{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DRS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9675068b-9fc7-46fc-865c-25ee87da1f43","symbol":"DRS","name":"Leonardo DRS, Inc. Common Stock","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Aerospace & Defense"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":12,"completedEpisodes":11,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":17.7,"averageExpectedMove":18.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":12,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":75.0,"averageReturn":3.9,"medianReturn":1.7,"confidenceLow":46.8,"confidenceHigh":91.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":11,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":72.7,"averageReturn":11.1,"medianReturn":10.4,"confidenceLow":43.4,"confidenceHigh":90.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":9,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":88.9,"averageReturn":17.4,"medianReturn":16.5,"confidenceLow":56.5,"confidenceHigh":98.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":12},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":12},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":12},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":12},{"week":5,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":11},{"week":8,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":11},{"week":9,"averageReturn":8.9,"sample":11},{"week":10,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":11},{"week":11,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":11},{"week":12,"averageReturn":11.1,"sample":11},{"week":13,"averageReturn":11.8,"sample":11},{"week":14,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":11},{"week":15,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":11},{"week":16,"averageReturn":15.1,"sample":11},{"week":17,"averageReturn":14.4,"sample":10},{"week":18,"averageReturn":14.2,"sample":10},{"week":19,"averageReturn":15.8,"sample":10},{"week":20,"averageReturn":16.5,"sample":9},{"week":21,"averageReturn":14.6,"sample":9},{"week":22,"averageReturn":16.1,"sample":9},{"week":23,"averageReturn":15.5,"sample":9},{"week":24,"averageReturn":18.3,"sample":9},{"week":25,"averageReturn":19.6,"sample":9},{"week":26,"averageReturn":17.4,"sample":9}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.0,"medianReturn":-11.0,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":78.6,"averageReturn":11.6,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 78.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 11.6% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 7.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.2% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-08-01","price":41.301896}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":48.76},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":48.53},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":48.003392}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[28.0264,28.1447,25.9702,27.6812,28.0165,27.484,29.9296,28.7758,28.3222,27.8587,30.2945,36.0832,33.253,35.7479,34.2884,36.5368,33.6178,32.5232,32.0893,32.4246,32.6021,35.1168,36.3002,34.6631,34.1405,28.6674,28.4504,30.0282,30.827,31.8748,32.6364,32.4682,29.8178,34.7132,36.0582,36.8395,41.5372,41.3097,41.2108,40.6775,41.9263,43.9929,45.663,43.6113,44.6421,46.0,47.1498,47.7048,48.0121,41.3019,41.1235,41.3019,40.9156,41.3825,40.9256,41.7898,41.164,43.6473,44.0943,42.942,39.0779,40.2402,36.3165,35.0947,34.6079,33.106,34.0322,33.7633,34.3211,33.5044,34.1418,34.6398,40.8247,42.3984,40.8247,40.8945,38.773,37.9763,39.8686,43.2151,46.3922,45.205,43.7281,44.7459,46.2029,45.9634,44.4765,39.8961,39.946,41.2732,41.4129,44.92,48.76,46.15,48.53,46.08,42.48,43.72,44.0613,44.0513,48.0034,45.9575,44.71,45.53],"consensus":[32.8307,34.0747,-38.6992,38.9625,26.5436,0.0,65.7104,0.0,0.0,0.0,44.9602,79.1288,0.0,68.9345,10.446,55.897,-18.0101,-18.8917,-14.4912,0.0,0.0,54.0912,42.8738,0.0,0.0,-69.464,-43.5287,0.0,0.0,27.1923,21.9185,0.0,-45.8057,56.9045,47.517,46.3103,74.6127,36.144,32.6164,22.4583,41.0121,53.3303,56.3299,0.0,45.2534,48.5332,48.0741,39.6485,40.7785,-54.1407,-26.7335,-21.2242,-27.9294,0.0,-16.1474,9.7858,-21.365,41.39,19.7227,-13.0341,-58.4709,0.0,-68.3873,-54.7279,-43.2547,-60.1097,-13.6176,-30.0918,-13.7061,-30.4175,-13.9496,0.0,67.938,59.7838,12.6145,26.2212,-21.9511,-22.0346,24.7279,57.8311,68.8231,16.9377,0.0,30.5304,38.1695,15.4485,0.0,-53.0057,-26.3497,0.0,-14.5864,50.2293,65.8254,0.0,47.5691,0.0,-49.4561,0.0,-11.8888,0.0,51.9986,0.0,-12.3161,17.8951],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-21.2569,0.0,-16.5779,14.368,-26.4457,45.2986,15.6209,-21.2513,-54.2748,0.0,-60.8859,-51.9765,-39.7123,-61.023,-1.0871,-27.7063,-11.6987,-34.0955,-16.0941,0.0,62.5073,61.4901,2.0851,16.2694,-18.6217,-18.1929,30.8253,50.6654,68.0151,4.674,0.0,27.4299,44.7669,12.4627,0.0,-50.5116,-22.6995,0.0,-9.8369,50.6839,69.8105,0.0,44.6124,0.0,-46.0399,0.0,-6.1432,0.0,51.1093,0.0,-16.6471,19.8851],"force":[-21.033,0.0,-9.054,26.0959,-23.3327,61.4282,13.3448,-29.6943,-86.0507,0.0,-92.0338,-48.0468,-23.7932,-51.0794,-20.6898,-7.3021,-15.3588,-20.5081,-9.3414,0.0,97.5274,57.6247,26.5572,7.1908,-54.3759,-33.281,32.8284,83.5328,78.3833,21.3699,0.0,22.7722,33.8706,7.3672,0.0,-76.0764,-11.8398,0.0,-9.9935,65.6049,74.0085,0.0,46.3759,0.0,-74.759,0.0,-9.6248,0.0,65.7196,0.0,-24.0716,22.8913],"direction":[-40.4813,0.0,-20.7223,7.101,-14.1529,22.61,28.9662,-8.2571,-43.5665,0.0,-60.0699,-62.6447,-61.2043,-65.5161,-54.9282,-49.0964,-36.7609,-33.2922,-28.1351,0.0,53.0094,59.3758,52.6279,51.1878,-2.5956,-18.3919,11.9735,47.662,62.9179,58.316,0.0,39.6155,33.7001,35.1578,0.0,-39.377,-40.8855,0.0,-23.2952,38.7273,55.426,0.0,51.8005,0.0,-35.2867,0.0,-20.0723,0.0,43.2142,0.0,-1.0305,12.052],"intensity":[7.6923,15.3846,17.3077,19.2308,21.1538,65.3846,67.3077,34.6154,84.6154,78.8462,82.6923,86.5385,36.5385,42.3077,28.8462,11.5385,15.3846,36.5385,44.2308,7.6923,96.1538,84.6154,50.0,3.8462,75.0,40.3846,57.6923,78.8462,92.3077,36.5385,48.0769,25.0,48.0769,67.3077,51.9231,88.4615,82.6923,40.3846,67.3077,80.7692,80.7692,71.1538,65.3846,65.3846,78.8462,50.0,69.2308,26.9231,82.6923,53.8462,55.7692,28.8462],"confirmation":[76.8289,48.5572,72.9444,50.4069,74.8194,81.7959,74.1794,28.9816,87.6151,6.5793,90.7189,85.3512,81.3024,86.946,8.1819,54.3045,29.474,77.3756,28.3809,28.2317,90.7247,87.039,8.6688,53.2958,53.3966,75.4524,76.0669,87.3984,90.3271,8.9984,8.178,77.5805,79.9827,51.1987,29.9083,85.7029,76.0453,29.5022,72.6001,84.535,89.2528,32.0281,83.2308,30.6014,84.6491,29.1776,49.1563,24.6278,85.0713,29.4237,49.7866,81.8484],"persistence":[0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[35.8795,5.821,3.3439,6.8418,16.9203,19.0889,35.7944,32.2038,7.5629,41.6318,15.7934,22.6233,27.7887,19.9151,36.0142,16.5714,1.1829,26.2731,10.4308,22.2047,15.57,20.0768,43.4384,36.7393,27.6909,37.7815,34.7906,11.0265,15.4922,41.3612,43.1726,13.7311,23.1644,12.6986,22.9229,22.4168,36.5316,49.3886,37.7747,23.8391,17.0459,48.2562,26.0081,26.4474,24.5364,40.3386,41.1204,30.2986,23.0798,38.9879,18.8965,17.6499],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":17.9,"control":19.9,"force":22.9,"direction":12.1,"confirmation":81.8,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":17.6,"intensity":28.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+17.9","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+19.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+22.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+12.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"18.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"60%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}