.5477,-23.6795,26.2175,12.7056,-39.8394,-26.5191,0.0,-27.1515,8.7591,25.0344,-41.3413,-36.8437],"force":[-74.8869,-58.0065,-6.9234,-83.9186,-62.8329,-16.1546,-32.9697,-23.2473,58.4322,28.3743,95.6507,4.8925,1.9325,0.0,57.5683,0.0,-50.1354,25.8385,0.0,-35.2834,0.0,-40.3036,36.7395,13.9858,-41.0422,0.0,-11.8923,-45.6993,-19.4535,0.0,26.5416,0.0,73.7457,-40.9139,-41.0542,-47.9621,-50.3561,-32.9575,-36.8192,0.0,82.9912,-34.3549,41.3085,11.3743,-59.3205,-16.7864,0.0,-25.6857,17.508,29.2716,-45.5317,-37.5093],"direction":[-43.1631,-54.8203,-51.9187,-62.7246,-65.0095,-57.3381,-59.5217,-36.8321,5.5197,2.2382,63.2576,63.7301,62.8195,0.0,50.0343,0.0,-12.3873,35.5287,0.0,-1.7541,0.0,-28.0637,2.2172,16.4039,-13.6419,0.0,-17.7423,-39.5708,-35.2832,0.0,2.1751,0.0,36.2439,-16.917,-13.9086,-31.9709,-47.3933,-47.0463,-48.9331,0.0,28.4141,-8.3865,29.943,29.8585,-28.2522,-22.8376,0.0,-26.3282,7.6138,24.3532,-19.8548,-29.8241],"intensity":[69.2308,82.6923,3.8462,78.8462,30.7692,57.6923,73.0769,11.5385,57.6923,25.0,100.0,78.8462,1.9231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structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-34.6","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-36.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-37.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-29.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.0","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"13.6%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"10.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"10%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[18.08,19.3,21.32,24.56,24.33,22.84,22.37,23.35,22.96,26.56,31.12,32.0,34.23,36.29,39.98,46.5,49.23,42.27,44.5,44.65,36.95,32.98,36.2,39.08,38.39,39.76,36.76,34.56,36.15,33.25,33.09,31.36,26.64,28.74,33.66,31.61,29.73,32.17,34.11,36.41,33.04,31.78,29.1,27.32,27.52,26.3,24.83,24.95,26.65,28.47,28.26,27.09,23.55,21.47,21.85,17.04,15.18,16.6,15.52,16.62,18.57,19.38,33.31,32.69,32.33,29.73,34.75,32.86,30.0,31.68,31.6,29.78,29.48,27.08,29.62,30.64,28.09,28.39,27.8,25.69,25.35,26.3,27.76,27.75,30.56,28.84,26.99,25.33,23.75,23.37,22.43,24.1,27.64,25.76,27.56,27.86,24.49,24.28,25.42,24.59,25.71,26.83,24.3,23.14],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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