{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VLO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"97b9afb6-782e-4283-a51c-3a0fa0b909a0","symbol":"VLO","name":"Valero Energy Corporation","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Energy","industry":"Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":13},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":13},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":13},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":13},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":13},{"week":6,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":13},{"week":7,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":13},{"week":8,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":9.1,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":12.1,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":13.0,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":14.3,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":14.9,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":14.2,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":14.9,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":13.2,"sample":11},{"week":20,"averageReturn":14.8,"sample":11},{"week":21,"averageReturn":15.6,"sample":11},{"week":22,"averageReturn":17.3,"sample":11},{"week":23,"averageReturn":21.4,"sample":11},{"week":24,"averageReturn":19.1,"sample":11},{"week":25,"averageReturn":18.5,"sample":11},{"week":26,"averageReturn":16.9,"sample":11}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":83.3,"averageReturn":13.8,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 83.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 13.8% across 12 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.3% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-11-29","price":124.597534},{"date":"2025-01-17","price":129.727905},{"date":"2025-06-20","price":119.078926},{"date":"2025-07-04","price":118.418785},{"date":"2025-08-15","price":113.717003}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[123.2981,124.9441,113.233,115.106,113.0438,116.9223,123.336,123.1846,118.8331,116.1844,112.1735,119.5331,125.3793,129.3083,124.5975,118.8187,118.2084,108.9585,108.9585,113.86,119.0094,129.7279,128.2975,125.2757,125.0256,123.1406,126.6221,119.3899,112.9655,114.2157,117.1394,117.2548,93.8942,90.5859,93.1056,95.5965,98.424,104.3868,116.3316,108.1671,110.6718,109.8757,112.1085,119.0789,110.5747,118.4188,127.6026,121.5836,117.8169,113.6974,112.8548,113.717,119.5763,126.2194,129.1001,131.6672,134.8418,148.3828,136.8602,134.3127,132.5882,146.5603,142.5627,148.0692,153.2818,147.0262,150.8953,149.9873,140.7488,136.702,137.8075,138.7945,155.6133,157.0741,158.6138,151.6849,169.4221,168.527,168.9646,169.4619,192.7358,201.757,209.8133,218.7648,209.1171,199.0218,186.1913,197.878,213.6426,203.9948,211.355,211.9,209.1,226.6,225.8,204.9,223.9869,232.9463,244.1955,264.0059,265.4991,267.9,259.8,296.4],"consensus":[-55.6435,0.0,-77.6206,-29.3301,-58.0622,0.0,35.9821,16.4896,-25.1279,-35.6969,-56.9518,18.1857,49.5341,52.2364,-8.8486,-39.5293,-29.9879,-70.1789,-32.1395,0.0,30.4116,70.36,29.1542,0.0,13.1548,-12.3445,25.7338,-47.1653,-51.0572,-10.2457,0.0,-13.8637,-65.1489,-45.9189,-36.6748,-21.4364,0.0,30.1355,64.7826,-18.7918,25.5303,11.5561,16.5027,61.3478,-29.5524,55.2476,71.9136,0.0,0.0,-31.9908,-22.7919,0.0,44.725,61.2715,45.8514,38.1858,57.1303,84.0355,0.0,0.0,0.0,58.527,0.0,58.2606,67.3182,0.0,57.8768,16.9474,-45.6402,-46.0545,-15.7933,-10.8222,54.4466,40.7644,50.715,0.0,71.4196,34.9994,37.4684,37.2118,66.4264,61.1526,63.4022,69.8598,16.8013,0.0,-32.9323,23.6675,52.1005,0.0,47.3112,20.324,8.7156,67.9175,46.8055,-20.8685,58.7729,38.4716,35.0994,74.626,24.2438,57.3881,11.5582,81.3607],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[49.9543,61.362,40.2432,28.9704,54.7117,87.6549,0.0,0.0,0.0,69.8789,0.0,56.8883,69.6759,0.0,61.665,14.9929,-40.3063,-42.6099,-4.2446,-2.1288,52.2962,36.8384,49.4118,0.0,67.0818,30.8235,37.3313,34.0784,76.1717,67.5851,70.3024,81.016,1.1211,0.0,-36.122,44.5387,67.8858,0.0,54.3636,13.1479,15.543,74.9834,49.9913,-16.884,66.6808,42.2109,25.9195,78.0483,9.7449,55.9835,0.2766,83.9697],"force":[63.1051,71.4574,37.5278,21.7082,53.3755,96.3404,0.0,0.0,0.0,69.7357,0.0,59.1126,68.6947,0.0,59.2543,7.9367,-85.9686,-62.5242,-5.3701,-1.8041,61.6364,29.0092,47.4029,0.0,96.4372,11.9215,13.0682,15.5139,48.657,38.1624,39.3559,45.9164,21.6739,0.0,-50.9699,15.9977,39.6083,0.0,33.8035,0.4242,9.5149,75.8972,38.0077,-36.3613,69.3147,28.254,20.8436,82.6248,9.5363,50.1367,28.3831,96.5511],"direction":[25.62,53.8924,58.2062,60.4875,62.5764,71.1099,0.0,0.0,0.0,37.5472,0.0,59.2205,63.6404,0.0,52.5636,36.9555,-22.93,-38.2272,-36.437,-32.0647,51.7687,53.6477,54.57,0.0,58.5075,56.256,55.0538,56.2912,67.9812,70.2228,72.6922,74.2123,64.7664,0.0,-16.4029,5.2931,42.9832,0.0,48.8998,42.7396,13.9347,54.1425,49.4487,-14.3558,42.2054,41.4964,55.7735,65.0015,64.9426,64.1728,53.6132,67.5289],"intensity":[59.6154,71.1538,63.4615,30.7692,17.3077,96.1538,90.3846,82.6923,32.6923,96.1538,84.6154,50.0,42.3077,61.5385,21.1538,15.3846,80.7692,73.0769,19.2308,3.8462,100.0,17.3077,7.6923,63.4615,96.1538,96.1538,7.6923,11.5385,100.0,73.0769,90.3846,69.2308,78.8462,82.6923,86.5385,82.6923,90.3846,71.1538,76.9231,78.8462,67.3077,96.1538,28.8462,96.1538,92.3077,73.0769,76.9231,96.1538,84.6154,53.8462,42.3077,100.0],"confirmation":[82.7925,87.9159,82.5042,79.8577,86.2041,95.2112,37.2716,7.6164,4.3051,86.8973,9.4781,86.6903,89.5478,32.8624,86.5048,51.7211,83.9152,83.2919,27.5789,26.5064,85.6748,80.7462,84.1477,31.9302,91.6828,78.5601,79.2484,79.2942,88.5664,86.7702,87.4507,89.4554,9.3399,31.8958,79.0394,52.3552,84.0509,5.2725,82.6205,51.3399,26.8259,89.8691,82.6611,75.2108,87.0081,79.9425,78.9372,92.072,31.6505,86.1646,8.7758,100.0],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[6.4826,18.2749,26.7914,30.7533,21.1055,7.9512,44.4232,18.8458,17.3166,42.5866,31.9558,19.2926,16.1405,5.9079,12.7488,4.9408,23.7114,20.7766,40.2825,42.5301,21.1705,29.2812,24.5137,49.4096,11.4112,27.4557,25.2889,30.5332,16.0793,19.3713,18.2925,15.0693,38.6992,10.7955,32.4423,59.8037,6.3433,18.9346,25.4022,32.889,24.0512,14.8817,21.2854,16.7086,12.2721,4.5704,28.0283,12.6829,37.7983,21.1067,38.542,8.3302],"volumeParticipation":false,"latest":{"consensus":81.4,"control":84.0,"force":96.6,"direction":67.5,"confirmation":100.0,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":8.3,"intensity":100.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+81.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+84.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+96.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+67.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"100/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"76.1","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"48.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"99%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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